1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 6
  3. SIE @ QUIN
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 6

Siena Saints at Quinnipiac Bobcats

M&T Bank Arena · at Quinnipiac · Conference game
#260SIESiena
@
#241QUINQuinnipiac
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SIEThis seasonQUIN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects QUIN 73–70 · win probability QUIN 60%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

SIE 2, QUIN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: SIE plays 64.4 a game (354th fastest), QUIN 70.3 (100th). Faster games mean more points
QUINSmall
SIE offense vs QUIN defense
Offense 309th of 366 against a defense 232nd, on the model’s ratings
SIESmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: SIE 50.4 and allows 48.5; QUIN 48.1 and allows 48.9
QUINSmall
Home court
QUIN at home. This season: QUIN 0-0 at home, SIE 0-0 away
SIESmall
QUIN offense vs SIE defense
Offense 243rd of 366 against a defense 194th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SIE 31.8%, QUIN 34.1%. Defensive: SIE 70.5%, QUIN 68.0%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: SIE 33.4, QUIN 33.8. Allowed: SIE 27.5, QUIN 30.6
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SIE 15.8%, QUIN 15.8%. Forced: SIE 17.0%, QUIN 17.4%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SIE 28%, QUIN 31%. Transfers in: SIE 1, QUIN 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
SIE has played the 320th-hardest schedule, QUIN the 324th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Three-pointers
SIE hits 30.6% and allows 32.4%; QUIN hits 34.0% and allows 34.9%. Threes are 32.2% and 33.7% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—QUIN -2.8—
Total—143.7—
Projected score—SIE 70.4 · QUIN 73.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadQUIN -1.5—
1H total67.2—
1H projected scoreSIE 32.9 · QUIN 34.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Quinnipiac has the better starters

Position by position: Siena 1, Quinnipiac 2, even 2
SienaBetterQuinnipiac
G T. Yildizoglu TR10.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 30
SIESmall
G N. Guerengomba2.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 4
G B. Coyle8.7 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
QUINSmall
G T. Turnage3.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 36
G I. Henderson3.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 12
QUINBig
F K. McKnight10.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79
G O. Schlager2.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
No call
F H. Pierre-Louis TR3.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1 ast Score 1
G C. Torres0.5 pts · 0 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F N. Hart TR2.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 0 ast Score 27
SienaBetterQuinnipiac
SIE offense309th of 366 · -9.6
QUINSmall
QUIN defense232nd of 366 · -6.2
SIE defense194th of 366 · -4.7
Even
QUIN offense243rd of 366 · -7.3
Backcourt-7.7 · 5 players
QUINBig
Backcourt-2.7 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.6 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestSIE betterQUIN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Siena
Guards
T. Yildizoglu32 min · TRB. Coyle31 minI. Henderson14 minO. Schlager10 minC. Torres3 minR. DucharmeNew
Quinnipiac
Guards
N. Guerengomba14 minT. Turnage12 minM. ParrottaNewT. Cunningham-PembertonNewL. SekasiNewM. FieldsNew
Forwards
K. McKnight25 minH. Pierre-Louis15 min · TRN. Hart11 min · TRB. Ritvo7 minA. Akinniyi2 minC. Skenderi2 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SIEQUIN
Scoring
70.4 #276Points per game74.2 #190
1.09 #154Points per possession1.05 #246
64.4 #354Pace (possessions)70.3 #100
Shooting
50.4 #222Effective FG%48.1 #310
30.6 #3303-point %34.0 #171
32.2 #3273-point attempt rate33.7 #304
33.4 #226Free throw rate33.8 #217
Possessions
15.8 #126Turnover rate15.8 #125
31.8 #133Offensive rebound rate34.1 #65
13.5 #182Assists per game13.0 #211
Defense
65.8 #12Points allowed72.6 #121
1.02 #44Points allowed per possession1.04 #68
48.5 #48Opponent effective FG%48.9 #65
32.4 #82Opponent 3-point %34.9 #242
17.0 #154Turnovers forced17.4 #122
70.5 #133Defensive rebound rate68.0 #253
5.8 #262Steals per game7.8 #55
3.1 #205Blocks per game4.5 #37
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Siena

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duke65–71
  • Wvs Merrimack64–54
  • Wvs Fairfield76–61
  • Wvs Mount St Marys63–58
  • Wvs Rider76–61

A week or more of rest.

Quinnipiac

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Marist75–77
  • W@ Canisius67–63
  • L@ Niagara76–78
  • Lvs Fairfield79–85
  • Lvs Merrimack49–56

A week or more of rest.