1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. BRY @ MASS
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

Bryant Bulldogs at Massachusetts Minutemen

Mullins Center · at UMass
#290BRYBryant
@
#209MASSUMass
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BRYThis seasonMASS
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MASS 79–69 · win probability MASS 81%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MASS has more of the edges

BRY 0, MASS 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MASSBig
Three-pointers
BRY hits 30.0% and allows 36.3%; MASS hits 35.2% and allows 33.0%. Threes are 47.9% and 35.4% of their shots
MASSBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BRY 27.7%, MASS 33.3%. Defensive: BRY 69.0%, MASS 73.9%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: BRY plays 65.2 a game (338th fastest), MASS 72.7 (21st). Faster games mean more points
MASSBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BRY 20.2%, MASS 17.8%. Forced: BRY 14.6%, MASS 16.9%
MASSBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: BRY 46.9 and allows 52.7; MASS 53.1 and allows 52.9
MASSSmall
MASS offense vs BRY defense
Offense 170th of 366 against a defense 254th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
BRY has played the 261st-hardest schedule, MASS the 181st. A record against a soft schedule means less
MASSSmall
BRY offense vs MASS defense
Offense 306th of 366 against a defense 248th, on the model’s ratings
MASSSmall
Home court
MASS at home. This season: MASS 0-0 at home, BRY 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BRY 29%, MASS 46%. Transfers in: BRY 3, MASS 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BRY 29.4, MASS 37.0. Allowed: BRY 33.5, MASS 44.6
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MASS -10.2—
Total—148.0—
Projected score—BRY 68.9 · MASS 79.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMASS -5.9—
1H total69.2—
1H projected scoreBRY 31.6 · MASS 37.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Bryant 0, UMass 0, even 5
BryantBetterUMass
G T. Tabales9 pts · 2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 20
Even
G D. Carbuccia6.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 6.3 ast Score 29
G F. Vassalluzzo0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Ndjigue6.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.9 ast Score 34
F A. Pasha TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 39
Even
G J. Clayton TR3.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 36
F K. Harvey10.9 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 64
Even
F J. Wang TR8.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 62
F E. Chatfield TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Wimbley2.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 0
BryantBetterUMass
BRY offense306th of 366 · -9.5
MASSSmall
MASS defense248th of 366 · -6.5
BRY defense254th of 366 · -6.6
MASSSmall
MASS offense170th of 366 · -5.2
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
BRYSmall
Backcourt-4.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.5 · 2 players
Bench-0.0 · 3 players
BRYSmall
Bench-1.3 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestBRY betterMASS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bryant
Guards
T. Tabales28 minF. Vassalluzzo1 minJ. Sepe1 minM. DeOrsey1 minR. WoernerNew
Forwards
A. Pasha33 min · TRK. Harvey27 minE. Chatfield13 min · TRO. Nnani1 min · TRD. ThompsonNewC. LyonsNew
UMass
Guards
D. Carbuccia28 minJ. Ndjigue27 minJ. Clayton18 min · TRR. Castineyra3 minJ. EngelNewC. HaileyNew
Forwards
J. Wang20 min · TRD. Wimbley14 minL. Damjanac10 minD. Clerc9 minA. AhmedNewC. SyllaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BRYMASS
Scoring
63.0 #358Points per game79.9 #68
0.96 #351Points per possession1.10 #144
65.2 #338Pace (possessions)72.7 #21
Shooting
46.9 #340Effective FG%53.1 #99
30.0 #3433-point %35.2 #100
47.9 #253-point attempt rate35.4 #265
29.4 #322Free throw rate37.0 #130
Possessions
20.2 #351Turnover rate17.8 #263
27.7 #276Offensive rebound rate33.3 #80
11.4 #314Assists per game16.7 #30
Defense
73.3 #138Points allowed78.8 #288
1.13 #283Points allowed per possession1.09 #189
52.7 #257Opponent effective FG%52.9 #262
36.3 #320Opponent 3-point %33.0 #121
14.6 #313Turnovers forced16.9 #162
69.0 #203Defensive rebound rate73.9 #20
5.9 #250Steals per game6.6 #164
3.9 #88Blocks per game2.2 #334
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bryant

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Vermont57–77
  • L@ New Hampshire83–88
  • Wvs NJIT69–52
  • L@ UMBC58–70
  • Lvs Binghamton67–79

A week or more of rest.

UMass

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Toledo67–77
  • Wvs Miami OH87–83
  • Wvs Ohio94–82
  • L@ Bowling Green62–81
  • L@ Ball State73–74

A week or more of rest.