1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. IONA @ BRY
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Iona Gaels at Bryant Bulldogs

Chace Athletic Center · at Bryant
#232IONAIona
@
#290BRYBryant
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IONAThis seasonBRY
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IONA 73–70 · win probability IONA 59%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 143.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IONA has more of the edges

IONA 5, BRY 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
IONABig
Three-pointers
IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%; BRY hits 30.0% and allows 36.3%. Threes are 45.9% and 47.9% of their shots
IONABig
Shooting
Effective FG%: IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9; BRY 46.9 and allows 52.7
IONABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IONA 17.2%, BRY 20.2%. Forced: IONA 16.6%, BRY 14.6%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: IONA plays 69.8 a game (129th fastest), BRY 65.2 (338th). Faster games mean more points
IONASmall
BRY offense vs IONA defense
Offense 306th of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
IONA has played the 326th-hardest schedule, BRY the 261st. A record against a soft schedule means less
BRYSmall
Home court
BRY at home. This season: BRY 0-0 at home, IONA 0-0 away
IONASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: IONA 29.3, BRY 29.4. Allowed: IONA 28.8, BRY 33.5
Even
IONA offense vs BRY defense
Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 254th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IONA 31%, BRY 29%. Transfers in: IONA 5, BRY 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IONA 27.8%, BRY 27.7%. Defensive: IONA 68.8%, BRY 69.0%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IONA -2.5—
Total—143.1—
Projected score—IONA 72.8 · BRY 70.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIONA -1.6—
1H total67.0—
1H projected scoreIONA 34.3 · BRY 32.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Iona has the better starters

Position by position: Iona 1, Bryant 0, even 4
IonaBetterBryant
G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 44
IONASmall
G T. Tabales9 pts · 2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 20
G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 17
No call
G F. Vassalluzzo0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
Even
F A. Pasha TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 39
F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
Even
F K. Harvey10.9 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 64
F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 3
No call
F E. Chatfield TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
IonaBetterBryant
IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0
Even
BRY defense254th of 366 · -6.6
IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0
IONASmall
BRY offense306th of 366 · -9.5
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
BRYSmall
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players
BRYSmall
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.0 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestIONA betterBRY betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Iona
Guards
K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew
Forwards
A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew
Bryant
Guards
T. Tabales28 minF. Vassalluzzo1 minJ. Sepe1 minM. DeOrsey1 minR. WoernerNew
Forwards
A. Pasha33 min · TRK. Harvey27 minE. Chatfield13 min · TRO. Nnani1 min · TRD. ThompsonNewC. LyonsNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IONABRY
Scoring
73.8 #206Points per game63.0 #358
1.06 #228Points per possession0.96 #351
69.8 #129Pace (possessions)65.2 #338
Shooting
51.9 #149Effective FG%46.9 #340
35.1 #1053-point %30.0 #343
45.9 #493-point attempt rate47.9 #25
29.3 #326Free throw rate29.4 #322
Possessions
17.2 #220Turnover rate20.2 #351
27.8 #274Offensive rebound rate27.7 #276
14.0 #147Assists per game11.4 #314
Defense
73.1 #136Points allowed73.3 #138
1.05 #85Points allowed per possession1.13 #283
48.9 #64Opponent effective FG%52.7 #257
30.6 #25Opponent 3-point %36.3 #320
16.6 #180Turnovers forced14.6 #313
68.8 #212Defensive rebound rate69.0 #203
6.6 #159Steals per game5.9 #250
3.0 #227Blocks per game3.9 #88
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Iona

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
  • W@ Manhattan69–65
  • Wvs Rider80–58
  • L@ Merrimack86–88
  • Wvs Saint Peter's72–64

A week or more of rest.

Bryant

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Vermont57–77
  • L@ New Hampshire83–88
  • Wvs NJIT69–52
  • L@ UMBC58–70
  • Lvs Binghamton67–79

A week or more of rest.