1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 13
  3. WIU @ IOWA
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 13

Western Illinois Leathernecks at Iowa Hawkeyes

Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa
#365WIUW Illinois
@
#43IOWAIowa
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WIUThis seasonIOWA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IOWA 90–50 · win probability IOWA 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 139.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IOWA has more of the edges

WIU 1, IOWA 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
IOWABig
WIU offense vs IOWA defense
Offense 365th of 366 against a defense 20th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
WIU has played the 361st-hardest schedule, IOWA the 30th. A record against a soft schedule means less
IOWABig
IOWA offense vs WIU defense
Offense 69th of 366 against a defense 362nd, on the model’s ratings
IOWABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WIU 17.5%, IOWA 15.1%. Forced: WIU 14.9%, IOWA 20.3%
IOWABig
Shooting
Effective FG%: WIU 44.5 and allows 54.2; IOWA 56.4 and allows 52.6
IOWABig
Three-pointers
WIU hits 30.9% and allows 35.6%; IOWA hits 35.6% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 33.3% and 43.0% of their shots
IOWABig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WIU 27.0%, IOWA 30.2%. Defensive: WIU 65.2%, IOWA 70.8%
WIUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: WIU 37.7, IOWA 35.1. Allowed: WIU 34.8, IOWA 38.5
IOWASmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WIU 21%, IOWA 61%. Transfers in: WIU 0, IOWA 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 65 possessions: WIU plays 67.6 a game (246th fastest), IOWA 63.0 (365th). Faster games mean more points
IOWASmall
Home court
IOWA at home. This season: IOWA 0-0 at home, WIU 0-0 away
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IOWA -40.0—
Total—139.9—
Projected score—WIU 50 · IOWA 89.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIOWA -23.6—
1H total65.5—
1H projected scoreWIU 20.9 · IOWA 44.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Iowa has the better starters

Position by position: W Illinois 0, Iowa 2, even 3
W IllinoisBetterIowa
G M. Kvamme5 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.6 ast Score 9
IOWABig
G K. Combs6.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 54
F D. Stephens5.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 13
IOWABig
G T. Coleman TR10 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.7 ast Score 82
F J. Riley NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F C. Koch7.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 57
F I. Davis NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F C. Manyawu6.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
F D. Traylor NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
C A. McKeever TR8.3 pts · 9.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 77
W IllinoisBetterIowa
WIU offense365th of 366 · -15.6
IOWABig
IOWA defense20th of 366 · +5.4
WIU defense362nd of 366 · -11.6
IOWABig
IOWA offense69th of 366 · +1.8
Backcourt-3.1 · 1 player
IOWABig
Backcourt+0.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.7 · 4 players
IOWABig
Frontcourt+4.1 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+2.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestWIU betterIOWA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
W Illinois
Guards
M. Kvamme26 minD. FlowersNewH. VaughnNewA. KonateNewJ. CainNewT. MooreNew
Forwards
D. Stephens17 minJ. RileyNewI. DavisNewD. TraylorNewM. BiembongoNewS. HigginsNew
Iowa
Guards
K. Combs26 minT. Coleman23 min · TRI. Howard18 minT. Sage16 minJ. Koch2 minP. McCollumNew
Forwards
C. Koch28 minC. Manyawu19 minJ. Matteoni4 minT. ThompsonNew
Centers
A. McKeever23 min · TRT. Jirak8 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WIUIOWA
Scoring
63.2 #357Points per game74.5 #177
0.94 #359Points per possession1.18 #28
67.6 #246Pace (possessions)63.0 #365
Shooting
44.5 #361Effective FG%56.4 #17
30.9 #3223-point %35.6 #85
33.3 #3113-point attempt rate43.0 #117
37.7 #108Free throw rate35.1 #176
Possessions
17.5 #239Turnover rate15.1 #75
27.0 #293Offensive rebound rate30.2 #192
8.1 #365Assists per game15.0 #88
Defense
78.5 #281Points allowed66.3 #16
1.16 #334Points allowed per possession1.05 #91
54.2 #303Opponent effective FG%52.6 #245
35.6 #288Opponent 3-point %33.3 #143
14.9 #300Turnovers forced20.3 #17
65.2 #334Defensive rebound rate70.8 #119
5.1 #331Steals per game6.8 #140
2.0 #346Blocks per game1.9 #349
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

W Illinois

2-26 in 2025-26 overall · 1-19 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Lindenwood Lions69–91
  • L@ SIUE47–67
  • Lvs Morehead St59–81
  • Lvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles70–77
  • Lvs Little Rock58–77

A week or more of rest.

Iowa

24-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois59–71
  • Wvs Nebraska77–71
  • Wvs Florida73–72
  • Wvs Clemson67–61
  • Lvs Ohio State69–72

A week or more of rest.