1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. HOF @ QUIN
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Hofstra Pride at Quinnipiac Bobcats

M&T Bank Arena · at Quinnipiac
#166HOFHofstra
@
#241QUINQuinnipiac
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HOFThis seasonQUIN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HOF 73–70 · win probability HOF 58%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 143.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

HOF 3, QUIN 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
HOF has played the 142nd-hardest schedule, QUIN the 324th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HOFBig
Three-pointers
HOF hits 37.1% and allows 32.3%; QUIN hits 34.0% and allows 34.9%. Threes are 42.9% and 33.7% of their shots
HOFBig
QUIN offense vs HOF defense
Offense 243rd of 366 against a defense 120th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: HOF plays 65.9 a game (319th fastest), QUIN 70.3 (100th). Faster games mean more points
QUINSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HOF 16.1%, QUIN 15.8%. Forced: HOF 15.0%, QUIN 17.4%
HOFSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: HOF 51.4 and allows 46.3; QUIN 48.1 and allows 48.9
QUINSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HOF 31.6, QUIN 33.8. Allowed: HOF 35.1, QUIN 30.6
QUINSmall
Home court
QUIN at home. This season: QUIN 0-0 at home, HOF 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HOF 12%, QUIN 31%. Transfers in: HOF 4, QUIN 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HOF 34.7%, QUIN 34.1%. Defensive: HOF 69.0%, QUIN 68.0%
Even
HOF offense vs QUIN defense
Offense 254th of 366 against a defense 232nd, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HOF -2.3—
Total—143.1—
Projected score—HOF 72.7 · QUIN 70.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHOF -1.5—
1H total67.0—
1H projected scoreHOF 34.2 · QUIN 32.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hofstra has the better starters

Position by position: Hofstra 3, Quinnipiac 1, even 1
HofstraBetterQuinnipiac
G J. Moore TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 46
HOFBig
G N. Guerengomba2.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 4
G D. Tavarez TR8.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 47
Even
G T. Turnage3.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 36
F J. DeCady6.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 17
QUINBig
F K. McKnight10.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79
F S. Wewe TR2.4 pts · 5.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 17
HOFSmall
F H. Pierre-Louis TR3.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1 ast Score 1
F I. Zorgvol TR5.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.3 ast Score 62
HOFBig
F N. Hart TR2.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 0 ast Score 27
HofstraBetterQuinnipiac
HOF offense254th of 366 · -7.7
Even
QUIN defense232nd of 366 · -6.2
HOF defense120th of 366 · -1.9
HOFSmall
QUIN offense243rd of 366 · -7.3
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
HOFSmall
Backcourt-2.7 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 3 players
QUINSmall
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.6 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestHOF betterQUIN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Hofstra
Guards
J. Moore30 min · TRD. Tavarez23 min · TRT. ThomasNewC. LopezNewT. BoydNewN. JeffersonNew
Forwards
J. DeCady25 minS. Wewe16 min · TRI. Zorgvol15 min · TRR. DunnNew
Quinnipiac
Guards
N. Guerengomba14 minT. Turnage12 minM. ParrottaNewT. Cunningham-PembertonNewL. SekasiNewM. FieldsNew
Forwards
K. McKnight25 minH. Pierre-Louis15 min · TRN. Hart11 min · TRB. Ritvo7 minA. Akinniyi2 minC. Skenderi2 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HOFQUIN
Scoring
74.4 #184Points per game74.2 #190
1.13 #86Points per possession1.05 #246
65.9 #319Pace (possessions)70.3 #100
Shooting
51.4 #178Effective FG%48.1 #310
37.1 #263-point %34.0 #171
42.9 #1193-point attempt rate33.7 #304
31.6 #264Free throw rate33.8 #217
Possessions
16.1 #148Turnover rate15.8 #125
34.7 #54Offensive rebound rate34.1 #65
12.3 #263Assists per game13.0 #211
Defense
68.2 #36Points allowed72.6 #121
1.04 #69Points allowed per possession1.04 #68
46.3 #14Opponent effective FG%48.9 #65
32.3 #78Opponent 3-point %34.9 #242
15.0 #292Turnovers forced17.4 #122
69.0 #201Defensive rebound rate68.0 #253
4.8 #343Steals per game7.8 #55
3.5 #135Blocks per game4.5 #37
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Hofstra

22-11 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama70–90
  • Wvs Monmouth75–69
  • Wvs Towson68–65
  • Wvs William & Mary92–61
  • Wvs Drexel62–51

A week or more of rest.

Quinnipiac

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Marist75–77
  • W@ Canisius67–63
  • L@ Niagara76–78
  • Lvs Fairfield79–85
  • Lvs Merrimack49–56

A week or more of rest.