Sacred Heart Pioneers at Saint Peter's Peacocks: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Dec 6, 2:00 PM ETYanitelli Center · at Saint Peter's · Conference game

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Sacred Heart and Saint Peter's
SHU	This season	SPU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SPU 75–69 · win probability SPU 70%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 144.2

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SPU has more of the edges

SHU 1, SPU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

SPUBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: SHU 17.6%, SPU 17.7%. Forced: SHU 14.6%, SPU 20.0%

SHUSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: SHU 31.0, SPU 35.5. Allowed: SHU 27.0, SPU 46.4

SPUSmall

SHU offense vs SPU defense

Offense 281st of 366 against a defense 182nd, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: SHU plays 68.6 a game (201st fastest), SPU 66.1 (308th). Faster games mean more points

SPUSmall

Home court

SPU at home. This season: SPU 0-0 at home, SHU 0-0 away

SPUSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: SHU 28.6%, SPU 37.0%. Defensive: SHU 69.1%, SPU 65.3%

Even

Three-pointers

SHU hits 35.7% and allows 34.9%; SPU hits 31.0% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 50.7% and 38.8% of their shots

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: SHU 18%, SPU 32%. Transfers in: SHU 3, SPU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: SHU 52.0 and allows 53.5; SPU 46.4 and allows 48.1

Context

Schedule so far

SHU has played the 340th-hardest schedule, SPU the 335th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

SPU offense vs SHU defense

Offense 336th of 366 against a defense 334th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	SPU -6.0	—
Total	—	144.2	—
Projected score	—	SHU 69.1 · SPU 75.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SPU -3.5	—
1H total	67.5	—
1H projected score	SHU 32 · SPU 35.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SHU LWWWL	15-17	47%	8-10	—
SPU LLWWL	17-11	61%	11-2	—

Venue/role: SHU away; SPU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
SHU UUUOU	15-17	47%	13-19
SPU UUUUU	10-18	36%	16-12

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SHU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
SPU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Sacred Heart

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 9	vs UML	L82–87LO
Dec 14	vs QUC	L64–81LU

Saint Peter's

No more games listed yet.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

SHU 1–2 SPUSPU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · SHU 1-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 13, 2025-26	SPU 71 @ SHU 78	SHU +1.5	SHU W
Feb 23, 2024-25	SHU 79 @ SPU 85	SPU -1.5	SPU W
Jan 18, 2024-25	SPU 66 @ SHU 61	SHU -2.5	SPU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Sacred Heart

32 games played

Straight up

13-19

41% wins

Against the spread

15-17

47% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-17

47% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1941%

L L L W L L W L W L W L L L L L L W W W W W L L L W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1747%

W L L W W L W L W L W L L L L W L W W L L W L L L W W L W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1747%

O U U U O U O U U O U U O U O O U O O U O O U O U O O U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@DUQ	L 80-92	+12.5	W +0.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 11	@VILL	L 60-94	+19.5	L −14.5	160.5	U 154
Nov 15	@QUC	L 64-81	+5.5	L −11.5	165.5	U 145
Nov 21	vsHC	W 79-66	-7.5	W +5.5	152.5	U 145
Nov 24	@CCSU	L 106-108	+3.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 214
Nov 29	@PSU	L 59-90	+14.5	L −16.5	160.5	U 149
Dec 3	@MSM	W 87-80	-1.5	W +5.5	152.5	O 167
Dec 7	vsIONA	L 69-81	-1.5	L −13.5	163.5	U 150
Dec 13	@NJIT	W 65-49	-6.5	W +9.5	151.5	U 114
Dec 16	@UML	L 82-87	-2.5	L −7.5	151.5	O 169
Dec 19	vsDART	W 85-63	+1.5	W +23.5	155.5	U 148
Dec 22	@TOW	L 47-72	+13.5	L −11.5	145.5	U 119
Dec 29	vsMRMK	L 72-80	-1.5	L −9.5	144.5	O 152
Jan 2	@NIA	L 61-64	-1.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 125
Jan 4	@CAN	L 78-82	-5.5	L −9.5	141.5	O 160
Jan 9	vsMRST	L 72-76	+5.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 148
Jan 11	vsQUIN	L 60-70	+5.5	L −4.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 14	@SIE	W 86-80	+8.5	W +14.5	139.5	O 166
Jan 19	@RID	W 105-85	-4.5	W +15.5	144.5	O 190
Jan 22	vsCAN	W 69-66	-10.5	L −7.5	145.5	U 135
Jan 24	vsNIA	W 71-70	-9.5	L −8.5	139.5	O 141
Jan 30	@QUIN	W 98-91	+8.5	W +15.5	156.5	O 189
Feb 1	@MRMK	L 58-75	+5.5	L −11.5	147.5	U 133
Feb 5	vsFAIR	L 87-92	-1.5	L −6.5	155.5	O 179
Feb 7	@MAN	L 68-80	-1.5	L −13.5	161.5	U 148
Feb 13	vsSPU	W 78-71	+1.5	W +8.5	147.5	O 149
Feb 15	vsRID	W 86-75	-9.5	W +1.5	146.5	O 161
Feb 20	@FAIR	L 68-78	+4.5	L −5.5	158.5	U 146
Feb 22	@MRST	L 63-65	+7.5	W +5.5	146.5	U 128
Feb 27	vsMSM	W 77-69	-2.5	W +5.5	150.5	U 146
Mar 5	vsIONA	W 91-80	+3.5	W +14.5	149.5	O 171
Mar 6	vsMRMK	L 48-70	+6.5	L −15.5	143.5	U 118

