Yanitelli Center · at Saint Peter's · Conference game
Closing line
SPU -5.5✓ SPU covered by 2.5
SPU -5.5✓ SPU covered by 2.5Closing total138.5Under by 14.5
 MSM | This season | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-13 | Record | 10-7 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 11-6 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 6-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSM 66–73 SPU · ✓ SPU (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 33 | 25 | 58 |
| SPU | 32 | 34 | 66 |
1st half: MSM 33, SPU 32 (MSM by 1). The model had SPU by 4.0 and a total of 65.0 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MSM | SPU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-49 41% | Field goals | 21-59 36% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 33 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 35 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 27 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Luke McEldon F | 25 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Amadi F | 24 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Mason So G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Justin May, John Miller IV, Noah Rogers, Patrick Haigh, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman
| SPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Bland G | 38 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 6-12 | 5-10 |
| Zaakir Williamson F | 34 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Lucas Scroggins F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| TJ Robinson G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Jahki Gupton F | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryce Eaton G | 26 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Shaedon Simpson G | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Adetokunbo Bakare G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Bol Agu F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Eric Morgan Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Robert Wilmote, Elijah Perkins, J'Quan Ewing, Akil Watson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSPU -5.5
ModelSPU -6.9
Model edgeSPU +1.4
W SPU covered
Total
Market138.5
Model138.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
L Under
Projected score
MSM 66 · SPU 72.9
MSM 58 · SPU 66
Win probability
SPU 73%
1st half
Spread
SPU -4.0
MSM -1.0
Total
65.0
65 points
Projected score
MSM 30.5 · SPU 34.5
MSM 33 · SPU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSPU -6.5
1 → MSM
CloseSPU -5.5
1 pt toward MSM
Total
Open137.5
▲ 1
Close138.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MSM +225 · SPU -278
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SPU -6.5 · closed SPU -5.5 · moved 1 toward MSMmodel SPU -7
model SPU -7
Opened 137.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 upmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| SPU | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MSM 4–3 SPUMSM leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MSM has won the last 3 meetings · MSM 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025-26 | SPU 65 @ MSM 70 | MSM +1.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | SPU 58 @ MSM 69 | MSM -3.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | MSM 79 @ SPU 64 | SPU -3.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | SPU 70 @ MSM 65 | MSM -1.5 | SPU W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | MSM 64 @ SPU 70 | SPU -1.5 | SPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mount St Marys
21 games played
Straight up
8-13
38% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @ MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs IONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @ MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @ QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 9 | vsSPU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 11 | vs SIE | L 50-67 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @ CAN | W 78-68 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 19 | @ NIA | W 68-58 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | vsQUIN | L 62-77 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | vs RID | W 71-61 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
+6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−14.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+6.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
+6.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−10.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
+0.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
−6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−22.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+10.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
−5.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−9.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
−7.5
over 7under 14avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Peter's
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
11-6
65% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HALL | L 50-77 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 129.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs FDU | W 93-83 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ VCU | L 61-78 | +20.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEL | L 70-81 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UML | W 68-66 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 29 | vs DART | L 61-87 | -3.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | vsCAN | W 69-57 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | vsNIA | W 71-43 | -5.5 | W +22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ GTWN | L 68-76 | +20.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 29 | @ FAIR | W 70-66 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | vsMRST | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 9 | @MSM | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 11 | vsMRMK | W 76-63 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 14 | @QUIN | W 74-70 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsRID | W 69-58 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 19 | vsIONA | W 77-63 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @MRMK | L 59-67 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−13.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+3.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
+3.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
−6.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
−29.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
+2.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
+22.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+12.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+6.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
+12.5
9
@MSM
MSML 65-70
−6.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-63
+11.5
14
@QUIN
QUINW 74-70
+10.5
17
vsRID
RIDW 69-58
+0.5
19
vsIONA
IONAW 77-63
+10.5
24
@MRMK
MRMKL 59-67
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 6avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−2.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+38.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
−8.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
+13.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−13.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
+3.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
−3.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
−17.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+3.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−4.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
−5.5
9
@MSM
MSML 65-70
−6.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-63
+5.5
14
@QUIN
QUINW 74-70
+3.5
17
vsRID
RIDW 69-58
−7.5
19
vsIONA
IONAW 77-63
−1.5
24
@MRMK
MRMKL 59-67
−8.5
over 6under 11avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mount St Marys
8-13 overall · 5-6 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rider71–61
- Lvs Quinnipiac62–77
- W@ Niagara68–58
- W@ Canisius78–68
- Lvs Siena50–67
6 days since their last game.
Saint Peter's
10-7 overall · 8-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Merrimack59–67
- Wvs Iona77–63
- Wvs Rider69–58
- W@ Quinnipiac74–70
- Wvs Merrimack76–63
6 days since their last game.