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  2. Sun, Dec 13
  3. NCCU @ ISU
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 13

North Carolina Central Eagles at Iowa State Cyclones

Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State
#357NCCUNC Central
@
#13ISUIowa State AP #18
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NCCUThis seasonISU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ISU 95–51 · win probability ISU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 145.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ISU has more of the edges

NCCU 0, ISU 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ISUBig
NCCU offense vs ISU defense
Offense 345th of 366 against a defense 6th, on the model’s ratings
ISUBig
ISU offense vs NCCU defense
Offense 26th of 366 against a defense 352nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NCCU has played the 310th-hardest schedule, ISU the 38th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ISUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: NCCU 47.5 and allows 54.5; ISU 56.2 and allows 49.8
ISUBig
Three-pointers
NCCU hits 32.6% and allows 36.4%; ISU hits 38.3% and allows 32.0%. Threes are 33.9% and 38.8% of their shots
ISUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NCCU 30.0%, ISU 35.1%. Defensive: NCCU 60.6%, ISU 71.4%
ISUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NCCU 18.2%, ISU 14.9%. Forced: NCCU 19.8%, ISU 22.6%
ISUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NCCU 4%, ISU 57%. Transfers in: NCCU 4, ISU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
ISUSmall
Home court
ISU at home. This season: ISU 0-0 at home, NCCU 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NCCU 39.3, ISU 34.5. Allowed: NCCU 36.9, ISU 28.1
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: NCCU plays 66.9 a game (282nd fastest), ISU 68.5 (204th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ISU -43.8—
Total—145.6—
Projected score—NCCU 50.9 · ISU 94.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadISU -25.9—
1H total68.1—
1H projected scoreNCCU 21.1 · ISU 47—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Iowa State has the better starters

Position by position: NC Central 0, Iowa State 3, even 2
NC CentralBetterIowa State
G T. Brown TR3.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 11
ISUBig
G R. Prather TR16.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.7 ast Score 84
G R. Archey3.1 pts · 1 reb · 0.7 ast Not ranked
No call
G L. Bond TR12.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.5 ast Score 74
F C. Meeks TR5.7 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 6
ISUBig
G T. Lipsey13.5 pts · 3.9 reb · 5.1 ast Score 98
F T. Mason TR5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.1 ast Score 32
ISUBig
G J. Johnson TR16.8 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast Score 98
F M. Vassel TR1.7 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G K. Toure8.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 79
NC CentralBetterIowa State
NCCU offense345th of 366 · -11.9
ISUBig
ISU defense6th of 366 · +9.3
NCCU defense352nd of 366 · -9.9
ISUBig
ISU offense26th of 366 · +7.0
Backcourt-2.4 · 2 players
ISUBig
Backcourt+14.4 · 5 players
Frontcourt-5.2 · 3 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+4.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNCCU betterISU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
NC Central
Guards
T. Brown14 min · TRR. Archey8 minD. KaneNewC. SanonNewI. BuckleyNewA. BowserNew
Forwards
C. Meeks29 min · TRT. Mason12 min · TRM. Vassel8 min · TRJ. PriceNewD. DuorNew
Centers
D. MbaetekaNew
Iowa State
Guards
R. Prather35 min · TRL. Bond33 min · TRT. Lipsey32 minJ. Johnson31 min · TRK. Toure25 minJ. Batemon16 min
Forwards
T. Singleton25 min · TRB. Buchanan25 minT. Manning21 min · TRD. Pleta11 minX. Mitchell3 minD. Rinaldo-KomlanNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NCCUISU
Scoring
67.6 #322Points per game82.0 #32
1.02 #308Points per possession1.19 #20
66.9 #282Pace (possessions)68.5 #204
Shooting
47.5 #328Effective FG%56.2 #20
32.6 #2473-point %38.3 #12
33.9 #2993-point attempt rate38.8 #196
39.3 #72Free throw rate34.5 #194
Possessions
18.2 #285Turnover rate14.9 #58
30.0 #201Offensive rebound rate35.1 #45
12.1 #279Assists per game17.4 #16
Defense
77.3 #246Points allowed65.6 #9
1.15 #322Points allowed per possession0.96 #4
54.5 #317Opponent effective FG%49.8 #92
36.4 #321Opponent 3-point %32.0 #63
19.8 #27Turnovers forced22.6 #4
60.6 #364Defensive rebound rate71.4 #85
7.7 #60Steals per game9.0 #9
3.4 #165Blocks per game2.6 #289
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NC Central

10-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-7 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Howard63–70
  • Wvs Delaware St59–53
  • Wvs MD Eastern83–76
  • Lvs SC State64–80
  • W@ MD Eastern77–73

A week or more of rest.

Iowa State

29-8 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee62–76
  • Wvs Kentucky82–63
  • Wvs Tennessee St108–74
  • Lvs Arizona80–82
  • Wvs Texas Tech75–53

A week or more of rest.