Littlejohn Coliseum · at Clemson
#303STETStetson
@
#35CLEMClemson
LineCLEM -25.5moved 1 toward STET
Total144.5down 2 from 146.5
Season records: Stetson and Clemson
STETThis seasonCLEM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CLEM 89–59 · win probability CLEM 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
CLEM -25.5
moved 1 toward STET
Total
144.5
model 147.6 · Over by 3
Model edge
CLEM by 4
model vs market
Public on the spread
73% STET
68% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CLEM has more of the edges

STET 0, CLEM 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CLEMBig
CLEM offense vs STET defense
Offense 51st of 366 against a defense 328th, on the model’s ratings
CLEMBig
STET offense vs CLEM defense
Offense 273rd of 366 against a defense 25th, on the model’s ratings
CLEMBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: STET 18.2%, CLEM 14.0%. Forced: STET 15.1%, CLEM 17.4%
Context
Schedule so far
STET has played the 220th-hardest schedule, CLEM the 66th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CLEMBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: STET 26.6%, CLEM 28.1%. Defensive: STET 68.2%, CLEM 73.7%
CLEMBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: STET 53.1 and allows 55.2; CLEM 52.5 and allows 48.8
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: STET plays 68.2 a game (221st fastest), CLEM 65.6 (326th). Faster games mean more points
CLEMSmall
Home court
CLEM at home. This season: CLEM 0-0 at home, STET 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: STET 51%, CLEM 37%. Transfers in: STET 3, CLEM 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: STET 32.5, CLEM 36.7. Allowed: STET 30.4, CLEM 33.9
Even
Three-pointers
STET hits 36.0% and allows 34.5%; CLEM hits 34.1% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 44.8% and 43.1% of their shots

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 20 or more116599%50%52%
Non-conference games at this spread109099%50%52%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog451374%51%50%
Games with a total of 140 to 144.5357072%50%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward STET
Total
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
STET +3500 · CLEM -20000
Line movement
Median of 6 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -26.5 · now CLEM -25.5 · moved 1 toward STETmodel CLEM -29.5
Opened 146.5 · now 144 · moved 2.5 downmodel 147.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
STET +25.5SpreadCLEM -25.5
Bets
Money
Over 144.5TotalUnder 144.5
Bets
Money
STETWinnerCLEM
Bets
Money

Books

6 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
STETCLEMOverUnderSTETCLEM
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-25.5+100+25.5-120143.5-110143.5-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-25.5-107+25.5-118144.5-112144.5-114——
BovadaBovada-25.5+100+25.5-120143.5-110143.5-110——
DraftKingsDK-25.5-105+25.5-115144.5-105144.5-115+3500-20000
FanDuelFD-25.5-110+25.5-110144.5-110144.5-110+3500-20000
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-25.5+104+25.5-116143.5-108143.5-108——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadCLEM -25.5CLEM -29.4CLEM +3.9
Total144.5147.6Over 3.1
Projected score—STET 59.1 · CLEM 88.5

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadCLEM -17.4—
1H total69.0—
1H projected scoreSTET 25.8 · CLEM 43.2—

Clemson has the better starters

Position by position: Stetson 0, Clemson 3, even 2
StetsonBetterClemson
G D. Macgregor4.8 pts · 2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 26
CLEMBig
G C. Certa TR12.8 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 83
F C. Kuhl13.2 pts · 6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 87
Even
F D. Faulkner TR17.3 pts · 8.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 99
F F. Sheridan7.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 21
CLEMBig
F D. Fuchs TR13 pts · 7.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 95
F M. Myles TR7.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 66
Even
F L. Lelevicius TR8 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 72
F A. Doyle5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 9
CLEMBig
F C. Welling10.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 97
StetsonBetterClemson
STET offense273rd of 366 · -8.3
CLEMBig
CLEM defense25th of 366 · +4.8
STET defense328th of 366 · -8.5
CLEMBig
CLEM offense51st of 366 · +3.6
Backcourt-1.4 · 1 player
CLEMSmall
Backcourt+1.5 · 1 player
Frontcourt-0.9 · 4 players
CLEMBig
Frontcourt+14.4 · 4 players
Bench-5.1 · 5 players
CLEMBig
Bench+2.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSTET betterCLEM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Stetson
Guards
D. Macgregor19 minS. Morgan14 minT. Sucatzky13 min · TRM. McGowan2 minI. Jones2 minB. Gladieux2 min
Forwards
C. Kuhl24 minF. Sheridan23 minM. Myles21 min · TRA. Doyle17 minM. Entenmann12 min · TRJ. Boyomo KeediNew
Clemson
Guards
C. Certa27 min · TRA. Buckner20 minZ. Foster19 minH. ReynoldsNewA. JamesNew
Forwards
D. Faulkner27 min · TRD. Fuchs24 min · TRL. Lelevicius24 min · TRC. Welling21 minC. Thompson9 minD. Thomas4 min
Centers
W. StevensNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
STETCLEM
Scoring
71.9 #246Points per game73.8 #209
1.06 #231Points per possession1.12 #95
68.2 #221Pace (possessions)65.6 #326
Shooting
53.1 #96Effective FG%52.5 #126
36.0 #593-point %34.1 #165
44.8 #753-point attempt rate43.1 #115
32.5 #250Free throw rate36.7 #136
Possessions
18.2 #284Turnover rate14.0 #24
26.6 #308Offensive rebound rate28.1 #264
14.7 #105Assists per game12.7 #233
Defense
79.9 #315Points allowed66.7 #21
1.17 #339Points allowed per possession1.02 #41
55.2 #338Opponent effective FG%48.8 #59
34.5 #223Opponent 3-point %32.4 #88
15.1 #278Turnovers forced17.4 #124
68.2 #250Defensive rebound rate73.7 #21
6.2 #213Steals per game6.3 #209
2.0 #344Blocks per game2.8 #260

Stetson

10-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Austin Peay60–69
  • Wvs E Kentucky92–76
  • Wvs FGCU78–63
  • L@ Jacksonville85–89
  • Wvs North Florida76–71

A week or more of rest.

Clemson

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Iowa61–67
  • Lvs Duke61–73
  • Wvs North Carolina80–79
  • Wvs Wake Forest71–62
  • Wvs Georgia Tech79–76

A week or more of rest.