Old Dominion Monarchs at Bucknell Bison: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 7, 12:00 AM ETSojka Pavilion · at Bucknell

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Old Dominion and Bucknell
ODU	This season	BUCK
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ODU 73–72 · win probability ODU 54%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 145.0

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ODU has more of the edges

ODU 3, BUCK 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

ODUBig

Three-pointers

ODU hits 36.0% and allows 32.0%; BUCK hits 30.6% and allows 37.0%. Threes are 36.2% and 42.8% of their shots

ODUBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: ODU 50.6 and allows 50.8; BUCK 48.5 and allows 54.7

ODUSmall

BUCK offense vs ODU defense

Offense 317th of 366 against a defense 222nd, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: ODU plays 70.8 a game (81st fastest), BUCK 67.7 (242nd). Faster games mean more points

BUCKSmall

Home court

BUCK at home. This season: BUCK 0-0 at home, ODU 0-0 away

Context

Schedule so far

ODU has played the 188th-hardest schedule, BUCK the 227th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: ODU 34%, BUCK 39%. Transfers in: ODU 4, BUCK 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: ODU 26.0%, BUCK 27.0%. Defensive: ODU 69.7%, BUCK 68.7%

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: ODU 34.7, BUCK 29.8. Allowed: ODU 42.0, BUCK 35.3

Even

ODU offense vs BUCK defense

Offense 240th of 366 against a defense 237th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: ODU 15.4%, BUCK 18.9%. Forced: ODU 14.5%, BUCK 17.9%

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	ODU -1.1	—
Total	—	145.0	—
Projected score	—	ODU 73.1 · BUCK 71.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	ODU -0.8	—
1H total	67.8	—
1H projected score	ODU 34.3 · BUCK 33.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU LLWLL	16-16	50%	10-8	—
BUCK LWLWW	14-19	42%	5-9	—

Venue/role: ODU away; BUCK home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU OOOOO	21-11	66%	11-21
BUCK UOOUO	13-20	39%	10-23

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%
BUCK	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Old Dominion

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 11	@ NORF	W60–57LU
Nov 14	vs LONG	W62–61LU
Nov 17	@ UVA	No recent meeting

Bucknell

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 10	@ UVA	No recent meeting
Nov 13	vs COLU	No recent meeting
Nov 17	vs AKR	L77–97WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Old Dominion

32 games played

Straight up

11-21

34% wins

Against the spread

16-16

50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

21-11

66% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

11-2134%

L W L L W L L L L L W L L L L W L L W L W L L W L W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1650%

W L L L W L W L W W W L L L L W W W W L W L L W W W W L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

21-1166%

O U O O U O O U O U U O U O O U U O O O U O O U O U O O O O O O

6 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@M-OH	L 72-87	+16.5	W +1.5	153.5	O 159
Nov 11	vsNORF	W 60-57	-8.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 117
Nov 15	@GW	L 73-96	+15.5	L −7.5	155.5	O 169
Nov 18	@XAV	L 69-99	+10.5	L −19.5	150.5	O 168
Nov 21	vsMORG	W 88-56	-11.5	W +20.5	156.5	U 144
Nov 23	@DREX	L 71-75	+3.5	L −0.5	142.5	O 146
Nov 25	@VILL	L 75-89	+22.5	W +8.5	147.5	O 164
Nov 30	@W&M	L 75-88	+8.5	L −4.5	163.5	U 163
Dec 6	@RICH	L 77-86	+12.5	W +3.5	153.5	O 163
Dec 13	@GMU	L 61-73	+16.5	W +4.5	144.5	U 134
Dec 17	vsJMU	W 77-68	+2.5	W +11.5	148.5	U 145
Dec 20	vsCCU	L 74-76	-3.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 150
Dec 28	@MD	L 58-73	+14.5	L −0.5	154.5	U 131
Dec 31	vsAPP	L 73-81	-1.5	L −9.5	136.5	O 154
Jan 3	vsGASO	L 86-93	+1.5	L −5.5	161.5	O 179
Jan 8	@CCU	W 70-66	+4.5	W +8.5	151.5	U 136
Jan 10	@JMU	L 69-70	+6.5	W +5.5	147.5	U 139
Jan 15	@GASO	L 84-87	+5.5	W +2.5	162.5	O 171
Jan 17	@APP	W 75-73	+7.5	W +9.5	140.5	O 148
Jan 21	vsTROY	L 77-83	+5.5	L −0.5	152.5	O 160
Jan 28	@ARST	W 75-71	+9.5	W +13.5	159.5	U 146
Jan 31	@TXST	L 64-81	+2.5	L −14.5	143.5	O 145
Feb 4	vsULM	L 79-85	-14.5	L −20.5	154.5	O 164
Feb 7	vsOHIO	W 78-72	+3.5	W +9.5	156.5	U 150
Feb 11	vsMRSH	L 79-81	+3.5	W +1.5	155.5	O 160
Feb 14	vsGAST	W 78-55	-3.5	W +19.5	147.5	U 133
Feb 16	vsUL	W 83-72	-6.5	W +4.5	135.5	O 155
Feb 21	@USM	L 81-86	+4.5	L −0.5	147.5	O 167
Feb 24	@MRSH	L 88-97	+7.5	L −1.5	159.5	O 185
Feb 27	@GAST	W 81-73	-1.5	W +6.5	149.5	O 154
Mar 3	vsULM	W 87-80	-9.5	L −2.5	157.5	O 167
Mar 4	vsGASO	L 84-88	+2.5	L −1.5	157.5	O 172

