Old Dominion Monarchs at Drexel Dragons: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 23, 2:00 PM ETDaskalakis Athletic Center · at Drexel

Final

#262DREXDrexel75▲ winner

Closing lineDREX -3.5✓ DREX covered by 0.5

Closing total142.5Over by 3.5

Season records: Old Dominion and Drexel
ODU	This season	DREX
2-3	Record	1-4
2-3	ATS	1-4
3-2	O/U	2-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ODU 72–72 DREX · ✓ DREX (52%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ODU	34	37	71
DREX	35	40	75

1st half: ODU 34, DREX 35 (DREX by 1). The model had DREX by 0.1 and a total of 67.3 (actual 69).

Team stats

ODU		DREX
27-62 44%	Field goals	25-56 45%
8-17 47%	3-pointers	9-21 43%
9-16 56%	Free throws	16-21 76%
35 12 off	Rebounds	38 12 off
12	Assists	13
6	Steals	5
4	Blocks	9
9	Turnovers	11
18	Fouls	14
28	Points in paint	28
8	Fast-break points	8

Players

ODU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Robert Davis Jr. G	38	15	0	3	6-17	3-7
Jordan Battle G	35	21	9	5	7-14	3-4
Caelum Swanton-Rodger F	30	11	8	2	4-8	0-0
LJ Thomas G	24	13	0	0	6-11	0-1
Scottie Hubbard G	17	0	1	2	0-3	0-2
Bench
Jared Turner F	30	6	5	0	2-3	2-3
Zacch Wiggins G	14	2	3	0	1-4	0-0
Donovan Raymond F	9	3	3	0	1-1	0-0
Drew McKenna F	3	0	0	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Stephaun Walker, Cooper Jones, CJ Parker, Ben Nacey, KC Shaw, Rieco Hellams, Elijah Flowers

DREX	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Shane Blakeney G	32	15	4	2	5-13	3-6
Villiam Garcia Adsten G	28	7	10	4	2-6	1-2
Kevon Vanderhorst G	24	16	1	0	7-10	2-3
Eli Beard G	21	0	2	2	0-4	0-3
Martin de LaPorterie F	11	4	4	0	1-1	0-0
Bench
Garfield Turner F	27	9	9	1	3-6	0-0
Josh Reed G	27	18	1	3	6-11	2-4
Victor Panov F	22	6	4	1	1-3	1-2
Horace Simmons Jr. F	4	0	1	0	0-1	0-1
Dillon Tingler G	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Ralph Akuta F	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Clem Edomwonyin, Max Davis, Ignacio Campoy Galvez, Moses Hipps

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	DREX -3.5	DREX -0.5	ODU +3.0	L DREX covered
Total	142.5	143.7	Over 1.2	W Over
Projected score	—	ODU 71.6 · DREX 72.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DREX -0.1	DREX -1.0
1H total	67.3	69
1H projected score	ODU 33.6 · DREX 33.7	ODU 34 · DREX 35

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU WLLLW	2-3	40%	1-2	1-2
DREX LLLWL	1-4	20%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: ODU away, as underdog; DREX home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU OUOOU	3-2	60%	2-3
DREX OOUUU	2-3	40%	1-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODUlast 5	2-3 40%	2-3 40%	3-2 60%
DREXlast 5	1-4 20%	1-4 20%	2-3 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

ODU 1–1 DREXSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · ODU 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 26, 2023-24	DREX 61 @ ODU 68	ODU PK	ODU W
Nov 11, 2022-23	ODU 59 @ DREX 71	DREX +2.5	DREX W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Old Dominion

5 games played

Straight up

2-3

40% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-2

60% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-340%

L W L L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-340%

W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-260%

O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@M-OH	L 72-87	+16.5	W +1.5	153.5	O 159
Nov 11	vsNORF	W 60-57	-8.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 117
Nov 15	@GW	L 73-96	+15.5	L −7.5	155.5	O 169
Nov 18	@XAV	L 69-99	+10.5	L −19.5	150.5	O 168
Nov 21	vsMORG	W 88-56	-11.5	W +20.5	156.5	U 144

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

M-OH

L 72-87

+1.5

NORF

W 60-57

−5.5

L 73-96

−7.5

XAV

L 69-99

−19.5

MORG

W 88-56

+20.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

M-OH

L 72-87

+5.5

NORF

W 60-57

−32.5

L 73-96

+13.5

XAV

L 69-99

+17.5

MORG

W 88-56

−12.5

over 3under 2avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Drexel

5 games played

Straight up

1-4

20% wins

Against the spread

1-4

20% covers · avg −5.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-3

40% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-420%

L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-420%

L L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-340%

O O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@JOES	L 65-76	+9.5	L −1.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 11	@COLG	L 83-90	+3.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 173
Nov 15	vsSYR	L 50-80	+11.5	L −18.5	143.5	U 130
Nov 18	vsNJIT	W 75-43	-13.5	W +18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 21	vsPENN	L 68-84	-4.5	L −20.5	152.5	U 152

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

JOES

L 65-76

−1.5

COLG

L 83-90

−3.5

SYR

L 50-80

−18.5

NJIT

W 75-43

+18.5

PENN

L 68-84

−20.5

covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

JOES

L 65-76

+1.5

COLG

L 83-90

+29.5

SYR

L 50-80

−13.5

NJIT

W 75-43

−20.5

PENN

L 68-84

−0.5

over 2under 3avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Old Dominion Monarchs at Drexel Dragons

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Old Dominion

Drexel

Old Dominion

Drexel