1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 30
  3. WIU @ HCU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 30

Western Illinois Leathernecks at Houston Christian Huskies

Sharp Gymnasium · at Hou Christian
#365WIUW Illinois
@
#300HCUHou Christian
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WIUThis seasonHCU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HCU 77–61 · win probability HCU 91%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 138.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HCU has more of the edges

WIU 0, HCU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HCUBig
WIU offense vs HCU defense
Offense 365th of 366 against a defense 203rd, on the model’s ratings
HCUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WIU 27.0%, HCU 29.9%. Defensive: WIU 65.2%, HCU 67.5%
HCUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: WIU 44.5 and allows 54.2; HCU 49.7 and allows 54.2
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: WIU plays 67.6 a game (246th fastest), HCU 64.7 (352nd). Faster games mean more points
HCUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WIU 17.5%, HCU 18.9%. Forced: WIU 14.9%, HCU 17.6%
HCUSmall
Home court
HCU at home. This season: HCU 0-0 at home, WIU 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
WIU hits 30.9% and allows 35.6%; HCU hits 31.7% and allows 35.0%. Threes are 33.3% and 36.5% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
WIU has played the 361st-hardest schedule, HCU the 332nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WIU 37.7, HCU 36.0. Allowed: WIU 34.8, HCU 30.7
Even
HCU offense vs WIU defense
Offense 342nd of 366 against a defense 362nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WIU 21%, HCU 25%. Transfers in: WIU 0, HCU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HCU -15.7—
Total—138.2—
Projected score—WIU 61.3 · HCU 76.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHCU -9.2—
1H total64.7—
1H projected scoreWIU 27.8 · HCU 36.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hou Christian has the better starters

Position by position: W Illinois 0, Hou Christian 2, even 3
W IllinoisBetterHou Christian
G M. Kvamme5 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.6 ast Score 9
HCUSmall
G C. Mubiru TR6.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.9 ast Score 37
F D. Stephens5.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 13
HCUSmall
G D. Samuels8.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 2 ast Score 46
F J. Riley NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G E. Pippa-White TR4.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 5
F I. Davis NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F S. Simmons TR6.7 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
F D. Traylor NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F M. Mara5.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33
W IllinoisBetterHou Christian
WIU offense365th of 366 · -15.6
HCUBig
HCU defense203rd of 366 · -5.0
WIU defense362nd of 366 · -11.6
Even
HCU offense342nd of 366 · -11.7
Backcourt-3.1 · 1 player
WIUSmall
Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.7 · 4 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-3.9 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWIU betterHCU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
W Illinois
Guards
M. Kvamme26 minD. FlowersNewH. VaughnNewA. KonateNewJ. CainNewT. MooreNew
Forwards
D. Stephens17 minJ. RileyNewI. DavisNewD. TraylorNewM. BiembongoNewS. HigginsNew
Hou Christian
Guards
C. Mubiru27 min · TRD. Samuels23 minE. Pippa-White18 min · TRB. Alvarez15 min · TRK. Clark7 minM. AlexanderNew
Forwards
S. Simmons26 min · TRM. Mara20 minA. Miller15 min · TRI. SackoNewK. KeinysNewJ. PapeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WIUHCU
Scoring
63.2 #357Points per game66.3 #342
0.94 #359Points per possession1.03 #297
67.6 #246Pace (possessions)64.7 #352
Shooting
44.5 #361Effective FG%49.7 #252
30.9 #3223-point %31.7 #291
33.3 #3113-point attempt rate36.5 #239
37.7 #108Free throw rate36.0 #151
Possessions
17.5 #239Turnover rate18.9 #317
27.0 #293Offensive rebound rate29.9 #205
8.1 #365Assists per game13.7 #164
Defense
78.5 #281Points allowed72.4 #113
1.16 #334Points allowed per possession1.12 #268
54.2 #303Opponent effective FG%54.2 #304
35.6 #288Opponent 3-point %35.0 #248
14.9 #300Turnovers forced17.6 #117
65.2 #334Defensive rebound rate67.5 #279
5.1 #331Steals per game6.3 #200
2.0 #346Blocks per game3.7 #111
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

W Illinois

2-26 in 2025-26 overall · 1-19 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Lindenwood Lions69–91
  • L@ SIUE47–67
  • Lvs Morehead St59–81
  • Lvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles70–77
  • Lvs Little Rock58–77

A week or more of rest.

Hou Christian

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs LSU N Orleans60–73
  • Wvs Lamar75–53
  • Lvs SF Austin56–77
  • W@ East Texas A&M69–68
  • L@ N'Western St53–71

A week or more of rest.