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

M-OH

L 72-87

+1.5

NORF

W 60-57

−5.5

L 73-96

−7.5

XAV

L 69-99

−19.5

MORG

W 88-56

+20.5

DREX

L 71-75

−0.5

VILL

L 75-89

+8.5

W&M

L 75-88

−4.5

RICH

L 77-86

+3.5

GMU

L 61-73

+4.5

JMU

W 77-68

+11.5

CCU

L 74-76

−5.5

L 58-73

−0.5

APP

L 73-81

−9.5

GASO

L 86-93

−5.5

CCU

W 70-66

+8.5

JMU

L 69-70

+5.5

GASO

L 84-87

+2.5

APP

W 75-73

+9.5

TROY

L 77-83

−0.5

ARST

W 75-71

+13.5

TXST

L 64-81

−14.5

ULM

L 79-85

−20.5

OHIO

W 78-72

+9.5

MRSH

L 79-81

+1.5

GAST

W 78-55

+19.5

W 83-72

+4.5

USM

L 81-86

−0.5

MRSH

L 88-97

−1.5

GAST

W 81-73

+6.5

ULM

W 87-80

−2.5

GASO

L 84-88

−1.5

covered 16didn’t cover 16avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

M-OH

L 72-87

+5.5

NORF

W 60-57

−32.5

L 73-96

+13.5

XAV

L 69-99

+17.5

MORG

W 88-56

−12.5

DREX

L 71-75

+3.5

VILL

L 75-89

+16.5

W&M

L 75-88

−0.5

RICH

L 77-86

+9.5

GMU

L 61-73

−10.5

JMU

W 77-68

−3.5

CCU

L 74-76

+2.5

L 58-73

−23.5

APP

L 73-81

+17.5

GASO

L 86-93

+17.5

CCU

W 70-66

−15.5

JMU

L 69-70

−8.5

GASO

L 84-87

+8.5

APP

W 75-73

+7.5

TROY

L 77-83

+7.5

ARST

W 75-71

−13.5

TXST

L 64-81

+1.5

ULM

L 79-85

+9.5

OHIO

W 78-72

−6.5

MRSH

L 79-81

+4.5

GAST

W 78-55

−14.5

W 83-72

+19.5

USM

L 81-86

+19.5

MRSH

L 88-97

+25.5

GAST

W 81-73

+4.5

ULM

W 87-80

+9.5

GASO

L 84-88

+14.5

over 21under 11avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Bucknell

33 games played

Straight up

10-23

30% wins

Against the spread

14-19

42% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2330%

W W L L L L L L L L L W L L W L W W L L L L W W L L L L L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1942%

W W L L L L W W L W L W L L W L L W L L L W W W L L L L L W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-2039%

