1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Dec 4
  3. SHU @ MRST
NCAAB · Fri, Dec 4

Sacred Heart Pioneers at Marist Red Foxes

McCann Arena · at Marist · Conference game
#311SHUSacred Heart
@
#235MRSTMarist
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SHUThis seasonMRST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MRST 75–67 · win probability MRST 76%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MRST has more of the edges

SHU 1, MRST 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MRSTBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SHU 17.6%, MRST 17.0%. Forced: SHU 14.6%, MRST 19.4%
SHUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: SHU 31.0, MRST 25.7. Allowed: SHU 27.0, MRST 37.6
MRSTBig
SHU offense vs MRST defense
Offense 281st of 366 against a defense 135th, on the model’s ratings
MRSTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: SHU 52.0 and allows 53.5; MRST 49.3 and allows 45.6
MRSTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SHU 28.6%, MRST 29.1%. Defensive: SHU 69.1%, MRST 71.7%
MRSTSmall
Home court
MRST at home. This season: MRST 0-0 at home, SHU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: SHU plays 68.6 a game (201st fastest), MRST 66.8 (286th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SHU 18%, MRST 31%. Transfers in: SHU 3, MRST 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
SHU hits 35.7% and allows 34.9%; MRST hits 32.2% and allows 28.6%. Threes are 50.7% and 34.6% of their shots
Even
MRST offense vs SHU defense
Offense 322nd of 366 against a defense 334th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SHU has played the 340th-hardest schedule, MRST the 339th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MRST -8.1—
Total—142.4—
Projected score—SHU 67.2 · MRST 75.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMRST -4.7—
1H total66.6—
1H projected scoreSHU 31 · MRST 35.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Sacred Heart 1, Marist 1, even 3
Sacred HeartBetterMarist
G J. Van Buggenhout TR6.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.1 ast Score 42
SHUSmall
G J. Collins-Roberts7.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 3.2 ast Score 27
G J. Slaughter5.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20
MRSTSmall
G J. Graham TR11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 43
G S. Reilly TR3.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast Score 47
Even
F M. Parker5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
F A. Yadd6 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5
No call
C T. Watson6.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
F J. Robinson TR2.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 26
No call
C J. Gabriel2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
Sacred HeartBetterMarist
SHU offense281st of 366 · -8.7
MRSTBig
MRST defense135th of 366 · -2.6
SHU defense334th of 366 · -8.8
Even
MRST offense322nd of 366 · -10.5
Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-3.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players
MRSTSmall
Frontcourt-0.0 · 3 players
Bench-0.0 · 1 player
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestSHU betterMRST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Sacred Heart
Guards
J. Van Buggenhout21 min · TRJ. Slaughter21 minS. Reilly9 min · TRM. Sheppard1 minG. BarroukNewJ. WallaceNew
Forwards
A. Yadd15 minJ. Robinson10 min · TRK. CurtisNewL. KrygierNew
Marist
Guards
J. Collins-Roberts31 minJ. Graham28 min · TRJ. WilliamsNewC. SweeneyNewB. ArnoldNewD. ChessNew
Forwards
M. Parker15 minE. OnyiaNewL. RodriguezNew
Centers
T. Watson11 minJ. Gabriel7 minL. FranzNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SHUMRST
Scoring
74.3 #186Points per game68.9 #301
1.08 #180Points per possession1.04 #276
68.6 #201Pace (possessions)66.8 #286
Shooting
52.0 #145Effective FG%49.3 #276
35.7 #733-point %32.2 #272
50.7 #123-point attempt rate34.6 #285
31.0 #281Free throw rate25.7 #360
Possessions
17.6 #249Turnover rate17.0 #202
28.6 #246Offensive rebound rate29.1 #233
14.6 #112Assists per game15.0 #89
Defense
77.6 #253Points allowed63.9 #4
1.13 #296Points allowed per possession0.95 #3
53.5 #283Opponent effective FG%45.6 #5
34.9 #241Opponent 3-point %28.6 #2
14.6 #320Turnovers forced19.4 #35
69.1 #199Defensive rebound rate71.7 #77
5.4 #305Steals per game7.1 #116
3.0 #223Blocks per game3.1 #200
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Sacred Heart

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 10-12 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Merrimack48–70
  • Wvs Iona91–80
  • Wvs Mount St Marys77–69
  • L@ Marist63–65
  • L@ Fairfield68–78

A week or more of rest.

Marist

18-12 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Merrimack57–58
  • Wvs Quinnipiac77–75
  • Lvs Saint Peter's56–63
  • Wvs Sacred Heart65–63
  • W@ Manhattan84–70

A week or more of rest.