Massachusetts Minutemen at Troy Trojans: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 2, 7:00 PM ETTrojan Arena · at Troy

#209MASSUMass

#147TROYTroy

LineTROY -3.5moved 1 toward TROY

Total154.5up 1 from 153.5

Season records: UMass and Troy
MASS	This season	TROY
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TROY 80–73 · win probability TROY 73%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

Line

TROY -3.5

moved 1 toward TROY

Total

154.5

model 152.1 · Under by 2.5

Model edge

TROY by 3.5

model vs market

Public on the spread

74% TROY

83% of the money

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TROY has more of the edges

MASS 2, TROY 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

TROYBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: MASS 37.0, TROY 36.2. Allowed: MASS 44.6, TROY 31.4

TROYSmall

TROY offense vs MASS defense

Offense 143rd of 366 against a defense 248th, on the model’s ratings

MASSSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: MASS 33.3%, TROY 34.5%. Defensive: MASS 73.9%, TROY 68.3%

MASSSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: MASS 46%, TROY 11%. Transfers in: MASS 2, TROY 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Context

Tempo

About 71 possessions: MASS plays 72.7 a game (21st fastest), TROY 69.6 (141st). Faster games mean more points

TROYSmall

Home court

TROY at home. This season: TROY 0-0 at home, MASS 0-0 away

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: MASS 53.1 and allows 52.9; TROY 51.5 and allows 50.2

Even

Three-pointers

MASS hits 35.2% and allows 33.0%; TROY hits 33.0% and allows 31.6%. Threes are 35.4% and 45.9% of their shots

Context

Schedule so far

MASS has played the 181st-hardest schedule, TROY the 166th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: MASS 17.8%, TROY 17.3%. Forced: MASS 16.9%, TROY 16.7%

Even

MASS offense vs TROY defense

Offense 170th of 366 against a defense 162nd, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines

Situation	Games	Favorite won	Favorite covered	Went over
Home favorites of 3 to 6.5	3171	66%	50%	50%
Non-conference games at this spread	1736	67%	50%	49%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite	6763	75%	50%	51%
Games with a total of 150 to 154.5	2755	75%	51%	50%

A bet at standard prices needs 52.4% to break even, and most situations sit near 50%. Past rates, not a prediction.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenTROY -2.5

1 → TROY

NowTROY -3.5

1 pt toward TROY

Total

Open153.5

▲ 1

Now154.5

Up 1 since the open

Moneyline

MASS +136 · TROY -162

Line movement

Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot

Opened TROY -2.5 · now TROY -3.5 · moved 1 toward TROYmodel TROY -7

model TROY -7

Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

MASS +3.5Spread

TROY -3.5

Bets

26%74%

Money

17%83%

Over 154.5TotalUnder 154.5

Bets

26%74%

Money

24%76%

MASSWinner

TROY

Bets

9%91%

Money

15%86%

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Mon, Nov 2, 4:41 AM ET. ⓘ

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	MASS	TROY	Over	Under	MASS	TROY
BetMGMMGM	-3.5-110	+3.5-110	154.5-115	154.5-105	+135	-160
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-4-120	+4+100	154.5-115	154.5-105	—	—
BetRiversBetRivers	-2.5-110	+2.5-115	154.5-113	154.5-113	+125	-159
BetUSBetUS	-4-120	+4+100	154.5-115	154.5-105	—	—
BovadaBovada	-3-105	+3-115	154.5-110	154.5-110	+140	-165
DraftKingsDK	-3.5-110	+3.5-110	154.5-112	154.5-108	+136	-162
FanDuelFD	-3.5-112	+3.5-108	155.5-110	155.5-110	+136	-164
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-4-116	+4+104	154.5-113	154.5-103	—	—

Prices from The Odds API, updated 2:00 AM ET. Green = best price in the column.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	TROY -3.5	TROY -6.8	TROY +3.3
Total	154.5	152.1	Under 2.4
Projected score	—	MASS 72.6 · TROY 79.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	TROY -4.0	—
1H total	71.1	—
1H projected score	MASS 33.6 · TROY 37.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MASS LLWWL	13-19	41%	4-6	9-5
TROY WLWWL	18-14	56%	7-4	12-11

