1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 6
  3. MRST @ IONA
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 6

Marist Red Foxes at Iona Gaels

Hynes Athletics Center · at Iona · Conference game
#236MRSTMarist
@
#233IONAIona
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MRSTThis seasonIONA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IONA 71–68 · win probability IONA 60%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 138.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IONA has more of the edges

MRST 3, IONA 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MRSTBig
IONA offense vs MRST defense
Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 136th, on the model’s ratings
IONABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MRST 25.7, IONA 29.3. Allowed: MRST 37.6, IONA 28.8
IONABig
MRST offense vs IONA defense
Offense 322nd of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings
MRSTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MRST 29.1%, IONA 27.8%. Defensive: MRST 71.7%, IONA 68.8%
MRSTSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MRST 17.0%, IONA 17.2%. Forced: MRST 19.4%, IONA 16.6%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: MRST plays 66.8 a game (286th fastest), IONA 69.8 (129th). Faster games mean more points
IONASmall
Three-pointers
MRST hits 32.2% and allows 28.6%; IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 34.6% and 45.9% of their shots
IONASmall
Home court
IONA at home. This season: IONA 0-0 at home, MRST 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MRST 49.3 and allows 45.6; IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9
Context
Schedule so far
MRST has played the 338th-hardest schedule, IONA the 326th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MRST 31%, IONA 31%. Transfers in: MRST 1, IONA 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IONA -2.9—
Total—138.9—
Projected score—MRST 68 · IONA 70.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIONA -1.6—
1H total65.0—
1H projected scoreMRST 31.7 · IONA 33.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Marist 1, Iona 1, even 3
MaristBetterIona
G J. Collins-Roberts7.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 3.2 ast Score 27
IONASmall
G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 44
G J. Graham TR11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 43
MRSTSmall
G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 17
F M. Parker5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
Even
G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
C T. Watson6.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
C J. Gabriel2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 3
MaristBetterIona
MRST offense322nd of 366 · -10.5
IONASmall
IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0
MRST defense136th of 366 · -2.6
MRSTSmall
IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0
Backcourt-3.3 · 2 players
MRSTSmall
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 3 players
MRSTSmall
Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestMRST betterIONA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Marist
Guards
J. Collins-Roberts31 minJ. Graham28 min · TRJ. WilliamsNewC. SweeneyNewB. ArnoldNewD. ChessNew
Forwards
M. Parker15 minE. OnyiaNewL. RodriguezNew
Centers
T. Watson11 minJ. Gabriel7 minL. FranzNew
Iona
Guards
K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew
Forwards
A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MRSTIONA
Scoring
68.9 #301Points per game73.8 #206
1.04 #276Points per possession1.06 #228
66.8 #286Pace (possessions)69.8 #129
Shooting
49.3 #276Effective FG%51.9 #149
32.2 #2723-point %35.1 #105
34.6 #2853-point attempt rate45.9 #49
25.7 #360Free throw rate29.3 #326
Possessions
17.0 #202Turnover rate17.2 #220
29.1 #233Offensive rebound rate27.8 #274
15.0 #89Assists per game14.0 #147
Defense
63.9 #4Points allowed73.1 #136
0.95 #3Points allowed per possession1.05 #85
45.6 #5Opponent effective FG%48.9 #64
28.6 #2Opponent 3-point %30.6 #25
19.4 #35Turnovers forced16.6 #180
71.7 #77Defensive rebound rate68.8 #212
7.1 #116Steals per game6.6 #159
3.1 #200Blocks per game3.0 #227
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Marist

18-12 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Merrimack57–58
  • Wvs Quinnipiac77–75
  • Lvs Saint Peter's56–63
  • Wvs Sacred Heart65–63
  • W@ Manhattan84–70

A week or more of rest.

Iona

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
  • W@ Manhattan69–65
  • Wvs Rider80–58
  • L@ Merrimack86–88
  • Wvs Saint Peter's72–64

A week or more of rest.