1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. BRY @ MRST
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Bryant Bulldogs at Marist Red Foxes

McCann Arena · at Marist
#290BRYBryant
@
#235MRSTMarist
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BRYThis seasonMRST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MRST 73–64 · win probability MRST 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 136.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MRST has more of the edges

BRY 2, MRST 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MRSTBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BRY 20.2%, MRST 17.0%. Forced: BRY 14.6%, MRST 19.4%
MRSTBig
Three-pointers
BRY hits 30.0% and allows 36.3%; MRST hits 32.2% and allows 28.6%. Threes are 47.9% and 34.6% of their shots
MRSTBig
BRY offense vs MRST defense
Offense 306th of 366 against a defense 135th, on the model’s ratings
MRSTBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: BRY 46.9 and allows 52.7; MRST 49.3 and allows 45.6
MRSTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BRY 27.7%, MRST 29.1%. Defensive: BRY 69.0%, MRST 71.7%
Context
Schedule so far
BRY has played the 261st-hardest schedule, MRST the 339th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BRYSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: BRY 29.4, MRST 25.7. Allowed: BRY 33.5, MRST 37.6
BRYSmall
MRST offense vs BRY defense
Offense 322nd of 366 against a defense 254th, on the model’s ratings
MRSTSmall
Home court
MRST at home. This season: MRST 0-0 at home, BRY 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: BRY plays 65.2 a game (338th fastest), MRST 66.8 (286th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BRY 29%, MRST 31%. Transfers in: BRY 3, MRST 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MRST -8.6—
Total—136.8—
Projected score—BRY 64.1 · MRST 72.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMRST -5.0—
1H total64.1—
1H projected scoreBRY 29.5 · MRST 34.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Marist has the better starters

Position by position: Bryant 0, Marist 1, even 4
BryantBetterMarist
G T. Tabales9 pts · 2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 20
Even
G J. Collins-Roberts7.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 3.2 ast Score 27
G F. Vassalluzzo0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Graham TR11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 43
F A. Pasha TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 39
MRSTSmall
F M. Parker5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
F K. Harvey10.9 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 64
No call
C T. Watson6.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
F E. Chatfield TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
No call
C J. Gabriel2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
BryantBetterMarist
BRY offense306th of 366 · -9.5
MRSTBig
MRST defense135th of 366 · -2.6
BRY defense254th of 366 · -6.6
BRYSmall
MRST offense322nd of 366 · -10.5
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-3.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
MRSTSmall
Frontcourt-0.0 · 3 players
Bench-0.0 · 3 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestBRY betterMRST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bryant
Guards
T. Tabales28 minF. Vassalluzzo1 minJ. Sepe1 minM. DeOrsey1 minR. WoernerNew
Forwards
A. Pasha33 min · TRK. Harvey27 minE. Chatfield13 min · TRO. Nnani1 min · TRD. ThompsonNewC. LyonsNew
Marist
Guards
J. Collins-Roberts31 minJ. Graham28 min · TRJ. WilliamsNewC. SweeneyNewB. ArnoldNewD. ChessNew
Forwards
M. Parker15 minE. OnyiaNewL. RodriguezNew
Centers
T. Watson11 minJ. Gabriel7 minL. FranzNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BRYMRST
Scoring
63.0 #358Points per game68.9 #301
0.96 #351Points per possession1.04 #276
65.2 #338Pace (possessions)66.8 #286
Shooting
46.9 #340Effective FG%49.3 #276
30.0 #3433-point %32.2 #272
47.9 #253-point attempt rate34.6 #285
29.4 #322Free throw rate25.7 #360
Possessions
20.2 #351Turnover rate17.0 #202
27.7 #276Offensive rebound rate29.1 #233
11.4 #314Assists per game15.0 #89
Defense
73.3 #138Points allowed63.9 #4
1.13 #283Points allowed per possession0.95 #3
52.7 #257Opponent effective FG%45.6 #5
36.3 #320Opponent 3-point %28.6 #2
14.6 #313Turnovers forced19.4 #35
69.0 #203Defensive rebound rate71.7 #77
5.9 #250Steals per game7.1 #116
3.9 #88Blocks per game3.1 #200
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bryant

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Vermont57–77
  • L@ New Hampshire83–88
  • Wvs NJIT69–52
  • L@ UMBC58–70
  • Lvs Binghamton67–79

A week or more of rest.

Marist

18-12 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Merrimack57–58
  • Wvs Quinnipiac77–75
  • Lvs Saint Peter's56–63
  • Wvs Sacred Heart65–63
  • W@ Manhattan84–70

A week or more of rest.