XFINITY Center · at Maryland
Line
MD -31.5no move
Total147.5no move
| This season | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects MD 86–59 · win probability MD 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
MD -31.5
no move since the open
Total
147.5
model 145.1 · Under by 2.5
Model edge
BUCK by 4.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
94% BUCK
97% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: MD has more of the edges
BUCK 1, MD 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BUCK offense vs MD defense
Offense 317th of 366 against a defense 34th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
BUCK has played the 227th-hardest schedule, MD the 28th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MD offense vs BUCK defense
Offense 63rd of 366 against a defense 237th, on the model’s ratings
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BUCK 27.0%, MD 33.8%. Defensive: BUCK 68.7%, MD 70.9%
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BUCK 18.9%, MD 18.6%. Forced: BUCK 17.9%, MD 14.9%
Free throws
Free throw rate: BUCK 29.8, MD 36.4. Allowed: BUCK 35.3, MD 35.8
Home court
MD at home. This season: MD 0-0 at home, BUCK 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
BUCK hits 30.6% and allows 37.0%; MD hits 31.7% and allows 36.3%. Threes are 42.8% and 46.9% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: BUCK plays 67.7 a game (242nd fastest), MD 67.0 (281st). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BUCK 39%, MD 47%. Transfers in: BUCK 2, MD 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: BUCK 48.5 and allows 54.7; MD 48.1 and allows 54.4
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 20 or more | 1165 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1090 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Games with a total of 145 to 149.5 | 3547 | 74% | 49% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenMD -31.5
no move
NowMD -31.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
no move
Now147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BUCK +5650 · MD -55000
Line movement
Median of 7 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened MD -31.5 · unchangedmodel MD -27
model MD -27
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Over 147.5TotalUnder 147.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
7 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | MD | Over | Under | BUCK | MD | |
| BetMGMMGM | -31.5-110 | +31.5-110 | 147.5-105 | 147.5-115 | +3300 | -10000 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -31.5-110 | +31.5-110 | 146.5-110 | 146.5-110 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -31.5-115 | +31.5-110 | 147.5-114 | 147.5-112 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -31.5-110 | +31.5-110 | 146.5-110 | 146.5-110 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -31.5-110 | +31.5-110 | 147.5-105 | 147.5-115 | — | — |
| FanDuelFD | -31.5-110 | +31.5-110 | 147.5-115 | 147.5-105 | +8000 | -100000 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -31.5-106 | +31.5-106 | 146.5-108 | 146.5-108 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MD -31.5 | MD -26.9 | BUCK +4.6 |
| Total | 147.5 | 145.1 | Under 2.4 |
| Projected score | — | BUCK 59.1 · MD 86 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MD -15.9 | — |
| 1H total | 67.9 | — |
| 1H projected score | BUCK 26 · MD 41.9 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | |
| 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BUCK 0–1 MDMD leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BUCK 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | BUCK 67 @ MD 91 | MD -25.5 | BUCK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bucknell
33 games played
Straight up
10-23
30% wins
Against the spread
14-19
42% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-20
39% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 63-73 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 77-83 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 50-84 | +16.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 49-97 | +28.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 66-71 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 72-101 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 77-97 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 66-73 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | @ | W 51-38 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 39-94 | +25.5 | L −29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 58-65 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 72-65 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 55-76 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 70-67 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 76-69 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 76-95 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 21 | vs | L 84-87 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 62-67 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 103-97 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 60-59 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 59-78 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 9 | vs | L 60-76 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 69-82 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 57-75 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 22 | vs | L 63-72 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 25 | @ | W 75-73 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 79-89 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 65-55 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Mar 5 | @ | L 69-74 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 133.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DEL
W 78-70
+5.5
7
@
MSM
W 73-62
+12.5
11
@
PRIN
L 63-73
−5.5
14
vs
HOF
L 77-83
−1.5
17
@
PITT
L 50-84
−17.5
20
@
SJU
L 49-97
−19.5
24
vs
BGSU
L 66-71
+5.5
26
vs
BUF
L 71-73
+2.5
30
vs
COR
L 72-101
−23.5
3
@
AKR
L 77-97
+3.5
6
vs
UMBC
L 66-73
−8.5
9
@
RID
W 51-38
+10.5
20
@
IOWA
L 39-94
−29.5
31
@
HC
L 58-65
−8.5
3
vs
LEH
W 72-65
+2.5
7
@
NAVY
L 55-76
−12.5
10
vs
L-MD
W 70-67
−3.5
14
vs
LAF
W 76-69
+4.5
17
@
COLG
L 76-95
−10.5
21
vs
ARMY
L 84-87
−7.5
24
@
L-MD
L 62-67
−2.5
28
@
LAF
L 79-81
+2.5
31
vs
BU
W 103-97
+7.5
4
@
AMER
W 60-59
+8.5
7
vs
COLG
L 59-78
−13.5
9
vs
NAVY
L 60-76
−9.5
14
@
BU
L 69-82
−7.5
18
vs
AMER
L 57-75
−14.5
22
vs
HC
L 63-72
−11.5
25
@
ARMY
W 75-73
+4.5
28
@
LEH
L 79-89
−4.5
3
vs
ARMY
W 65-55
+8.5
5
@
NAVY
L 69-74
+10.5
covered 14didn’t cover 19avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
DEL
W 78-70
−1.5
7
@
MSM
W 73-62
−8.5
11
@
PRIN
L 63-73
−10.5
14
vs
HOF
L 77-83
+20.5
17
@
PITT
L 50-84
−7.5
20
@
SJU
L 49-97
−12.5
24
vs
BGSU
L 66-71
−7.5
26
vs
BUF
L 71-73
−2.5
30
vs
COR
L 72-101
+13.5
3
@
AKR
L 77-97
+16.5
6
vs
UMBC
L 66-73
−4.5
9
@
RID
W 51-38
−46.5
20
@
IOWA
L 39-94
−0.5
31
@
HC
L 58-65
−10.5
3
vs
LEH
W 72-65
−0.5
7
@
NAVY
L 55-76
−6.5
10
vs
L-MD
W 70-67
−6.5
14
vs
LAF
W 76-69
+7.5
17
@
COLG
L 76-95
+31.5
21
vs
ARMY
L 84-87
+26.5
24
@
L-MD
L 62-67
−18.5
28
@
LAF
L 79-81
+21.5
31
vs
BU
W 103-97
+61.5
4
@
AMER
W 60-59
−22.5
7
vs
COLG
L 59-78
−4.5
9
vs
NAVY
L 60-76
+0.5
14
@
BU
L 69-82
+13.5
18
vs
AMER
L 57-75
−8.5
22
vs
HC
L 63-72
−7.5
25
@
ARMY
W 75-73
+5.5
28
@
LEH
L 79-89
+29.5
3
vs
ARMY
W 65-55
−24.5
5
@
NAVY
L 69-74
+9.5
over 13under 20avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
33 games played
Straight up
12-21
36% wins
Against the spread
16-17
48% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-15
55% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vs | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 48-91 | +18.5 | L −24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 63-93 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | vs | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | @ | W 67-62 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 77-70 | +10.5 | W +17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 15 | @ | L 57-68 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 74-78 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 64-60 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 61-74 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 1 | vs | L 65-69 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 45-78 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 8 | vs | L 72-78 | +14.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 10 | vs | W 70-60 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 11 | vs | L 64-75 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
COPP
W 83-61
−6.5
7
vs
GTWN
L 60-70
−14.5
11
vs
ALCN
W 84-64
−9.5
15
@
MARQ
W 89-82
+15.5
19
vs
MSM
W 95-90
−12.5
24
vs
UNLV
W 74-67
+4.5
25
vs
GONZ
L 61-100
−24.5
26
vs
ALA
L 72-105
−18.5
2
vs
WAG
W 89-63
+3.5
6
@
IOWA
L 64-83
−8.5
13
vs
MICH
L 83-101
+1.5
20
@
UVA
L 72-80
+8.5
28
vs
ODU
W 73-58
+0.5
2
vs
ORE
L 54-64
−8.5
7
vs
IU
L 66-84
−10.5
10
@
UCLA
L 55-67
+1.5
13
@
USC
L 71-88
−7.5
18
vs
PSU
W 96-73
+21.5
21
@
ILL
L 70-89
−0.5
24
@
MSU
L 48-91
−24.5
1
vs
PUR
L 63-93