Venue/role: MASS away, as underdog; TROY home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
MASS OUOOU	20-12	63%	16-16
TROY OUOUU	14-18	44%	20-12

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MASS	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%
TROY	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UMass

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 6	vs BC	W76–74WO
Nov 11	vs UML	W80–60WU
Nov 17	vs BRY	No recent meeting

Troy

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 6	@ FSU	W79–72WO
Nov 10	vs LMU	L63–74LU
Nov 13	@ NCSU	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

UMass

32 games played

Straight up

16-16

50% wins

Against the spread

13-19

41% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

20-12

63% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1650%

L W W W L L W W W W W L L L L W W L W W L W W L L L L L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

13-1941%

L W L L L L W W W W W L L W W L L L L W W L L L W L L L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

20-1263%

U U O O U O U O U O O U O O O O O U O U O U O O O U O O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMRSH	L 72-78	-4.5	L −10.5	152.5	U 150
Nov 8	vsUALB	W 83-62	-9.5	W +11.5	155.5	U 145
Nov 13	vsLEM	W 94-80	-16.5	L −2.5	153.5	O 174
Nov 16	vsCCSU	W 84-77	-12.5	L −5.5	144.5	O 161
Nov 21	vsCOFC	L 65-69	+3.5	L −0.5	161.5	U 134
Nov 22	vsGB	L 75-79	-5.5	L −9.5	146.5	O 154
Nov 24	vsORST	W 73-65	+3.5	W +11.5	149.5	U 138
Dec 3	vsHARV	W 78-71	-5.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 149
Dec 6	vsUML	W 80-60	-11.5	W +8.5	155.5	U 140
Dec 10	vsBC	W 76-74	+1.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 150
Dec 13	vsFSU	W 103-95	+12.5	W +20.5	165.5	O 198
Dec 20	vsKENT	L 59-69	+1.5	L −8.5	163.5	U 128
Dec 30	@EMU	L 74-80	-2.5	L −8.5	148.5	O 154
Jan 3	vsBGSU	L 100-101	+1.5	W +0.5	152.5	O 201
Jan 6	@OHIO	L 83-86	+4.5	W +1.5	160.5	O 169
Jan 10	vsBALL	W 79-71	-10.5	L −2.5	147.5	O 150
Jan 13	@WMU	W 85-82	-5.5	L −2.5	157.5	O 167
Jan 17	@NIU	L 68-70	-8.5	L −10.5	157.5	U 138
Jan 20	vsTOL	W 84-82	-2.5	L −0.5	164.5	O 166
Jan 23	@BUF	W 68-67	+1.5	W +2.5	159.5	U 135
Jan 27	@M-OH	L 84-86	+9.5	W +7.5	164.5	O 170
Jan 31	vsEMU	W 70-67	-8.5	L −5.5	148.5	U 137
Feb 3	vsCMU	W 95-89	-11.5	L −5.5	152.5	O 184
Feb 7	@CCU	L 91-94	-2.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 185
Feb 13	@AKR	L 92-99	+12.5	W +5.5	163.5	O 191
Feb 17	vsM-OH	L 77-86	+3.5	L −5.5	163.5	U 163
Feb 21	vsBUF	L 82-86	-7.5	L −11.5	151.5	O 168
Feb 24	@BALL	L 73-74	-3.5	L −4.5	143.5	O 147
Feb 28	@BGSU	L 62-81	+3.5	L −15.5	150.5	U 143
Mar 3	vsOHIO	W 94-82	-1.5	W +10.5	156.5	O 176
Mar 12	vsM-OH	W 87-83	+6.5	W +10.5	161.5	O 170
Mar 13	vsTOL	L 67-77	+2.5	L −7.5	158.5	U 144

