Hulman Center · at Indiana St
Line
CLT -4.5moved 1 toward CLT
Total152.5no move
| This season | INST | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects CLT 75–74 · win probability CLT 53%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
CLT -4.5
moved 1 toward CLT
Total
152.5
model 149.1 · Under by 3.5
Model edge
INST by 3.5
model vs market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: CLT has more of the edges
CLT 3, INST 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CLT 33.9%, INST 26.2%. Defensive: CLT 67.5%, INST 68.2%
CLT offense vs INST defense
Offense 164th of 366 against a defense 267th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: CLT plays 65.5 a game (331st fastest), INST 69.7 (131st). Faster games mean more points
Home court
INST at home. This season: INST 0-0 at home, CLT 0-0 away
Three-pointers
CLT hits 35.2% and allows 33.5%; INST hits 31.6% and allows 31.2%. Threes are 45.4% and 45.2% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
CLT has played the 113th-hardest schedule, INST the 149th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
INST offense vs CLT defense
Offense 162nd of 366 against a defense 129th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CLT 10%, INST 0%. Transfers in: CLT 7, INST 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: CLT 36.4, INST 27.4. Allowed: CLT 36.2, INST 28.7
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: CLT 53.4 and allows 50.9; INST 52.8 and allows 50.2
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CLT 18.1%, INST 19.5%. Forced: CLT 13.6%, INST 14.9%
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road favorites of 3 to 6.5 | 1543 | 67% | 51% | 50% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1736 | 67% | 50% | 49% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite | 6763 | 75% | 50% | 51% |
| Games with a total of 150 to 154.5 | 2755 | 75% | 51% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenCLT -3.5
1 → CLT
NowCLT -4.5
1 pt toward CLT
Total
Open152.5
no move
Now152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CLT -192 · INST +160
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened CLT -3.5 · now CLT -4.5 · moved 1 toward CLTmodel CLT -1
model CLT -1
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Over 152.5TotalUnder 152.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
8 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLT | INST | Over | Under | CLT | INST | |
| BetMGMMGM | +4.5-110 | -4.5-110 | 152.5-110 | 152.5-110 | -190 | +155 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | +4.5-115 | -4.5-105 | 152.5-110 | 152.5-110 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | +2.5-155 | -2.5+120 | 152.5-110 | 152.5-115 | -215 | +165 |
| BetUSBetUS | +4.5-115 | -4.5-105 | 152.5-110 | 152.5-110 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | +4.5-110 | -4.5-110 | 152-115 | 152-105 | -185 | +160 |
| DraftKingsDK | +4.5-108 | -4.5-112 | 152.5-110 | 152.5-110 | -192 | +160 |
| FanDuelFD | +4.5-110 | -4.5-110 | 152.5-114 | 152.5-106 | -194 | +160 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | +4.5-111 | -4.5-101 | 152.5-108 | 152.5-108 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CLT -4.5 | CLT -0.8 | INST +3.7 |
| Total | 152.5 | 149.1 | Under 3.4 |
| Projected score | — | CLT 74.9 · INST 74.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CLT -0.6 | — |
| 1H total | 69.7 | — |
| 1H projected score | CLT 35.1 · INST 34.6 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CLT 1–0 INSTCLT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CLT 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025-26 | INST 76 @ CLT 92 | CLT -4.5 | CLT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Charlotte
33 games played
Straight up
16-17
48% wins
Against the spread
18-15
55% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-14
58% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 92-76 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 70-65 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 55-62 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 76-84 | +18.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 63-65 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 69-79 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 74-57 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 53-79 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 81-67 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 30 | vs | L 73-76 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 104-100 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 74-58 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 11 | @ | W 74-73 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 74-86 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 18 | @ | W 73-70 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 23 | vs | W 73-70 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 80-76 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 30 | vs | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 64-74 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 8 | @ | L 54-77 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 15 | vs | L 79-88 | -13.5 | L −22.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 74-79 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 68-56 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 80-79 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 1 | @ | L 76-77 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 4 | vs | L 74-80 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 8 | @ | L 60-83 | +17.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 74-60 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 83-78 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 14 | vs | L 64-86 | +15.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
INST
W 92-76
+11.5
7
vs
TNTC
W 70-65
−7.5
11
vs
DAV
L 55-62
−8.5
16
@
VT
L 76-84
+10.5
21
@
APP
L 63-65
−0.5
27
vs
ILST
L 69-79
−4.5
28
vs
RICH
L 66-71
+1.5
2
vs
NCAT
W 74-57
+9.5
7
vs
USU
L 53-79
−15.5
14
@
COFC
L 67-74
−1.5
18
vs
LAF
W 81-67
+2.5
21
vs
UIC
W 88-76
+10.5
30
vs
TEM
L 73-76
−4.5
3
vs
WICH
W 104-100
+9.5
7
@
UTSA
W 74-58
+9.5
11
@
RICE
W 74-73
−0.5
14
vs
TLSA
L 74-86
−8.5
18
@
ECU
W 73-70
+4.5
23
vs
TULN
W 73-70
+0.5
28
@
TEM
W 80-76
+8.5
30
vs
RICE
W 80-70
+5.5
4
@
WICH
L 64-74
−0.5
8
@
MEM
L 54-77
−12.5
15
vs
UTSA
L 79-88
−22.5
18
@
TLSA
L 74-79
+7.5
21
vs
ECU
W 68-56
+7.5
25
vs
UNT
W 80-79
+3.5
1
@
FAU
L 76-77
+5.5
4
vs
UAB
L 74-80
−3.5
8
@
USF
L 60-83
−5.5
12
vs
TULN
W 74-60
+12.5
13
vs
UAB
W 83-78
+10.5
14
vs
USF
L 64-86
−6.5
covered 18didn’t cover 15avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
INST
W 92-76
+15.5
7
vs
TNTC
W 70-65
−11.5
11
vs
DAV
L 55-62
−26.5
16
@
VT
L 76-84
+14.5
21
@
APP
L 63-65
−4.5
27
vs
ILST
L 69-79
+8.5
28
vs
RICH
L 66-71
−4.5
2
vs
NCAT
W 74-57
−13.5
7
vs
USU
L 53-79
−7.5
14
@
COFC
L 67-74
+0.5
18
vs
LAF
W 81-67
+10.5
21
vs
UIC
W 88-76
+26.5
30
vs
TEM
L 73-76
+10.5
3
vs
WICH
W 104-100
+63.5
7
@
UTSA
W 74-58
−13.5
11
@
RICE
W 74-73
+9.5
14
vs
TLSA
L 74-86
+13.5
18
@
ECU
W 73-70
+3.5
23
vs
TULN
W 73-70
−0.5
28
@
TEM
W 80-76
+16.5
30
vs
RICE
W 80-70
+8.5
4
@
WICH
L 64-74
−5.5
8
@
MEM
L 54-77
−13.5
15
vs
UTSA
L 79-88
+18.5
18
@
TLSA
L 74-79
+1.5
21
vs
ECU
W 68-56
−21.5
25
vs
UNT
W 80-79
+25.5
1
@
FAU
L 76-77
+5.5
4
vs
UAB
L 74-80
+7.5
8
@
USF
L 60-83
−13.5
12
vs
TULN
W 74-60
−10.5
13
vs
UAB
W 83-78
+13.5
14
vs
USF
L 64-86
−3.5
over 19under 14avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana St
30 games played
Straight up
9-21
30% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 81-80 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 66-75 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 72-74 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 69-72 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 94-89 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 81-85 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 68-75 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 62-76 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 74-76 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @ | W 84-63 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 9 | vs | L 65-80 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 12 | vs | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 15 | @ | L 75-76 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 60-81 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 70-87 | +12.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 55-66 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 1 | vs | W 79-63 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Mar 5 | vs | L 62-63 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLT
L 76-92
−11.5
10
@
SIUE
W 64-55
+11.5
14
@
DUKE
L 62-100
−0.5
19
vs
LT
W 60-51
+5.5
22
vs
BALL
W 70-52
+10.5
26
@
LT
L 73-75
+0.5
28
vs
ALCN
L 74-81
−19.5
7
vs
USI
W 77-55
+10.5
14
@
MILW
W 70-68
+4.5
18
vs
BRAD
L 99-108
−3.5
21