−14.5
5
vs
OSU
L 62-82
−13.5
8
@
MINN
W 67-62
+15.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 77-70
+17.5
15
@
RUTG
L 57-68
−8.5
18
@
NU
L 74-78
+3.5
21
vs
WASH
W 64-60
+8.5
25
@
NEB
L 61-74
+3.5
1
vs
RUTG
L 65-69
−8.5
4
@
WIS
L 45-78
−18.5
8
vs
ILL
L 72-78
+8.5
10
vs
ORE
W 70-60
+14.5
11
vs
IOWA
L 64-75
+0.5
covered 16didn’t cover 17avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
COPP
W 83-61
+4.5
7
vs
GTWN
L 60-70
−14.5
11
vs
ALCN
W 84-64
+1.5
15
@
MARQ
W 89-82
+24.5
19
vs
MSM
W 95-90
+39.5
24
vs
UNLV
W 74-67
−23.5
25
vs
GONZ
L 61-100
+3.5
26
vs
ALA
L 72-105
+10.5
2
vs
WAG
W 89-63
+8.5
6
@
IOWA
L 64-83
+9.5
13
vs
MICH
L 83-101
+20.5
20
@
UVA
L 72-80
−1.5
28
vs
ODU
W 73-58
−23.5
2
vs
ORE
L 54-64
−28.5
7
vs
IU
L 66-84
+2.5
10
@
UCLA
L 55-67
−25.5
13
@
USC
L 71-88
+8.5
18
vs
PSU
W 96-73
+20.5
21
@
ILL
L 70-89
+6.5
24
@
MSU
L 48-91
−2.5
1
vs
PUR
L 63-93
+7.5
5
vs
OSU
L 62-82
−6.5
8
@
MINN
W 67-62
−9.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 77-70
+8.5
15
@
RUTG
L 57-68
−19.5
18
@
NU
L 74-78
+9.5
21
vs
WASH
W 64-60
−19.5
25
@
NEB
L 61-74
−7.5
1
vs
RUTG
L 65-69
−9.5
4
@
WIS
L 45-78
−30.5
8
vs
ILL
L 72-78
+4.5
10
vs
ORE
W 70-60
−9.5
11
vs
IOWA
L 64-75
+5.5
over 18under 15avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland has the better starters
Position by position: Bucknell 0, Maryland 4, even 1
BucknellBetterMaryland
G J. Williams7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast
Score 23
→MDBig
G M. McNair TR16.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 84
G A. Pachucki5.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 25
→MDBig
G A. Mills12.2 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 89
G K. Marshall TR3.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Not ranked
=No call
G B. Boswell TR6.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 3.1 ast
Score 70
G J. Meachem1.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 2
→MDBig
F P. Payne17.5 pts · 7.2 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 100
F L. Soroa Schaller TR5.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 13
→MDBig
F T. Buljan TR13.1 pts · 10.3 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 97
BucknellBetterMaryland
BUCK offense317th of 366 · -10.4
→MDBig
MD defense34th of 366 · +3.3
BUCK defense237th of 366 · -6.2
→MDBig
MD offense63rd of 366 · +2.4
Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players
→MDBig
Backcourt+4.9 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player
→MDBig
Frontcourt+11.4 · 2 players
Bench-0.9 · 3 players
←BUCKSmall
Bench-2.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBUCK betterMD betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
J. Williams33 minA. Pachucki21 minK. Marshall17 min · TRJ. Meachem10 minM. Lange3 minR. LamunoNew
Forwards
L. Soroa Schaller21 min · TRP. O'Brien10 minK. Welch2 minE. Marten-ConeyNewL. BergsengNewA. RousseauNew
Centers
D. KennardNew
Guards
M. McNair37 min · TRA. Mills27 minB. Boswell27 min · TRD. Wagner24 min · TRM. Jabriel20 minG. Turkson11 min
Forwards
P. Payne27 minT. Buljan26 min · TRR. Jennings13 min · TRA. BrownNewB. OladotunNewA. TambedouNew
Centers
A. K'MedehoutoNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 67.4 #327 | Points per game | 69.7 #291 |
| 0.99 #332 | Points per possession | 1.04 #270 |
| 67.7 #242 | Pace (possessions) | 67.0 #281 |
| Shooting | ||
| 48.5 #304 | Effective FG% | 48.1 #311 |
| 30.6 #328 | 3-point % | 31.7 #293 |
| 42.8 #123 | 3-point attempt rate | 46.9 #35 |
| 29.8 #314 | Free throw rate | 36.4 #142 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.9 #319 | Turnover rate | 18.6 #300 |
| 27.0 #295 | Offensive rebound rate | 33.8 #73 |
| 12.7 #235 | Assists per game | 10.4 #351 |
| Defense | ||
| 76.3 #226 | Points allowed | 76.6 #232 |
| 1.13 #289 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #312 |
| 54.7 #323 | Opponent effective FG% | 54.4 #312 |
| 37.0 #344 | Opponent 3-point % | 36.3 #317 |
| 17.9 #100 | Turnovers forced | 14.9 #294 |
| 68.7 #216 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.9 #111 |
| 7.2 #105 | Steals per game | 4.8 #345 |
| 1.8 #354 | Blocks per game | 2.9 #237 |
Bucknell
10-23 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Navy69–74
- Wvs Army65–55
- L@ Lehigh79–89
- W@ Army75–73
- Lvs Holy Cross63–72
A week or more of rest.
Maryland
12-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-17 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iowa64–75
- Wvs Oregon70–60
- Lvs Illinois72–78
- L@ Wisconsin45–78
- Lvs Rutgers65–69
A week or more of rest.