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MRSH

L 72-78

−10.5

UALB

W 83-62

+11.5

LEM

W 94-80

−2.5

CCSU

W 84-77

−5.5

COFC

L 65-69

−0.5

L 75-79

−9.5

ORST

W 73-65

+11.5

HARV

W 78-71

+1.5

UML

W 80-60

+8.5

W 76-74

+3.5

FSU

W 103-95

+20.5

KENT

L 59-69

−8.5

EMU

L 74-80

−8.5

BGSU

L 100-101

+0.5

OHIO

L 83-86

+1.5

BALL

W 79-71

−2.5

WMU

W 85-82

−2.5

NIU

L 68-70

−10.5

TOL

W 84-82

−0.5

BUF

W 68-67

+2.5

M-OH

L 84-86

+7.5

EMU

W 70-67

−5.5

CMU

W 95-89

−5.5

CCU

L 91-94

−5.5

AKR

L 92-99

+5.5

M-OH

L 77-86

−5.5

BUF

L 82-86

−11.5

BALL

L 73-74

−4.5

BGSU

L 62-81

−15.5

OHIO

W 94-82

+10.5

M-OH

W 87-83

+10.5

TOL

L 67-77

−7.5

covered 13didn’t cover 19avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MRSH

L 72-78

−2.5

UALB

W 83-62

−10.5

LEM

W 94-80

+20.5

CCSU

W 84-77

+16.5

COFC

L 65-69

−27.5

L 75-79

+7.5

ORST

W 73-65

−11.5

HARV

W 78-71

+5.5

UML

W 80-60

−15.5

W 76-74

+6.5

FSU

W 103-95

+32.5

KENT

L 59-69

−35.5

EMU

L 74-80

+5.5

BGSU

L 100-101

+48.5

OHIO

L 83-86

+8.5

BALL

W 79-71

+2.5

WMU

W 85-82

+9.5

NIU

L 68-70

−19.5

TOL

W 84-82

+1.5

BUF

W 68-67

−24.5

M-OH

L 84-86

+5.5

EMU

W 70-67

−11.5

CMU

W 95-89

+31.5

CCU

L 91-94

+37.5

AKR

L 92-99

+27.5

M-OH

L 77-86

−0.5

BUF

L 82-86

+16.5

BALL

L 73-74

+3.5

BGSU

L 62-81

−7.5

OHIO

W 94-82

+19.5

M-OH

W 87-83

+8.5

TOL

L 67-77

−14.5

over 20under 12avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Troy

32 games played

Straight up

20-12

63% wins

Against the spread

18-14

56% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

20-1263%

W W L L W L L W L W W W W L W W W W W L L W W L L W L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

18-1456%

W W L L W W L L L W W W W L W W W W W L L W W L L L L W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1844%

O U U O O O U U O O U O U U O O O O O U U U U U U U U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@KENT	W 103-97	+3.5	W +9.5	142.5	O 200
Nov 7	@FUR	W 64-61	+2.5	W +5.5	152.5	U 125
Nov 14	@LMU	L 63-74	+4.5	L −6.5	140.5	U 137
Nov 16	@CSUN	L 85-94	-4.5	L −13.5	157.5	O 179
Nov 18	@SDSU	W 108-107	+14.5	W +15.5	137.5	O 215
Nov 20	@USC	L 106-107	+18.5	W +17.5	159.5	O 213
Nov 24	vsTOL	L 68-75	-2.5	L −9.5	159.5	U 143
Nov 26	vsSFPA	W 74-64	-21.5	L −11.5	151.5	U 138
Dec 1	vsWGA	L 89-93	-17.5	L −21.5	150.5	O 182
Dec 14	@UAB	W 86-85	+6.5	W +7.5	155.5	O 171
Dec 20	vsMRSH	W 70-63	-4.5	W +2.5	155.5	U 133
Dec 31	vsTXST	W 100-80	-8.5	W +11.5	145.5	O 180
Jan 3	vsUSA	W 59-49	-9.5	W +0.5	148.5	U 108
Jan 7	@ARST	L 74-86	+4.5	L −7.5	160.5	U 160
Jan 10	@UL	W 90-70	-9.5	W +10.5	136.5	O 160
Jan 14	vsUSM	W 91-65	-8.5	W +17.5	145.5	O 156
Jan 17	vsARST	W 99-74	-3.5	W +21.5	165.5	O 173
Jan 21	@ODU	W 83-77	-5.5	W +0.5	152.5	O 160
Jan 24	@GASO	W 83-78	-4.5	W +0.5	159.5	O 161
Jan 29	vsJMU	L 64-73	-9.5	L −18.5	147.5	U 137
Jan 31	vsAPP	L 44-66	-7.5	L −29.5	137.5	U 110
Feb 4	@GAST	W 74-63	-6.5	W +4.5	144.5	U 137
Feb 7	vsAKR	W 79-69	+2.5	W +12.5	157.5	U 148
Feb 11	@TXST	L 62-74	-5.5	L −17.5	140.5	U 136
Feb 14	@USM	L 65-69	-5.5	L −9.5	144.5	U 134
Feb 18	@ULM	W 77-76	-17.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 153
Feb 21	@USA	L 54-65	-2.5	L −13.5	142.5	U 119
Feb 24	vsUL	W 78-59	-11.5	W +7.5	134.5	O 137
Feb 27	vsULM	W 80-65	-18.5	L −3.5	153.5	U 145
Mar 8	vsUSM	W 78-70	-5.5	W +2.5	142.5	O 148
Mar 9	vsGASO	W 77-61	-5.5	W +10.5	152.5	U 138
Mar 19	vsNEB	L 47-76	+13.5	L −15.5	139.5	U 123

