Ramsey Center · at W Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
SAM -1.5✓ SAM covered by 12.5
SAM -1.5✓ SAM covered by 12.5Closing total154.5Over by 7.5
| SAM | This season | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-12 | Record | 6-12 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 6-12 |
| 12-8 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAM 79–80 WCU · ✗ WCU (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM | 41 | 47 | 88 |
| WCU | 39 | 35 | 74 |
1st half: SAM 41, WCU 39 (SAM by 2). The model had WCU by 0.4 and a total of 74.0 (actual 80).
Team stats
| SAM | WCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-48 50% | Field goals | 25-65 38% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 30-41 73% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 42 8 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 7 |
| 1 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 27 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 36 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Cade Norris G | 31 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Dylan Faulkner F | 29 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Keaton Norris G | 27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 23 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Wilburn G | 24 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Kam Martin G | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Will Shaver C | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaxon Pollard, Zach Lamey, Corey Brown, Caleb Harrison, Joshua Hughes, Judson Bjornstad, JD Gossett, Cooper Davenport, DaJion Humphrey
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Soumaoro G | 33 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Marcus Kell F | 33 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Cord Stansberry G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 6-18 | 0-6 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 24 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Samuel Dada F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tahlan Pettway G | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Justin Johnson F | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| CJ Hyland G | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Drew Hollifield, Abdulai Fanta Kabba, Max Williams, Fischer Brown, Titian DeRosa, Vernon Collins Jr., Chase McKey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSAM -1.5
ModelWCU -0.9
Model edgeWCU +2.4
L SAM covered
Total
Market154.5
Model158.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
W Over
Projected score
SAM 78.7 · WCU 79.6
SAM 88 · WCU 74
Win probability
WCU 53%
1st half
Spread
WCU -0.4
SAM -2.0
Total
74.0
80 points
Projected score
SAM 36.8 · WCU 37.2
SAM 41 · WCU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWCU -1.5
3 → SAM
CloseSAM -1.5
3 pts toward SAM
Total
Open154.5
no move
Close154.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SAM -108 · WCU -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WCU -1.5 · closed SAM -1.5 · moved 3 toward SAMmodel WCU -1
model WCU -1
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| WCU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SAM 9–0 WCUSAM leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SAM has won the last 9 meetings · SAM 8-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | WCU 77 @ SAM 82 | SAM -4.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | WCU 72 @ SAM 93 | SAM -16.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | SAM 88 @ WCU 69 | WCU +11.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | WCU 62 @ SAM 88 | SAM -6.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | SAM 75 @ WCU 71 | WCU -2 | SAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Samford
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TULN | L 72-85 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs SCST | W 82-72 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXSO | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 14 | @ ARK | L 75-79 | +24.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ CARK | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vs FGCU | L 62-77 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ NMSU | L 72-81 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs GAST | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVU | L 45-89 | +7.5 | L −36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ VCU | L 57-83 | +19.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | vs COR | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 1 | @ VMI | W 78-58 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNCG | L 82-89 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vsWCU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTC | L 79-88 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs FUR | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | vs ETSU | L 75-76 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @ WOF | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vsUTC | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | @FUR | L 73-78 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−20.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
−0.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−36.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−6.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+0.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
+13.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
−9.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+0.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
−7.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
−2.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
−6.5
24
vsUTC
UTCW 75-64
+6.5
29
@FUR
FURL 73-78
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−15.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
+7.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
−5.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−14.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−14.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+16.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
−18.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
+19.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+5.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
+18.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
+0.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
+11.5
24
vsUTC
UTCW 75-64
−13.5
29
@FUR
FURL 73-78
+1.5
over 12under 8avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Carolina
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
6-12
33% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CIN | L 63-94 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ DUKE | L 54-95 | +36.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs STET | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNCA | W 80-73 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ LIP | L 62-83 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 29 | @ HPU | L 73-93 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 6 | @ UPST | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 11 | @ VT | L 74-96 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 18 | @ UGA | L 82-112 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | vsWOF | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @FUR | W 80-77 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @SAM | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ CIT | L 77-79 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vsETSU | W 72-68 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | vsUTC | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | @ MER | L 76-88 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vsVMI | W 88-58 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 29 | @ETSU | W 90-88 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
−3.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−8.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
−1.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+2.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−2.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
+11.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
−0.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
−8.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
+10.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
−9.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
−3.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 88-58
+21.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUW 90-88
+11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 12avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
+6.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−4.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
+17.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+26.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−1.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
−0.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
+5.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
+7.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
−7.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
+21.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
+5.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 88-58
−6.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUW 90-88
+32.5
over 10under 8avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Samford
8-12 overall · 3-6 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Furman73–78
- Wvs Chattanooga75–64
- L@ Wofford78–88
- Lvs ETSU75–76
- Lvs Furman73–77
3 days since their last game.
W Carolina
6-12 overall · 4-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ ETSU90–88
- Wvs VMI88–58
- L@ Mercer76–88
- Lvs Chattanooga82–90
- Wvs ETSU72–68
3 days since their last game.