1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 15
  3. NCCU @ HPU
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 15

North Carolina Central Eagles at High Point Panthers

Qubein Center · at High Point
#357NCCUNC Central
@
#90HPUHigh Point
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NCCUThis seasonHPU
0-0Record1-0
0-0ATS1-0
0-0O/U0-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HPU 90–62 · win probability HPU 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HPU has more of the edges

NCCU 0, HPU 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HPUBig
HPU offense vs NCCU defense
Offense 64th of 366 against a defense 352nd, on the model’s ratings
HPUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: NCCU 47.5 and allows 54.5; HPU 54.5 and allows 50.5
HPUBig
NCCU offense vs HPU defense
Offense 345th of 366 against a defense 127th, on the model’s ratings
HPUBig
Three-pointers
NCCU hits 32.6% and allows 36.4%; HPU hits 34.2% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 33.9% and 43.6% of their shots
HPUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NCCU 18.2%, HPU 12.8%. Forced: NCCU 19.8%, HPU 21.3%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: NCCU plays 66.9 a game (282nd fastest), HPU 71.7 (47th). Faster games mean more points
HPUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NCCU 30.0%, HPU 31.8%. Defensive: NCCU 60.6%, HPU 68.9%
HPUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NCCU 4%, HPU 36%. Transfers in: NCCU 4, HPU 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
HPUSmall
Home court
HPU at home. This season: HPU 0-0 at home, NCCU 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NCCU 39.3, HPU 40.8. Allowed: NCCU 36.9, HPU 35.5
Context
Schedule so far
NCCU has played the 310th-hardest schedule, HPU the 288th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HPU -28.1—
Total—151.5—
Projected score—NCCU 61.7 · HPU 89.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHPU -16.6—
1H total70.8—
1H projected scoreNCCU 27.1 · HPU 43.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

High Point has the better starters

Position by position: NC Central 0, High Point 3, even 2
NC CentralBetterHigh Point
G T. Brown TR3.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 11
HPUBig
G J. Rivera-Torres TR15.9 pts · 8.1 reb · 2.9 ast Score 91
G R. Archey3.1 pts · 1 reb · 0.7 ast Not ranked
No call
G C. Williams TR12.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 60
F C. Meeks TR5.7 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 6
HPUBig
G C. Brown TR10.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast Score 64
F T. Mason TR5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.1 ast Score 32
HPUBig
F I. Garrett TR13.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 79
F M. Vassel TR1.7 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F F. Sherman TR10.8 pts · 8.6 reb · 1 ast Score 85
NC CentralBetterHigh Point
NCCU offense345th of 366 · -11.9
HPUBig
HPU defense127th of 366 · -2.3
NCCU defense352nd of 366 · -9.9
HPUBig
HPU offense64th of 366 · +2.2
Backcourt-2.4 · 2 players
HPUBig
Backcourt+3.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-5.2 · 3 players
HPUBig
Frontcourt+3.9 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+4.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNCCU betterHPU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
NC Central
Guards
T. Brown14 min · TRR. Archey8 minD. KaneNewC. SanonNewI. BuckleyNewA. BowserNew
Forwards
C. Meeks29 min · TRT. Mason12 min · TRM. Vassel8 min · TRJ. PriceNewD. DuorNew
Centers
D. MbaetekaNew
High Point
Guards
J. Rivera-Torres36 min · TRC. Williams32 min · TRC. Brown27 min · TRC. Martinez22 minL. Campbell15 min · TRS. McDermott2 min · TR
Forwards
I. Garrett29 min · TRF. Sherman26 min · TRF. Brankovic24 min · TRC. Fletcher22 minB. Hausen21 minC. Miller7 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NCCUHPU
Scoring
67.6 #322Points per game86.4 #9
1.02 #308Points per possession1.20 #12
66.9 #282Pace (possessions)71.7 #47
Shooting
47.5 #328Effective FG%54.5 #51
32.6 #2473-point %34.2 #161
33.9 #2993-point attempt rate43.6 #98
39.3 #72Free throw rate40.8 #50
Possessions
18.2 #285Turnover rate12.8 #5
30.0 #201Offensive rebound rate31.8 #131
12.1 #279Assists per game15.4 #74
Defense
77.3 #246Points allowed72.8 #128
1.15 #322Points allowed per possession1.01 #38
54.5 #317Opponent effective FG%50.5 #126
36.4 #321Opponent 3-point %32.6 #97
19.8 #27Turnovers forced21.3 #8
60.6 #364Defensive rebound rate68.9 #207
7.7 #60Steals per game10.1 #2
3.4 #165Blocks per game3.6 #119
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NC Central

10-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-7 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Howard63–70
  • Wvs Delaware St59–53
  • Wvs MD Eastern83–76
  • Lvs SC State64–80
  • W@ MD Eastern77–73

A week or more of rest.

High Point

28-5 in 2025-26 overall · 18-1 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas88–94
  • Wvs Wisconsin83–82
  • Wvs Winthrop91–76
  • Wvs UNC Asheville75–71
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59

A week or more of rest.