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

KENT

W 103-97

+9.5

FUR

W 64-61

+5.5

LMU

L 63-74

−6.5

CSUN

L 85-94

−13.5

SDSU

W 108-107

+15.5

USC

L 106-107

+17.5

TOL

L 68-75

−9.5

SFPA

W 74-64

−11.5

WGA

L 89-93

−21.5

UAB

W 86-85

+7.5

MRSH

W 70-63

+2.5

TXST

W 100-80

+11.5

USA

W 59-49

+0.5

ARST

L 74-86

−7.5

W 90-70

+10.5

USM

W 91-65

+17.5

ARST

W 99-74

+21.5

ODU

W 83-77

+0.5

GASO

W 83-78

+0.5

JMU

L 64-73

−18.5

APP

L 44-66

−29.5

GAST

W 74-63

+4.5

AKR

W 79-69

+12.5

TXST

L 62-74

−17.5

USM

L 65-69

−9.5

ULM

W 77-76

−16.5

USA

L 54-65

−13.5

W 78-59

+7.5

ULM

W 80-65

−3.5

USM

W 78-70

+2.5

GASO

W 77-61

+10.5

NEB

L 47-76

−15.5

covered 18didn’t cover 14avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

KENT

W 103-97

+57.5

FUR

W 64-61

−27.5

LMU

L 63-74

−3.5

CSUN

L 85-94

+21.5

SDSU

W 108-107

+77.5

USC

L 106-107

+53.5

TOL

L 68-75

−16.5

SFPA

W 74-64

−13.5

WGA

L 89-93

+31.5

UAB

W 86-85

+15.5

MRSH

W 70-63

−22.5

TXST

W 100-80

+34.5

USA

W 59-49

−40.5

ARST

L 74-86

−0.5

W 90-70

+23.5

USM

W 91-65

+10.5

ARST

W 99-74

+7.5

ODU

W 83-77

+7.5

GASO

W 83-78

+1.5

JMU

L 64-73

−10.5

APP

L 44-66

−27.5

GAST

W 74-63

−7.5

AKR

W 79-69

−9.5

TXST

L 62-74

−4.5

USM

L 65-69

−10.5

ULM

W 77-76

−0.5

USA

L 54-65

−23.5

W 78-59

+2.5

ULM

W 80-65

−8.5

USM

W 78-70

+5.5

GASO

W 77-61

−14.5

NEB

L 47-76

−16.5

over 14under 18avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Troy has the better starters

Position by position: UMass 1, Troy 3, even 1

UMassBetterTroy

G D. Carbuccia6.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 6.3 ast Score 29

MASSSmall

G R. Davis TR9.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 14

G J. Ndjigue6.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.9 ast Score 34

TROYBig

G D. Oday TR18.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 95

G J. Clayton TR3.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 36

TROYBig

G J. Hutchinson TR12.1 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.3 ast Score 76