U U U O U U U U O O U U U U U U U O O O U O O U U O O U U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsDEL	W 78-70	-2.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 7	@MSM	W 73-62	+1.5	W +12.5	143.5	U 135
Nov 11	@PRIN	L 63-73	+4.5	L −5.5	146.5	U 136
Nov 14	vsHOF	L 77-83	+4.5	L −1.5	139.5	O 160
Nov 17	@PITT	L 50-84	+16.5	L −17.5	141.5	U 134
Nov 20	@SJU	L 49-97	+28.5	L −19.5	158.5	U 146
Nov 24	vsBGSU	L 66-71	+10.5	W +5.5	144.5	U 137
Nov 26	vsBUF	L 71-73	+4.5	W +2.5	146.5	U 144
Nov 30	vsCOR	L 72-101	+5.5	L −23.5	159.5	O 173
Dec 3	@AKR	L 77-97	+23.5	W +3.5	157.5	O 174
Dec 6	vsUMBC	L 66-73	-1.5	L −8.5	143.5	U 139
Dec 9	@RID	W 51-38	-2.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 89
Dec 20	@IOWA	L 39-94	+25.5	L −29.5	133.5	U 133
Dec 31	@HC	L 58-65	-1.5	L −8.5	133.5	U 123
Jan 3	vsLEH	W 72-65	-4.5	W +2.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 7	@NAVY	L 55-76	+8.5	L −12.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 10	vsL-MD	W 70-67	-6.5	L −3.5	143.5	U 137
Jan 14	vsLAF	W 76-69	-2.5	W +4.5	137.5	O 145
Jan 17	@COLG	L 76-95	+8.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 171
Jan 21	vsARMY	L 84-87	-4.5	L −7.5	144.5	O 171
Jan 24	@L-MD	L 62-67	+2.5	L −2.5	147.5	U 129
Jan 28	@LAF	L 79-81	+4.5	W +2.5	138.5	O 160
Jan 31	vsBU	W 103-97	+1.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 200
Feb 4	@AMER	W 60-59	+7.5	W +8.5	141.5	U 119
Feb 7	vsCOLG	L 59-78	+5.5	L −13.5	141.5	U 137
Feb 9	vsNAVY	L 60-76	+6.5	L −9.5	135.5	O 136
Feb 14	@BU	L 69-82	+5.5	L −7.5	137.5	O 151
Feb 18	vsAMER	L 57-75	+3.5	L −14.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 22	vsHC	L 63-72	-2.5	L −11.5	142.5	U 135
Feb 25	@ARMY	W 75-73	+2.5	W +4.5	142.5	O 148
Feb 28	@LEH	L 79-89	+5.5	L −4.5	138.5	O 168
Mar 3	vsARMY	W 65-55	-1.5	W +8.5	144.5	U 120
Mar 5	@NAVY	L 69-74	+15.5	W +10.5	133.5	O 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEL

W 78-70

+5.5

MSM

W 73-62

+12.5

PRIN

L 63-73

−5.5

HOF

L 77-83

−1.5

PITT

L 50-84

−17.5

SJU

L 49-97

−19.5

BGSU

L 66-71

+5.5

BUF

L 71-73

+2.5

COR

L 72-101

−23.5

AKR

L 77-97

+3.5

UMBC

L 66-73

−8.5

RID

W 51-38

+10.5

IOWA

L 39-94

−29.5

L 58-65

−8.5

LEH

W 72-65

+2.5

NAVY

L 55-76

−12.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−3.5

LAF

W 76-69

+4.5

COLG

L 76-95

−10.5

ARMY

L 84-87

−7.5

L-MD

L 62-67

−2.5

LAF

L 79-81

+2.5

W 103-97

+7.5

AMER

W 60-59

+8.5

COLG

L 59-78

−13.5

NAVY

L 60-76

−9.5

L 69-82

−7.5

AMER

L 57-75

−14.5

L 63-72

−11.5

ARMY

W 75-73

+4.5

LEH

L 79-89

−4.5

ARMY

W 65-55

+8.5

NAVY

L 69-74

+10.5

covered 14didn’t cover 19avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEL

W 78-70

−1.5

MSM

W 73-62

−8.5

PRIN

L 63-73

−10.5

HOF

L 77-83

+20.5

PITT

L 50-84

−7.5

SJU

L 49-97

−12.5

BGSU

L 66-71

−7.5

BUF

L 71-73

−2.5

COR

L 72-101

+13.5

AKR

L 77-97

+16.5

UMBC

L 66-73

−4.5

RID

W 51-38

−46.5

IOWA

L 39-94

−0.5

L 58-65

−10.5

LEH

W 72-65

−0.5

NAVY

L 55-76

−6.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−6.5

LAF

W 76-69

+7.5

COLG

L 76-95

+31.5

ARMY

L 84-87

+26.5

L-MD

L 62-67

−18.5

LAF

L 79-81

+21.5

W 103-97

+61.5

AMER

W 60-59

−22.5

COLG

L 59-78

−4.5

NAVY

L 60-76

+0.5

L 69-82

+13.5

AMER

L 57-75

−8.5

L 63-72

−7.5

ARMY

W 75-73

+5.5

LEH

L 79-89

+29.5

ARMY

W 65-55

−24.5

NAVY

L 69-74

+9.5

over 13under 20avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Old Dominion has the better starters

