Moda Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
ARK -12.5✓ HPU covered by 6.5
ARK -12.5✓ HPU covered by 6.5Closing total171.5Over by 10.5
 HPU | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 28-4 | Record | 27-8 |
| 15-17 | ATS | 23-12 |
| 21-11 | O/U | 20-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 81–92 ARK · ✓ ARK (85%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 42 | 46 | 88 |
| ARK | 43 | 51 | 94 |
1st half: HPU 42, ARK 43 (ARK by 1). The model had ARK by 6.9 and a total of 80.7 (actual 85).
Team stats
| HPU | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-75 45% | Field goals | 35-68 51% |
| 10-38 26% | 3-pointers | 9-16 56% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 15-20 75% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 37 8 off |
| 17 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Martin G | 35 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 11-23 | 3-11 |
| Owen Aquino F | 31 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Terry Anderson F | 24 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Braden Hausen F | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Scotty Washington G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 33 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 11-19 | 3-9 |
| Chase Johnston G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Vincent Brady II G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Conrad Martinez G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kasen Krueger, Dorian Grosber, Caden Miller, Mavrick Miller, Birgir Irving, Josh Ibukunoluwa, David Fonville, Babacar Diallo, Liam Carney
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Richmond III G | 38 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-1 |
| Malique Ewin F | 36 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 35 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 8-16 | 3-5 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 34 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 34 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 11-22 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Wagner G | 22 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sealy F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Nick Pringle, Ayden Kelley, Jaden Karuletwa, Amere Brown, Karter Knox
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -12.5
no move
CloseARK -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open170.5
▲ 1
Close171.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HPU +600 · ARK -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -12.5 · unchangedmodel ARK -12
model ARK -12
Opened 170.5 · closed 171.5 · moved 1 upmodel 173
model 173
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARK -12.5 | ARK -11.9 | HPU +0.6 | W HPU covered |
| Total | 171.5 | 173.0 | Over 1.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | HPU 80.6 · ARK 92.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARK -6.9 | ARK -1.0 |
| 1H total | 80.7 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | HPU 36.9 · ARK 43.8 | HPU 42 · ARK 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| ARK | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
32 games played
Straight up
28-4
88% wins
Against the spread
15-17
47% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-11
66% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vs WCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | vs APP | L 78-86 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs LAS | W 84-72 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs BRY | W 93-47 | -19.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 31 | @ UNCA | W 87-69 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | vs LONG | W 80-67 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs GWEB | W 104-49 | -26.5 | W +28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | @ CHSO | W 84-82 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ WIN | L 75-92 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vs UPST | W 89-69 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ RAD | W 93-83 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | vs PRES | W 84-81 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @LONG | W 71-59 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsCHSO | W 80-55 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsRAD | W 86-77 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @UPST | W 95-70 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @GWEB | W 112-87 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 19 | vsUNCA | W 74-48 | -14.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 21 | vsWIN | W 89-87 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 26 | @PRES | W 79-73 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 6 | vsGWEB | W 81-59 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNCA | W 75-71 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 8 | vsWIN | W 91-76 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 19 | vs WIS | W 83-82 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
−20.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
−1.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
+26.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+7.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−3.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
+28.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
−6.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
−19.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+3.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+2.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
−11.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
+2.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
+10.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
−5.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
−0.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
+11.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
−7.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
−6.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−5.5
7
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-71
−10.5
8
vsWIN
WINW 91-76
+8.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 83-82
+11.5
covered 15didn’t cover 17avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
+19.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
+6.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
−13.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+4.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−13.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
−9.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
+2.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
+4.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+5.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+10.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
+15.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
−26.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
−27.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
+0.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
+37.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
−30.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
+9.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
+0.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−15.5
7
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-71
−1.5
8
vsWIN
WINW 91-76
+9.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 83-82
+3.5
over 21under 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
35 games played
Straight up
27-8
77% wins
Against the spread
23-12
66% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-15
57% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vsWIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @ MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @ AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vs SC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vs VAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs LSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @ OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs UK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ ALA | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | vs MIZ | W 94-86 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 25 | vs TA&M | W 99-84 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 28 | @ FLA | L 77-111 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Mar 4 | vs TEX | W 105-85 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 7 | @MIZ | W 88-84 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 13 | vsOU | W 82-79 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 14 | vsMISS | W 93-90 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 15 | vsVAN | W 86-75 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 19 | vs HAW | W 97-78 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+1.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
−1.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+7.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
−24.5
4
vsTEX
TEXW 105-85
+13.5
7
@MIZ
MIZW 88-84
+6.5
13
vsOU
OUW 82-79
−3.5
14
vsMISS
MISSW 93-90
−5.5
15
vsVAN
VANW 86-75
+13.5
19
vsHAW
HAWW 97-78
+4.5
covered 23didn’t cover 12avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+50.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
+20.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+12.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
+18.5
4
vsTEX
TEXW 105-85
+26.5
7
@MIZ
MIZW 88-84
+8.5
13
vsOU
OUW 82-79
−5.5
14
vsMISS
MISSW 93-90
+23.5
15
vsVAN
VANW 86-75
−4.5
19
vsHAW
HAWW 97-78
+16.5
over 20under 15avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
28-4 overall · 18-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wisconsin83–82
- Wvs Winthrop91–76
- Wvs UNC Asheville75–71
- Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59
- W@ Presbyterian79–73
2 days since their last game.
Arkansas
27-8 overall · 16-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hawai'i97–78
- Wvs Vanderbilt86–75
- Wvs Ole Miss93–90
- Wvs Oklahoma82–79
- W@ Missouri88–84
2 days since their last game.