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DUQ

L 80-92

+0.5

VILL

L 60-94

−14.5

QUC

L 64-81

−11.5

W 79-66

+5.5

CCSU

L 106-108

+1.5

PSU

L 59-90

−16.5

MSM

W 87-80

+5.5

IONA

L 69-81

−13.5

NJIT

W 65-49

+9.5

UML

L 82-87

−7.5

DART

W 85-63

+23.5

TOW

L 47-72

−11.5

MRMK

L 72-80

−9.5

NIA

L 61-64

−4.5

CAN

L 78-82

−9.5

MRST

L 72-76

+1.5

QUIN

L 60-70

−4.5

SIE

W 86-80

+14.5

RID

W 105-85

+15.5

CAN

W 69-66

−7.5

NIA

W 71-70

−8.5

QUIN

W 98-91

+15.5

MRMK

L 58-75

−11.5

FAIR

L 87-92

−6.5

MAN

L 68-80

−13.5

SPU

W 78-71

+8.5

RID

W 86-75

+1.5

FAIR

L 68-78

−5.5

MRST

L 63-65

+5.5

MSM

W 77-69

+5.5

IONA

W 91-80

+14.5

MRMK

L 48-70

−15.5

covered 15didn’t cover 17avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DUQ

L 80-92

+14.5

VILL

L 60-94

−6.5

QUC

L 64-81

−20.5

W 79-66

−7.5

CCSU

L 106-108

+70.5

PSU

L 59-90

−11.5

MSM

W 87-80

+14.5

IONA

L 69-81

−13.5

NJIT

W 65-49

−37.5

UML

L 82-87

+17.5

DART

W 85-63

−7.5

TOW

L 47-72

−26.5

MRMK

L 72-80

+7.5

NIA

L 61-64

−14.5

CAN

L 78-82

+18.5

MRST

L 72-76

+4.5

QUIN

L 60-70

−22.5

SIE

W 86-80

+26.5

RID

W 105-85

+45.5

CAN

W 69-66

−10.5

NIA

W 71-70

+1.5

QUIN

W 98-91

+32.5

MRMK

L 58-75

−14.5

FAIR

L 87-92

+23.5

MAN

L 68-80

−13.5

SPU

W 78-71

+1.5

RID

W 86-75

+14.5

FAIR

L 68-78

−12.5

MRST

L 63-65

−18.5

MSM

W 77-69

−4.5

IONA

W 91-80

+21.5

MRMK

L 48-70

−25.5

over 15under 17avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Saint Peter's

28 games played

Straight up

16-12

57% wins

Against the spread

17-11

61% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

10-18

36% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1257%

L W L L W L W W L W W L W W W W L W L W W L W L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-1161%

L W W L L L W W W W W L W W W W L W L W W L W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

