1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 7
  3. HCU @ WIU
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 7

Houston Christian Huskies at Western Illinois Leathernecks

Western Hall · at W Illinois
#300HCUHou Christian
@
#365WIUW Illinois
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HCUThis seasonWIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HCU 74–64 · win probability HCU 80%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 138.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HCU has more of the edges

HCU 4, WIU 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HCUBig
WIU offense vs HCU defense
Offense 365th of 366 against a defense 203rd, on the model’s ratings
HCUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HCU 29.9%, WIU 27.0%. Defensive: HCU 67.5%, WIU 65.2%
HCUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: HCU 49.7 and allows 54.2; WIU 44.5 and allows 54.2
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: HCU plays 64.7 a game (352nd fastest), WIU 67.6 (246th). Faster games mean more points
HCUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HCU 18.9%, WIU 17.5%. Forced: HCU 17.6%, WIU 14.9%
WIUSmall
Home court
WIU at home. This season: WIU 0-0 at home, HCU 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
HCU hits 31.7% and allows 35.0%; WIU hits 30.9% and allows 35.6%. Threes are 36.5% and 33.3% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
HCU has played the 332nd-hardest schedule, WIU the 361st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: HCU 36.0, WIU 37.7. Allowed: HCU 30.7, WIU 34.8
Even
HCU offense vs WIU defense
Offense 342nd of 366 against a defense 362nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HCU 25%, WIU 21%. Transfers in: HCU 5, WIU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HCU -9.7—
Total—138.2—
Projected score—HCU 73.9 · WIU 64.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHCU -5.9—
1H total64.7—
1H projected scoreHCU 35.3 · WIU 29.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hou Christian has the better starters

Position by position: Hou Christian 2, W Illinois 0, even 3
Hou ChristianBetterW Illinois
G C. Mubiru TR6.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.9 ast Score 37
HCUSmall
G M. Kvamme5 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.6 ast Score 9
G D. Samuels8.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 2 ast Score 46
HCUSmall
F D. Stephens5.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 13
G E. Pippa-White TR4.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 5
No call
F J. Riley NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F S. Simmons TR6.7 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
No call
F I. Davis NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F M. Mara5.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33
No call
F D. Traylor NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
Hou ChristianBetterW Illinois
HCU offense342nd of 366 · -11.7
Even
WIU defense362nd of 366 · -11.6
HCU defense203rd of 366 · -5.0
HCUBig
WIU offense365th of 366 · -15.6
Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players
WIUSmall
Backcourt-3.1 · 1 player
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.7 · 4 players
Bench-3.9 · 3 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestHCU betterWIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Hou Christian
Guards
C. Mubiru27 min · TRD. Samuels23 minE. Pippa-White18 min · TRB. Alvarez15 min · TRK. Clark7 minM. AlexanderNew
Forwards
S. Simmons26 min · TRM. Mara20 minA. Miller15 min · TRI. SackoNewK. KeinysNewJ. PapeNew
W Illinois
Guards
M. Kvamme26 minD. FlowersNewH. VaughnNewA. KonateNewJ. CainNewT. MooreNew
Forwards
D. Stephens17 minJ. RileyNewI. DavisNewD. TraylorNewM. BiembongoNewS. HigginsNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HCUWIU
Scoring
66.3 #342Points per game63.2 #357
1.03 #297Points per possession0.94 #359
64.7 #352Pace (possessions)67.6 #246
Shooting
49.7 #252Effective FG%44.5 #361
31.7 #2913-point %30.9 #322
36.5 #2393-point attempt rate33.3 #311
36.0 #151Free throw rate37.7 #108
Possessions
18.9 #317Turnover rate17.5 #239
29.9 #205Offensive rebound rate27.0 #293
13.7 #164Assists per game8.1 #365
Defense
72.4 #113Points allowed78.5 #281
1.12 #268Points allowed per possession1.16 #334
54.2 #304Opponent effective FG%54.2 #303
35.0 #248Opponent 3-point %35.6 #288
17.6 #117Turnovers forced14.9 #300
67.5 #279Defensive rebound rate65.2 #334
6.3 #200Steals per game5.1 #331
3.7 #111Blocks per game2.0 #346
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Hou Christian

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs LSU N Orleans60–73
  • Wvs Lamar75–53
  • Lvs SF Austin56–77
  • W@ East Texas A&M69–68
  • L@ N'Western St53–71

A week or more of rest.

W Illinois

2-26 in 2025-26 overall · 1-19 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Lindenwood Lions69–91
  • L@ SIUE47–67
  • Lvs Morehead St59–81
  • Lvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles70–77
  • Lvs Little Rock58–77

A week or more of rest.