@
ILST
L 65-85
−6.5
29
vs
BEL
W 81-80
+8.5
1
@
UNI
L 66-75
+1.5
4
@
DRKE
L 72-74
+4.5
10
vs
EVAN
L 69-72
−10.5
14
vs
ILST
W 94-89
+11.5
17
@
MUR
L 81-85
+7.5
21
@
BRAD
L 68-75
+1.5
24
vs
DRKE
L 62-76
−17.5
27
@
UIC
L 74-76
+3.5
31
vs
VAL
L 72-76
−6.5
3
@
EVAN
W 84-63
+19.5
9
vs
SIU
L 65-80
−13.5
12
vs
MUR
L 72-74
+1.5
15
@
VAL
L 75-76
+3.5
18
vs
UNI
L 60-81
−15.5
21
@
BEL
L 70-87
−4.5
25
@
SIU
L 55-66
−2.5
1
vs
UIC
W 79-63
+19.5
5
vs
VAL
L 62-63
+1.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
CLT
L 76-92
+15.5
10
@
SIUE
W 64-55
−40.5
14
@
DUKE
L 62-100
−1.5
19
vs
LT
W 60-51
−36.5
22
vs
BALL
W 70-52
−32.5
26
@
LT
L 73-75
+6.5
28
vs
ALCN
L 74-81
+2.5
7
vs
USI
W 77-55
−26.5
14
@
MILW
W 70-68
−21.5
18
vs
BRAD
L 99-108
+56.5
21
@
ILST
L 65-85
−2.5
29
vs
BEL
W 81-80
+1.5
1
@
UNI
L 66-75
+5.5
4
@
DRKE
L 72-74
−3.5
10
vs
EVAN
L 69-72
−4.5
14
vs
ILST
W 94-89
+34.5
17
@
MUR
L 81-85
−1.5
21
@
BRAD
L 68-75
−12.5
24
vs
DRKE
L 62-76
−13.5
27
@
UIC
L 74-76
+2.5
31
vs
VAL
L 72-76
+2.5
3
@
EVAN
W 84-63
+1.5
9
vs
SIU
L 65-80
−1.5
12
vs
MUR
L 72-74
−17.5
15
@
VAL
L 75-76
+5.5
18
vs
UNI
L 60-81
+4.5
21
@
BEL
L 70-87
+0.5
25
@
SIU
L 55-66
−26.5
1
vs
UIC
W 79-63
−2.5
5
vs
VAL
L 62-63
−15.5
over 13under 17avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Charlotte has the better starters
Position by position: Charlotte 2, Indiana St 0, even 3
CharlotteBetterIndiana St
G D. Finister TR14.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 84
=Even
G K. Gregory TR16.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.9 ast
Score 70
G K. Tillery TR3.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 63
=Even
G M. White TR10.6 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.9 ast
Score 58
F D. Grant TR9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 71
←CLTBig
G M. Mitchell TR11.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1 ast
Score 28
F A. Conyers7.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 37
←CLTSmall
G D. Paschal TR3.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 16
F J. Fort TR3.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 49
=No call
G C. Puryear TR0.4 pts · 0.5 reb · 0 ast
Not ranked
CharlotteBetterIndiana St
CLT offense164th of 366 · -5.0
←CLTSmall
INST defense267th of 366 · -6.8
CLT defense129th of 366 · -2.3
=Even
INST offense162nd of 366 · -4.8
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
←CLTBig
Backcourt-3.1 · 5 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 3 players
=No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
=Even
Bench-0.1 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestCLT betterINST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
D. Finister33 min · TRK. Tillery12 min · TRJ. Rodriguez-Stegemeijer8 min · TRR. EvansNewF. OgucheNewL. BarnesNew
Forwards
D. Grant24 min · TRA. Conyers20 minJ. Fort14 min · TRT. McKinley12 min · TRM. AllenNew
Centers
P. Marshall11 min · TR
Guards
K. Gregory32 min · TRM. White31 min · TRM. Mitchell27 min · TRD. Paschal12 min · TRC. Puryear3 min · TRE. McQuillanNew
Forwards
A. Vlajic1 min · TRJ. CooperNewA. CalamitaNewK. LandNewK. SpeckmanNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 73.0 #225 | Points per game | 71.7 #254 |
| 1.12 #105 | Points per possession | 1.03 #295 |
| 65.5 #331 | Pace (possessions) | 69.7 #131 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.4 #86 | Effective FG% | 52.8 #110 |
| 35.2 #101 | 3-point % | 31.6 #305 |
| 45.4 #58 | 3-point attempt rate | 45.2 #62 |
| 36.4 #140 | Free throw rate | 27.4 #349 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.1 #278 | Turnover rate | 19.5 #338 |
| 33.9 #71 | Offensive rebound rate | 26.2 #317 |
| 12.9 #217 | Assists per game | 17.1 #22 |
| Defense | ||
| 74.3 #164 | Points allowed | 75.1 #193 |
| 1.13 #291 | Points allowed per possession | 1.08 #161 |
| 50.9 #152 | Opponent effective FG% | 50.2 #110 |
| 33.5 #153 | Opponent 3-point % | 31.2 #37 |
| 13.6 #345 | Turnovers forced | 14.9 #299 |
| 67.5 #283 | Defensive rebound rate | 68.2 #245 |
| 4.5 #353 | Steals per game | 6.0 #242 |
| 3.5 #150 | Blocks per game | 3.3 #176 |
Charlotte
16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Florida64–86
- Wvs UAB83–78
- Wvs Tulane74–60
- L@ South Florida60–83
- Lvs UAB74–80
A week or more of rest.
Indiana St
9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-17 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Valparaiso62–63
- Wvs UIC79–63
- L@ S Illinois55–66
- L@ Belmont70–87
- Lvs Northern Iowa60–81
A week or more of rest.