Lawler Arena · at Merrimack · Conference game
Closing line
QUIN -1.5✓ MRMK covered by 13.5
Closing total141.5Over by 12.5
| This season | MRMK | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 10-8 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 6-11 | O/U | 6-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: QUIN 72–70 MRMK · ✗ QUIN (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUIN | 31 | 40 | 71 |
| MRMK | 50 | 33 | 83 |
1st half: QUIN 31, MRMK 50 (MRMK by 19). The model had QUIN by 1.2 and a total of 66.2 (actual 81).
Team stats
| QUIN | MRMK | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 25-50 50% |
| 4-12 33% | 3-pointers | 13-24 54% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| QUIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarri Monroe F | 38 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 8-17 | 1-3 |
| Asim Jones G | 38 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 4-8 | 2-2 |
| Jaden Zimmerman G | 36 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Grant Randall F | 33 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Spence Wewe F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Guerengomba G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Keith McKnight F | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Samson Reilly G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Nosakhare C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tai Turnage G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Braylan Ritvo F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christopher Skenderi, Jayden Reid, Akintola Akinniyi, Ronell Giles Jr.
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Shelton G | 40 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 5-10 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 40 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 7-14 | 1-2 |
| Todd Brogna F | 36 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Tye Dorset G | 32 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaylen Stinson, Jacob Moore, Aliou Cisse, David Munro, Quinn Kwasniak, Malik Edmead, Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketQUIN -1.5
ModelQUIN -1.8
Model edgeQUIN +0.3
L MRMK covered
Total
Market141.5
Model141.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
L Over
Projected score
QUIN 71.5 · MRMK 69.7
QUIN 71 · MRMK 83
Win probability
QUIN 56%
1st half
Spread
QUIN -1.2
MRMK -19.0
Total
66.2
81 points
Projected score
QUIN 33.7 · MRMK 32.5
QUIN 31 · MRMK 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenQUIN -2.5
1 → MRMK
CloseQUIN -1.5
1 pt toward MRMK
Total
Open138.5
▲ 3
Close141.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
QUIN -115 · MRMK -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened QUIN -2.5 · closed QUIN -1.5 · moved 1 toward MRMKmodel QUIN -2
model QUIN -2
Opened 138.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 3 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | |
| 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
QUIN 1–1 MRMKSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · QUIN 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | QUIN 63 @ MRMK 73 | MRMK +1.5 | MRMK W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | MRMK 76 @ QUIN 81 | QUIN -4.5 | QUIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Quinnipiac
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 74-108 | +26.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 71-49 | -9.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 60-97 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | @ | W 83-75 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 91-102 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 76-62 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | @ | W 89-68 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 72-58 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 75-71 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 85-75 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 66-74 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 64-58 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 79-80 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 11 | @ | W 70-60 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 70-74 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SJU
L 74-108
−7.5
6
vs
CCSU
W 71-49
+12.5
11
vs
YALE
L 60-97
−30.5
16
@
ME
W 70-64
+2.5
23
@
PITT
W 83-75
+20.5
25
@
UCF
L 91-102
+2.5
30
vs
STO
W 76-62
−1.5
5
@
IONA
W 89-68
+23.5
7
vs
RID
W 72-58
−0.5
13
vs
UML
W 75-71
−8.5
17
@
MONM
W 85-75
+11.5
21
@
HOF
L 66-74
−0.5
29
vs
MRST
W 64-58
+3.5
2
@
MAN
L 79-80
−8.5
4
vs
MSM
W 80-69
+3.5
11
@
SHU
W 70-60
+4.5
14
vs
SPU
L 70-74
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
SJU
L 74-108
+25.5
6
vs
CCSU
W 71-49
−30.5
11
vs
YALE
L 60-97
+0.5
16
@
ME
W 70-64
−3.5
23
@
PITT
W 83-75
+17.5
25
@
UCF
L 91-102
+30.5
30
vs
STO
W 76-62
−10.5
5
@
IONA
W 89-68
−6.5
7
vs
RID
W 72-58
−17.5
13
vs
UML
W 75-71
−7.5
17
@
MONM
W 85-75
+14.5
21
@
HOF
L 66-74
−7.5
29
vs
MRST
W 64-58
−23.5
2
@
MAN
L 79-80
−0.5
4
vs
MSM
W 80-69
−1.5
11
@
SHU
W 70-60
−22.5
14
vs
SPU
L 70-74
+3.5
over 6under 11avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Merrimack
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 29 | @ | W 80-72 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 75-65 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 73-66 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | @ | W 63-59 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ | L 63-76 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SDST
L 66-75
−2.5
6
@
AUB
L 57-95
−14.5
11
@
TAR
L 62-76
−9.5
15
@
BU
W 91-79
+14.5
19
vs
ME
W 72-65
+0.5
21
@
FLA
L 45-80
+1.5
28
@
PENN
L 65-77
−9.5
29
vs
HOF
L 58-78
−14.5
30
vs
LAS
W 66-60
+8.5
4
vs
RID
W 68-66
−7.5
7
vs
FAIR
W 74-63
+7.5
10
@
PRIN
W 59-56
+5.5
14
@
UVM
L 59-66
−0.5
29
@
SHU
W 80-72
+9.5
2
vs
MSM
W 75-65
+6.5
4
vs
MAN
W 73-66
+0.5
9
@
SIE
W 63-59
+9.5
11
@
SPU
L 63-76
−11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SDST
L 66-75
−2.5
6
@
AUB
L 57-95
+3.5
11
@
TAR
L 62-76
−4.5
15
@
BU
W 91-79
+34.5
19
vs
ME
W 72-65
+6.5
21
@
FLA
L 45-80
−33.5
28
@
PENN
L 65-77
−10.5
29
vs
HOF
L 58-78
+0.5
30
vs
LAS
W 66-60
−6.5
4
vs
RID
W 68-66
−4.5
7
vs
FAIR
W 74-63
−7.5
10
@
PRIN
W 59-56
−19.5
14
@
UVM
L 59-66
−11.5
29
@
SHU
W 80-72
+7.5
2
vs
MSM
W 75-65
−1.5
4
vs
MAN
W 73-66
−9.5
9
@
SIE
W 63-59
−10.5
11
@
SPU
L 63-76
+5.5
over 6under 12avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Quinnipiac
11-6 overall · 5-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Saint Peter's70–74
- W@ Sacred Heart70–60
- Wvs Mount St Marys80–69
- L@ Manhattan79–80
- Wvs Marist64–58
3 days since their last game.
Merrimack
10-8 overall · 6-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Peter's63–76
- W@ Siena63–59
- Wvs Manhattan73–66
- Wvs Mount St Marys75–65
- W@ Sacred Heart80–72
6 days since their last game.