1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 2
  3. COFC @ CLT
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Charleston Cougars at Charlotte 49ers

Halton Arena · at Charlotte
#117COFCCharleston
@
#141CLTCharlotte
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
COFCThis seasonCLT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CLT 75–74 · win probability CLT 52%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CLT has more of the edges

COFC 2, CLT 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
COFCBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: COFC 41.2, CLT 36.4. Allowed: COFC 26.1, CLT 36.2
COFCSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: COFC 15.7%, CLT 18.1%. Forced: COFC 14.8%, CLT 13.6%
Context
Schedule so far
COFC has played the 200th-hardest schedule, CLT the 113th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CLTSmall
Three-pointers
COFC hits 30.6% and allows 32.6%; CLT hits 35.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 38.1% and 45.4% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: COFC plays 68.8 a game (192nd fastest), CLT 65.5 (331st). Faster games mean more points
CLTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: COFC 29.9%, CLT 33.9%. Defensive: COFC 67.7%, CLT 67.5%
CLTSmall
Home court
CLT at home. This season: CLT 0-0 at home, COFC 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: COFC 50.5 and allows 49.2; CLT 53.4 and allows 50.9
Even
COFC offense vs CLT defense
Offense 108th of 366 against a defense 129th, on the model’s ratings
Even
CLT offense vs COFC defense
Offense 164th of 366 against a defense 143rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: COFC 21%, CLT 10%. Transfers in: COFC 8, CLT 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CLT -0.6—
Total—148.7—
Projected score—COFC 74.1 · CLT 74.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCLT -0.2—
1H total69.6—
1H projected scoreCOFC 34.7 · CLT 34.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Charleston has the better starters

Position by position: Charleston 1, Charlotte 0, even 4
CharlestonBetterCharlotte
G T. Johnson TR19.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 5 ast Score 96
Even
G D. Finister TR14.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 84
G B. Bradford TR13.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 77
Even
G K. Tillery TR3.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 63
G E. Ellis TR8.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Score 61
Even
F D. Grant TR9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 71
G M. Kalu8.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 33
Even
F A. Conyers7.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
G X. Abreu TR12.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast Score 83
COFCSmall
F J. Fort TR3.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 49
CharlestonBetterCharlotte
COFC offense108th of 366 · -1.6
Even
CLT defense129th of 366 · -2.3
COFC defense143rd of 366 · -3.1
Even
CLT offense164th of 366 · -5.0
Backcourt+5.0 · 5 players
COFCSmall
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-0.1 · 3 players
Bench-2.7 · 5 players
CLTSmall
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestCOFC betterCLT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Charleston
Guards
T. Johnson32 min · TRB. Bradford28 min · TRE. Ellis27 min · TRM. Kalu27 minX. Abreu21 min · TRM. Green15 min · TR
Forwards
T. Scott21 min · TRW. Mortimore9 minN. VirginioNew
Centers
B. Pierce7 min · TR
Charlotte
Guards
D. Finister33 min · TRK. Tillery12 min · TRJ. Rodriguez-Stegemeijer8 min · TRR. EvansNewF. OgucheNewL. BarnesNew
Forwards
D. Grant24 min · TRA. Conyers20 minJ. Fort14 min · TRT. McKinley12 min · TRM. AllenNew
Centers
P. Marshall11 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
COFCCLT
Scoring
75.3 #157Points per game73.0 #225
1.09 #155Points per possession1.12 #105
68.8 #192Pace (possessions)65.5 #331
Shooting
50.5 #212Effective FG%53.4 #86
30.6 #3313-point %35.2 #101
38.1 #2133-point attempt rate45.4 #58
41.2 #43Free throw rate36.4 #140
Possessions
15.7 #118Turnover rate18.1 #278
29.9 #204Offensive rebound rate33.9 #71
13.5 #180Assists per game12.9 #217
Defense
73.9 #153Points allowed74.3 #164
1.08 #146Points allowed per possession1.13 #291
49.2 #74Opponent effective FG%50.9 #152
32.6 #90Opponent 3-point %33.5 #153
14.8 #308Turnovers forced13.6 #345
67.7 #273Defensive rebound rate67.5 #283
5.7 #280Steals per game4.5 #353
4.6 #29Blocks per game3.5 #150
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Charleston

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Towson56–81
  • W@ UNC Wilmington79–76
  • W@ Hampton85–71
  • Wvs Monmouth74–63
  • W@ NC A&T74–61

A week or more of rest.

Charlotte

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs South Florida64–86
  • Wvs UAB83–78
  • Wvs Tulane74–60
  • L@ South Florida60–83
  • Lvs UAB74–80

A week or more of rest.