F J. Wang TR8.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 62

Even

F C. Diggs TR10.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 59

F D. Wimbley2.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 0

TROYSmall

F K. Kiel3.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 1 ast Score 23

UMassBetterTroy

MASS offense170th of 366 · -5.2

Even

TROY defense162nd of 366 · -3.6

MASS defense248th of 366 · -6.5

TROYSmall

TROY offense143rd of 366 · -4.3

Backcourt-4.5 · 3 players

TROYBig

Backcourt+1.4 · 3 players

Frontcourt-2.5 · 2 players

TROYSmall

Frontcourt-1.0 · 2 players

Bench-1.3 · 3 players

Even

Bench-2.0 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestMASS betterTROY betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

UMass

Guards

D. Carbuccia28 minJ. Ndjigue27 minJ. Clayton18 min · TRR. Castineyra3 minJ. EngelNewC. HaileyNew

Forwards

J. Wang20 min · TRD. Wimbley14 minL. Damjanac10 minD. Clerc9 minA. AhmedNewC. SyllaNew

Troy

Guards

R. Davis31 min · TRD. Oday30 min · TRJ. Hutchinson29 min · TRH. Awata2 minJ. KontuniemiNewR. ValakouNew

Forwards

C. Diggs23 min · TRK. Kiel16 minM. Ikegwuruka13 min · TRS. Walters9 min · TRE. Griffin5 min

Centers

A. PachecoNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

MASS79.9 #68

TROY77.3 #110

Points per possession

MASS1.10 #144

TROY1.11 #113

Pace (possessions)

MASS72.7 #21

TROY69.6 #141

Shooting

Effective FG%

MASS53.1 #99

TROY51.5 #171

3-point %

MASS35.2 #100

TROY33.0 #229

3-point attempt rate

MASS35.4 #265

TROY45.9 #47

Free throw rate

MASS37.0 #130

TROY36.2 #147

Possessions

Turnover rate

MASS17.8 #263

TROY17.3 #226

Offensive rebound rate

MASS33.3 #80

TROY34.5 #59

Assists per game

MASS16.7 #30

TROY15.0 #86

Defense

Points allowed

MASS78.8 #288

TROY74.5 #178

Points allowed per possession

MASS1.09 #189

TROY1.07 #128

Opponent effective FG%

MASS52.9 #262

TROY50.2 #111

Opponent 3-point %

MASS33.0 #121

TROY31.6 #47

Turnovers forced

MASS16.9 #162

TROY16.7 #173

Defensive rebound rate

MASS73.9 #20

TROY68.3 #243

Steals per game

MASS6.6 #164

TROY7.2 #107

Blocks per game

MASS2.2 #334

TROY3.3 #169

MASS		TROY
Scoring
79.9 #68	Points per game	77.3 #110
1.10 #144	Points per possession	1.11 #113
72.7 #21	Pace (possessions)	69.6 #141
Shooting
53.1 #99	Effective FG%	51.5 #171
35.2 #100	3-point %	33.0 #229
35.4 #265	3-point attempt rate	45.9 #47
37.0 #130	Free throw rate	36.2 #147
Possessions
17.8 #263	Turnover rate	17.3 #226
33.3 #80	Offensive rebound rate	34.5 #59
16.7 #30	Assists per game	15.0 #86
Defense
78.8 #288	Points allowed	74.5 #178
1.09 #189	Points allowed per possession	1.07 #128
52.9 #262	Opponent effective FG%	50.2 #111
33.0 #121	Opponent 3-point %	31.6 #47
16.9 #162	Turnovers forced	16.7 #173
73.9 #20	Defensive rebound rate	68.3 #243
6.6 #164	Steals per game	7.2 #107
2.2 #334	Blocks per game	3.3 #169

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UMass

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Toledo67–77
Wvs Miami OH87–83
Wvs Ohio94–82
L@ Bowling Green62–81
L@ Ball State73–74

A week or more of rest.

Troy

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Nebraska47–76
Wvs GA Southern77–61
Wvs Southern Miss78–70
Wvs UL Monroe80–65
Wvs Louisiana78–59

A week or more of rest.