Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield · Conference game
Closing line
MRST -1.5✓ FAIR covered by 4.5
MRST -1.5✓ FAIR covered by 4.5Closing total138.5Under by 15.5
| MRST | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 15-7 | Record | 14-10 |
| 12-10 | ATS | 9-15 |
| 8-14 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRST 71–68 FAIR · ✗ MRST (62%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 25 | 35 | 60 |
| FAIR | 28 | 35 | 63 |
1st half: MRST 25, FAIR 28 (FAIR by 3). The model had MRST by 2.2 and a total of 64.9 (actual 53).
Team stats
| MRST | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-55 38% | Field goals | 23-56 41% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 7-28 25% |
| 12-13 92% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 38 12 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 36 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-2 |
| Justin Menard G | 36 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 7-14 | 2-5 |
| Elijah Lewis G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Trace Salton F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jason Schofield C | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 31 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 23 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Myles Parker F | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antoni Vlogianitis, Ricky McKenzie, Martin Kawa, Tarik Watson
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 38 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 7-17 | 4-11 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 36 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 32 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Tony Williams G | 26 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Deuce Turner G | 24 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-7 |
| Eric Mejia G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Estevez G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nasir Rodriguez, Aidan May, Tanner Ostop, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFAIR -1.5
3 → MRST
CloseMRST -1.5
3 pts toward MRST
Total
Open138.5
no move
Close138.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MRST -125 · FAIR +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FAIR -1.5 · closed MRST -1.5 · moved 3 toward MRSTmodel MRST -3.5
model MRST -3.5
Opened 138.5 · unchangedmodel 138.5 matches the line
model 138.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MRST -1.5 | MRST -3.4 | MRST +1.9 | L FAIR covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 138.6 | Over 0.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MRST 71 · FAIR 67.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MRST -2.2 | FAIR -3.0 |
| 1H total | 64.9 | 53 |
| 1H projected score | MRST 33.5 · FAIR 31.4 | MRST 25 · FAIR 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| FAIR | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MRST 4–6 FAIRFAIR leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MRST 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | FAIR 67 @ MRST 82 | MRST -8.5 | MRST W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | MRST 56 @ FAIR 59 | FAIR +6.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | FAIR 51 @ MRST 61 | MRST -7.5 | MRST W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | MRST 61 vs FAIR 65 | FAIR -5.5 | MRST W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | FAIR 55 @ MRST 58 | MRST +1.5 | MRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marist
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ XAV | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ DART | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs HARV | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARMY | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs LEH | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vs MSM | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vs MAN | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ BRY | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | @ GT | L 76-87 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs STBK | W 70-51 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @ QUIN | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @ SPU | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 4 | vs IONA | W 83-38 | -4.5 | W +40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | @ SHU | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 11 | @ RID | W 71-49 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vsFAIR | W 82-67 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | vs MRMK | L 55-68 | -6.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 22 | @ SIE | L 50-69 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 24 | vsQUIN | W 71-64 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 30 | @ CAN | W 88-86 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 129.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 1 | @ NIA | W 58-46 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 5 | vsRID | W 81-52 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+6.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
−4.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
+12.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−3.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−12.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
+40.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
−1.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
+11.5
17
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-67
+6.5
19
vsMRMK
MRMKL 55-68
−19.5
22
@SIE
SIEL 50-69
−17.5
24
vsQUIN
QUINW 71-64
+3.5
30
@CAN
CANW 88-86
−7.5
1
@NIA
NIAW 58-46
+2.5
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-52
+14.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+24.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
+21.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
−16.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−23.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−5.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
−27.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
+4.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
−11.5
17
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-67
+7.5
19
vsMRMK
MRMKL 55-68
−10.5
22
@SIE
SIEL 50-69
−14.5
24
vsQUIN
QUINW 71-64
−4.5
30
@CAN
CANW 88-86
+44.5
1
@NIA
NIAW 58-46
−24.5
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-52
−2.5
over 8under 14avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
24 games played
Straight up
14-10
58% wins
Against the spread
9-15
38% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vsSPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vsRID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @MRST | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @SIE | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsNIA | W 62-61 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAN | W 61-55 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 30 | @IONA | W 71-70 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | vsQUIN | L 65-72 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @SHU | W 92-87 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
−6.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
−1.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−9.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−4.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
+2.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−4.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 15avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
+7.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
+19.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−16.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−25.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
−5.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−17.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+23.5
over 12under 12avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marist
15-7 overall · 10-4 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rider81–52
- W@ Niagara58–46
- W@ Canisius88–86
- Wvs Quinnipiac71–64
- L@ Siena50–69
2 days since their last game.
Fairfield
14-10 overall · 7-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Sacred Heart92–87
- Lvs Quinnipiac65–72
- W@ Iona71–70
- Wvs Canisius61–55
- Wvs Niagara62–61
2 days since their last game.