Ramsey Center · at W Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
WCU -8.5✓ WCU covered by 21.5
WCU -8.5✓ WCU covered by 21.5Closing total152.5Under by 6.5
 VMI | This season | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-14 | Record | 4-12 |
| 6-11 | ATS | 4-12 |
| 8-9 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VMI 73–82 WCU · ✓ WCU (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 33 | 25 | 58 |
| WCU | 39 | 49 | 88 |
1st half: VMI 33, WCU 39 (WCU by 6). The model had WCU by 5.1 and a total of 72.2 (actual 72).
Team stats
| VMI | WCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-53 40% | Field goals | 37-72 51% |
| 11-30 37% | 3-pointers | 13-32 41% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 1-3 33% |
| 20 5 off | Rebounds | 47 20 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| VMI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson F | 37 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Cal Liston F | 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| AJ Clark G | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Tan Yildizoglu G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-5 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. G | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Walker Andrews G | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Jaylen Pazon G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Linus Holmstrom G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mason Lawson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaden Stuckey, Robert Peters, Alexander Daushvili, Branford Edmonds III, Rickey Bradley Jr., Mason Hagedorn
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cord Stansberry G | 28 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 7-15 | 3-8 |
| Marcus Kell F | 26 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7-13 | 3-7 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 26 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba C | 20 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Tahlan Pettway G | 19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julien Soumaoro G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| Samuel Dada F | 19 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Justin Johnson F | 15 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 14 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| CJ Hyland G | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Max Williams G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Hollifield G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Fischer Brown, Vernon Collins Jr., Titian DeRosa, Chase McKey
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWCU -8.5
no move
CloseWCU -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
VMI +340 · WCU -440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WCU -8.5 · unchangedmodel WCU -9
model WCU -9
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WCU -8.5 | WCU -8.8 | WCU +0.3 | W WCU covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 154.2 | Over 1.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | VMI 72.7 · WCU 81.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WCU -5.1 | WCU -6.0 |
| 1H total | 72.2 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | VMI 33.6 · WCU 38.7 | VMI 33 · WCU 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| WCU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
VMI 3–5 WCUWCU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · VMI has won the last 2 meetings · VMI 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | VMI 80 @ WCU 76 | WCU +1.5 | VMI W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | WCU 50 @ VMI 66 | VMI -1.5 | VMI W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | WCU 84 @ VMI 51 | VMI +16.5 | WCU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | VMI 77 @ WCU 102 | WCU -21.5 | WCU W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | VMI 66 @ WCU 85 | WCU -9.5 | WCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VMI
17 games played
Straight up
3-14
18% wins
Against the spread
6-11
35% covers · avg −5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USI | W 78-74 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 9 | @ MIZ | L 68-106 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs JAX | L 67-69 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ RICH | L 54-87 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ STET | L 80-99 | -2.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUF | L 70-78 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BGSU | L 48-81 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ UCF | L 57-82 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs L-MD | W 86-70 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | @ RAD | L 90-97 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 1 | vs SAM | L 58-78 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | vs UTC | W 79-71 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ ETSU | L 67-81 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ FUR | L 48-69 | +12.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 15 | vs MER | L 67-77 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs CIT | L 68-82 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNCG | L 78-85 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
+1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
−14.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−0.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−18.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
−21.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−21.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
+0.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+4.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−13.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+14.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+2.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERL 67-77
−1.5
17
vsCIT
CITL 68-82
−20.5
21
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-85
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 11avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
−1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
+12.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−15.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−11.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
+30.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−19.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
−20.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+4.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+28.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−18.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+0.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+1.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−32.5
15
vsMER
MERL 67-77
−9.5
17
vsCIT
CITL 68-82
+6.5
21
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-85
+11.5
over 8under 9avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Carolina
16 games played
Straight up
4-12
25% wins
Against the spread
4-12
25% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CIN | L 63-94 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ DUKE | L 54-95 | +36.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vsSTET | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNCA | W 80-73 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ LIP | L 62-83 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 29 | @ HPU | L 73-93 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 6 | @ UPST | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 11 | @ VT | L 74-96 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 18 | @ UGA | L 82-112 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | vs WOF | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @FUR | W 80-77 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @SAM | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @CIT | L 77-79 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vsETSU | W 72-68 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | vsUTC | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | @MER | L 76-88 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
−3.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−8.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
−1.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+2.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−2.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
+11.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
−0.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
−8.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
+10.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
−9.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
−3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 12avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
+6.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−4.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
+17.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+26.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−1.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
−0.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
+5.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
+7.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
−7.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
+21.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
+5.5
over 9under 7avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VMI
3-14 overall · 1-6 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Greensboro78–85
- Lvs The Citadel68–82
- Lvs Mercer67–77
- L@ Furman48–69
- L@ ETSU67–81
3 days since their last game.
W Carolina
4-12 overall · 2-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mercer76–88
- Lvs Chattanooga82–90
- Wvs ETSU72–68
- L@ The Citadel77–79
- L@ Samford77–82
3 days since their last game.