Position by position: Old Dominion 3, Bucknell 0, even 2

Old DominionBetterBucknell

G B. Benjamin TR5.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 32

Even

G J. Williams7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 23

G Z. Wiggins6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 46

ODUSmall

G A. Pachucki5.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 25

G S. Hubbard3.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 10

No call

G K. Marshall TR3.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Not ranked

F Z. Weluche-Ume TR11.1 pts · 7.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 29

ODUSmall

G J. Meachem1.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 2

F J. Turner6.2 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 30

ODUSmall

F L. Soroa Schaller TR5.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 13

Old DominionBetterBucknell

ODU offense240th of 366 · -7.3

Even

BUCK defense237th of 366 · -6.2

ODU defense222nd of 366 · -5.8

ODUSmall

BUCK offense317th of 366 · -10.4

Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players

ODUSmall

Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players

Frontcourt-2.9 · 2 players

Even

Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player

Bench-3.2 · 5 players

BUCKSmall

Bench-0.9 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestODU betterBUCK betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Old Dominion

Guards

B. Benjamin20 min · TRZ. Wiggins18 minS. Hubbard16 minK. Thurmon11 min · TRC. Parker3 minR. Hellams2 min

Forwards

Z. Weluche-Ume31 min · TRJ. Turner21 minK. Howze10 min · TRB. Nacey8 minJ. NwekeNewL. MartiniNew

Bucknell

Guards

J. Williams33 minA. Pachucki21 minK. Marshall17 min · TRJ. Meachem10 minM. Lange3 minR. LamunoNew

Forwards

L. Soroa Schaller21 min · TRP. O'Brien10 minK. Welch2 minE. Marten-ConeyNewL. BergsengNewA. RousseauNew

Centers

D. KennardNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

ODU75.7 #150

BUCK67.4 #327

Points per possession

ODU1.06 #217

BUCK0.99 #332

Pace (possessions)

ODU70.8 #81

BUCK67.7 #242

Shooting

Effective FG%

ODU50.6 #203

BUCK48.5 #304

3-point %

ODU36.0 #60

BUCK30.6 #328

3-point attempt rate

ODU36.2 #245

BUCK42.8 #123

Free throw rate

ODU34.7 #189

BUCK29.8 #314

Possessions

Turnover rate

ODU15.4 #95

BUCK18.9 #319

Offensive rebound rate

ODU26.0 #323

BUCK27.0 #295

Assists per game

ODU12.9 #218

BUCK12.7 #235

Defense

Points allowed

ODU78.7 #283

BUCK76.3 #226

Points allowed per possession

ODU1.12 #263

BUCK1.13 #289

Opponent effective FG%

ODU50.8 #145

BUCK54.7 #323

Opponent 3-point %

ODU32.0 #62

BUCK37.0 #344

Turnovers forced

ODU14.5 #321

BUCK17.9 #100

Defensive rebound rate

ODU69.7 #176

BUCK68.7 #216

Steals per game

ODU5.7 #275

BUCK7.2 #105

Blocks per game

ODU3.1 #208

BUCK1.8 #354

ODU		BUCK
Scoring
75.7 #150	Points per game	67.4 #327
1.06 #217	Points per possession	0.99 #332
70.8 #81	Pace (possessions)	67.7 #242
Shooting
50.6 #203	Effective FG%	48.5 #304
36.0 #60	3-point %	30.6 #328
36.2 #245	3-point attempt rate	42.8 #123
34.7 #189	Free throw rate	29.8 #314
Possessions
15.4 #95	Turnover rate	18.9 #319
26.0 #323	Offensive rebound rate	27.0 #295
12.9 #218	Assists per game	12.7 #235
Defense
78.7 #283	Points allowed	76.3 #226
1.12 #263	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #289
50.8 #145	Opponent effective FG%	54.7 #323
32.0 #62	Opponent 3-point %	37.0 #344
14.5 #321	Turnovers forced	17.9 #100
69.7 #176	Defensive rebound rate	68.7 #216
5.7 #275	Steals per game	7.2 #105
3.1 #208	Blocks per game	1.8 #354

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Old Dominion

11-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs GA Southern84–88
Wvs UL Monroe87–80
W@ Georgia St81–73
L@ Marshall88–97
L@ Southern Miss81–86

A week or more of rest.

Bucknell

10-23 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Navy69–74
Wvs Army65–55
L@ Lehigh79–89
W@ Army75–73
Lvs Holy Cross63–72

A week or more of rest.

Old Dominion Monarchs at Bucknell Bison

What could decide it: ODU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Old Dominion

Bucknell

Old Dominion has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Old Dominion

Bucknell