10-1836%

U O U O U O U U O U U U O O U U U U O O U O O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@HALL	L 50-77	+13.5	L −13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 8	vsFDU	W 93-83	-6.5	W +3.5	137.5	O 176
Nov 12	@VCU	L 61-78	+20.5	W +3.5	147.5	U 139
Nov 18	@DEL	L 70-81	+4.5	L −6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 22	vsUML	W 68-66	-8.5	L −6.5	147.5	U 134
Nov 29	vsDART	L 61-87	-3.5	L −29.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 5	vsCAN	W 69-57	-9.5	W +2.5	129.5	U 126
Dec 7	vsNIA	W 71-43	-5.5	W +22.5	131.5	U 114
Dec 13	@GTWN	L 68-76	+20.5	W +12.5	140.5	O 144
Dec 29	@FAIR	W 70-66	+2.5	W +6.5	140.5	U 136
Jan 2	vsMRST	W 69-59	+2.5	W +12.5	133.5	U 128
Jan 9	@MSM	L 65-70	-1.5	L −6.5	141.5	U 135
Jan 11	vsMRMK	W 76-63	-1.5	W +11.5	133.5	O 139
Jan 14	@QUIN	W 74-70	+6.5	W +10.5	140.5	O 144
Jan 17	vsRID	W 69-58	-10.5	W +0.5	134.5	U 127
Jan 19	vsIONA	W 77-63	-3.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 140
Jan 24	@MRMK	L 59-67	+2.5	L −5.5	134.5	U 126
Jan 30	vsMSM	W 66-58	-5.5	W +2.5	138.5	U 124
Feb 1	@RID	L 78-81	-7.5	L −10.5	136.5	O 159
Feb 5	@MAN	W 80-75	-4.5	W +0.5	144.5	O 155
Feb 7	vsSIE	W 70-65	+1.5	W +6.5	135.5	U 135
Feb 13	@SHU	L 71-78	-1.5	L −8.5	147.5	O 149
Feb 15	vsFAIR	W 83-74	-3.5	W +5.5	141.5	O 157
Feb 20	@IONA	L 64-72	+1.5	L −6.5	140.5	U 136
Feb 22	@SIE	L 63-72	+5.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 135
Feb 27	vsMAN	W 75-65	-7.5	W +2.5	145.5	U 140
Mar 1	@MRST	W 63-56	+4.5	W +11.5	132.5	U 119
Mar 6	vsFAIR	L 55-74	-1.5	L −20.5	137.5	U 129

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HALL

L 50-77

−13.5

FDU

W 93-83

+3.5

VCU

L 61-78

+3.5

DEL

L 70-81

−6.5

UML

W 68-66

−6.5

DART

L 61-87

−29.5

CAN

W 69-57

+2.5

NIA

W 71-43

+22.5

GTWN

L 68-76

+12.5

FAIR

W 70-66

+6.5

MRST

W 69-59

+12.5

MSM

L 65-70

−6.5

MRMK

W 76-63

+11.5

QUIN

W 74-70

+10.5

RID

W 69-58

+0.5

IONA

W 77-63

+10.5

MRMK

L 59-67

−5.5

MSM

W 66-58

+2.5

RID

L 78-81

−10.5

MAN

W 80-75

+0.5

SIE

W 70-65

+6.5

SHU

L 71-78

−8.5

FAIR

W 83-74

+5.5

IONA

L 64-72

−6.5

SIE

L 63-72

−3.5

MAN

W 75-65

+2.5

MRST

W 63-56

+11.5

FAIR

L 55-74

−20.5

covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HALL

L 50-77

−2.5

FDU

W 93-83

+38.5

VCU

L 61-78

−8.5

DEL

L 70-81

+13.5

UML

W 68-66

−13.5

DART

L 61-87

+3.5

CAN

W 69-57

−3.5

NIA

W 71-43

−17.5

GTWN

L 68-76

+3.5

FAIR

W 70-66

−4.5

MRST

W 69-59

−5.5

MSM

L 65-70

−6.5

MRMK

W 76-63

+5.5

QUIN

W 74-70

+3.5

RID

W 69-58

−7.5

IONA

W 77-63

−1.5

MRMK

L 59-67

−8.5

MSM

W 66-58

−14.5

RID

L 78-81

+22.5

MAN

W 80-75

+10.5

SIE

W 70-65

−0.5

SHU

L 71-78

+1.5

FAIR

W 83-74

+15.5

IONA

L 64-72

−4.5

SIE

L 63-72

−0.5

MAN

W 75-65

−5.5

MRST

W 63-56

−13.5

FAIR

L 55-74

−8.5

over 10under 18avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Sacred Heart 1, Saint Peter's 1, even 3

Sacred HeartBetterSaint Peter's

G J. Van Buggenhout TR6.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.1 ast Score 42

