1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. HCU @ SDAK
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

Houston Christian Huskies at South Dakota Coyotes

Sanford Coyote Sports Center · at South Dakota
#300HCUHou Christian
@
#291SDAKSouth Dakota
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HCUThis seasonSDAK
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SDAK 75–72 · win probability SDAK 59%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SDAK has more of the edges

HCU 0, SDAK 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: HCU plays 64.7 a game (352nd fastest), SDAK 72.6 (23rd). Faster games mean more points
SDAKSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HCU 36.0, SDAK 45.2. Allowed: HCU 30.7, SDAK 31.0
SDAKSmall
Home court
SDAK at home. This season: SDAK 0-0 at home, HCU 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HCU 29.9%, SDAK 28.7%. Defensive: HCU 67.5%, SDAK 69.7%
Even
Three-pointers
HCU hits 31.7% and allows 35.0%; SDAK hits 32.4% and allows 34.5%. Threes are 36.5% and 35.9% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
HCU has played the 332nd-hardest schedule, SDAK the 305th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HCU 18.9%, SDAK 16.5%. Forced: HCU 17.6%, SDAK 15.9%
Even
HCU offense vs SDAK defense
Offense 342nd of 366 against a defense 355th, on the model’s ratings
Even
SDAK offense vs HCU defense
Offense 197th of 366 against a defense 203rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HCU 25%, SDAK 26%. Transfers in: HCU 5, SDAK 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: HCU 49.7 and allows 54.2; SDAK 49.9 and allows 54.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SDAK -2.6—
Total—147.1—
Projected score—HCU 72.2 · SDAK 74.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSDAK -1.4—
1H total68.8—
1H projected scoreHCU 33.7 · SDAK 35.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hou Christian has the better starters

Position by position: Hou Christian 2, South Dakota 1, even 2
Hou ChristianBetterSouth Dakota
G C. Mubiru TR6.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.9 ast Score 37
HCUSmall
G J. Summers TR9.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 22
G D. Samuels8.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 2 ast Score 46
Even
G M. Sanchez TR9.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 34
G E. Pippa-White TR4.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 5
SDAKSmall
G V. Buzelis7.1 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 27
F S. Simmons TR6.7 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
Even
G K. Kublickas TR5.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 19
F M. Mara5.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33
HCUSmall
F E. Kizer4 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.2 ast Score 5
Hou ChristianBetterSouth Dakota
HCU offense342nd of 366 · -11.7
Even
SDAK defense355th of 366 · -10.1
HCU defense203rd of 366 · -5.0
Even
SDAK offense197th of 366 · -6.1
Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players
HCUSmall
Backcourt-7.3 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player
Bench-3.9 · 3 players
SDAKSmall
Bench-1.8 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestHCU betterSDAK betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Hou Christian
Guards
C. Mubiru27 min · TRD. Samuels23 minE. Pippa-White18 min · TRB. Alvarez15 min · TRK. Clark7 minM. AlexanderNew
Forwards
S. Simmons26 min · TRM. Mara20 minA. Miller15 min · TRI. SackoNewK. KeinysNewJ. PapeNew
South Dakota
Guards
J. Summers27 min · TRM. Sanchez25 min · TRV. Buzelis24 minK. Kublickas20 min · TRC. Kelderman4 min · TRE. WarrenNew
Forwards
E. Kizer15 minJ. Brack14 minJ. Townley-Thomas5 min · TRT. NetolickyNewB. DomschNew
Centers
S. van Bussel5 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HCUSDAK
Scoring
66.3 #342Points per game78.0 #94
1.03 #297Points per possession1.07 #207
64.7 #352Pace (possessions)72.6 #23
Shooting
49.7 #252Effective FG%49.9 #239
31.7 #2913-point %32.4 #264
36.5 #2393-point attempt rate35.9 #251
36.0 #151Free throw rate45.2 #4
Possessions
18.9 #317Turnover rate16.5 #168
29.9 #205Offensive rebound rate28.7 #242
13.7 #164Assists per game11.9 #295
Defense
72.4 #113Points allowed81.7 #337
1.12 #268Points allowed per possession1.13 #284
54.2 #304Opponent effective FG%54.5 #318
35.0 #248Opponent 3-point %34.5 #219
17.6 #117Turnovers forced15.9 #225
67.5 #279Defensive rebound rate69.7 #172
6.3 #200Steals per game6.1 #223
3.7 #111Blocks per game2.6 #293
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Hou Christian

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs LSU N Orleans60–73
  • Wvs Lamar75–53
  • Lvs SF Austin56–77
  • W@ East Texas A&M69–68
  • L@ N'Western St53–71

A week or more of rest.

South Dakota

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-9 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Omaha62–76
  • Wvs S Dakota St75–70
  • Wvs Omaha89–72
  • L@ Oral Roberts62–67
  • L@ Denver70–90

A week or more of rest.