Even

G B. Wilson TR9.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 1 ast Score 29

G J. Slaughter5.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20

SPUBig

G B. Eaton11.2 pts · 3 reb · 3.9 ast Score 56

G S. Reilly TR3.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast Score 47

SHUBig

G E. Perkins4 pts · 3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 9

F A. Yadd6 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5

No call

G S. Simpson3.1 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked

F J. Robinson TR2.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 26

No call

F T. Patterson TR1.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

Sacred HeartBetterSaint Peter's

SHU offense281st of 366 · -8.7

SPUSmall

SPU defense182nd of 366 · -4.1

SHU defense334th of 366 · -8.8

Even

SPU offense336th of 366 · -11.0

Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players

SHUBig

Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players

Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players

SPUSmall

Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player

Bench-0.0 · 1 player

SHUSmall

Bench-1.1 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestSHU betterSPU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Sacred Heart

Guards

J. Van Buggenhout21 min · TRJ. Slaughter21 minS. Reilly9 min · TRM. Sheppard1 minG. BarroukNewJ. WallaceNew

Forwards

A. Yadd15 minJ. Robinson10 min · TRK. CurtisNewL. KrygierNew

Saint Peter's

Guards

B. Wilson28 min · TRB. Eaton28 minE. Perkins26 minS. Simpson11 minP. Glassnor6 min · TRK. WalkerNew

Forwards

T. Patterson8 min · TRB. Tshilobo2 min · TRA. WatsonNewX. ThomasNewJ. MathewsNew

Centers

J. Noudjihidi7 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

SHU74.3 #186

SPU69.2 #296

Points per possession

SHU1.08 #180

SPU1.05 #252

Pace (possessions)

SHU68.6 #201

SPU66.1 #308

Shooting

Effective FG%

SHU52.0 #145

SPU46.4 #347

3-point %

SHU35.7 #73

SPU31.0 #321

3-point attempt rate

SHU50.7 #12

SPU38.8 #197

Free throw rate

SHU31.0 #281

SPU35.5 #163

Possessions

Turnover rate

SHU17.6 #249

SPU17.7 #251

Offensive rebound rate

SHU28.6 #246

SPU37.0 #16

Assists per game

SHU14.6 #112

SPU12.5 #253

Defense

Points allowed

SHU77.6 #253

SPU69.1 #48

Points allowed per possession

SHU1.13 #296

SPU1.04 #78

Opponent effective FG%

SHU53.5 #283

SPU48.1 #39

Opponent 3-point %

SHU34.9 #241

SPU32.1 #68

Turnovers forced

SHU14.6 #320

SPU20.0 #23

Defensive rebound rate

SHU69.1 #199

SPU65.3 #330

Steals per game

SHU5.4 #305

SPU8.8 #13

Blocks per game

SHU3.0 #223

SPU3.9 #92

SHU		SPU
Scoring
74.3 #186	Points per game	69.2 #296
1.08 #180	Points per possession	1.05 #252
68.6 #201	Pace (possessions)	66.1 #308
Shooting
52.0 #145	Effective FG%	46.4 #347
35.7 #73	3-point %	31.0 #321
50.7 #12	3-point attempt rate	38.8 #197
31.0 #281	Free throw rate	35.5 #163
Possessions
17.6 #249	Turnover rate	17.7 #251
28.6 #246	Offensive rebound rate	37.0 #16
14.6 #112	Assists per game	12.5 #253
Defense
77.6 #253	Points allowed	69.1 #48
1.13 #296	Points allowed per possession	1.04 #78
53.5 #283	Opponent effective FG%	48.1 #39
34.9 #241	Opponent 3-point %	32.1 #68
14.6 #320	Turnovers forced	20.0 #23
69.1 #199	Defensive rebound rate	65.3 #330
5.4 #305	Steals per game	8.8 #13
3.0 #223	Blocks per game	3.9 #92

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Sacred Heart

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 10-12 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Merrimack48–70
Wvs Iona91–80
Wvs Mount St Marys77–69
L@ Marist63–65
L@ Fairfield68–78

A week or more of rest.

Saint Peter's

16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Fairfield55–74
W@ Marist63–56
Wvs Manhattan75–65
L@ Siena63–72
L@ Iona64–72

A week or more of rest.

Sacred Heart Pioneers at Saint Peter's Peacocks

What could decide it: SPU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Sacred Heart

Saint Peter's

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Sacred Heart

Saint Peter's