Littlejohn Coliseum · at Clemson
Line
CLEM -25.5moved 1 toward STET
Total144.5down 2 from 146.5
| This season | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects CLEM 89–59 · win probability CLEM 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
CLEM -25.5
moved 1 toward STET
Total
144.5
model 147.6 · Over by 3
Model edge
CLEM by 4
model vs market
Public on the spread
73% STET
68% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: CLEM has more of the edges
STET 0, CLEM 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CLEM offense vs STET defense
Offense 51st of 366 against a defense 328th, on the model’s ratings
STET offense vs CLEM defense
Offense 273rd of 366 against a defense 25th, on the model’s ratings
Turnovers
Turnover rate: STET 18.2%, CLEM 14.0%. Forced: STET 15.1%, CLEM 17.4%
Context
Schedule so far
STET has played the 220th-hardest schedule, CLEM the 66th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: STET 26.6%, CLEM 28.1%. Defensive: STET 68.2%, CLEM 73.7%
Shooting
Effective FG%: STET 53.1 and allows 55.2; CLEM 52.5 and allows 48.8
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: STET plays 68.2 a game (221st fastest), CLEM 65.6 (326th). Faster games mean more points
Home court
CLEM at home. This season: CLEM 0-0 at home, STET 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: STET 51%, CLEM 37%. Transfers in: STET 3, CLEM 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: STET 32.5, CLEM 36.7. Allowed: STET 30.4, CLEM 33.9
Even
Three-pointers
STET hits 36.0% and allows 34.5%; CLEM hits 34.1% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 44.8% and 43.1% of their shots
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 20 or more | 1165 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1090 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog | 4513 | 74% | 51% | 50% |
| Games with a total of 140 to 144.5 | 3570 | 72% | 50% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenCLEM -26.5
1 → STET
NowCLEM -25.5
1 pt toward STET
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Now144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
STET +3500 · CLEM -20000
Line movement
Median of 6 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -26.5 · now CLEM -25.5 · moved 1 toward STETmodel CLEM -29.5
model CLEM -29.5
Opened 146.5 · now 144 · moved 2.5 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Over 144.5TotalUnder 144.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
6 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STET | CLEM | Over | Under | STET | CLEM | |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -25.5+100 | +25.5-120 | 143.5-110 | 143.5-110 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -25.5-107 | +25.5-118 | 144.5-112 | 144.5-114 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -25.5+100 | +25.5-120 | 143.5-110 | 143.5-110 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -25.5-105 | +25.5-115 | 144.5-105 | 144.5-115 | +3500 | -20000 |
| FanDuelFD | -25.5-110 | +25.5-110 | 144.5-110 | 144.5-110 | +3500 | -20000 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -25.5+104 | +25.5-116 | 143.5-108 | 143.5-108 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CLEM -25.5 | CLEM -29.4 | CLEM +3.9 |
| Total | 144.5 | 147.6 | Over 3.1 |
| Projected score | — | STET 59.1 · CLEM 88.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CLEM -17.4 | — |
| 1H total | 69.0 | — |
| 1H projected score | STET 25.8 · CLEM 43.2 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | |
| 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stetson
31 games played
Straight up
10-21
32% wins
Against the spread
18-13
58% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 62-93 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 10 | @ | L 61-102 | +34.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 64-60 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 99-80 | +2.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 68-70 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 30 | @ | L 62-80 | +11.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 45-67 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 51-82 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 54-107 | +31.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ | W 70-67 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 73-93 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 91-83 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 69-81 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 95-86 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 81-87 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 74-79 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | @ | L 65-73 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 84-77 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 66-68 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 71-92 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 88-100 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 67-62 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 76-78 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 19 | vs | L 76-88 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 76-71 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 26 | @ | L 85-89 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 78-63 | +5.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 92-76 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 6 | vs | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
URI
L 62-93
−12.5
10
@
MIA
L 61-102
−6.5
16
@
WCU
L 65-76
+1.5
19
vs
HOW
W 64-60
+5.5
22
vs
VMI
W 99-80
+21.5
25
vs
WRST
L 62-79
−7.5
29
vs
SUU
L 68-70
−0.5
30
@
RMU
L 62-80
−6.5
2
@
GCU
L 45-67
+2.5
6
@
SC
L 51-82
−8.5
22
@
OU
L 54-107
−21.5
1
@
UNA
W 70-67
+12.5
3
@
CARK
L 73-93
−8.5
8
vs
LIP
W 91-83
+19.5
10
vs
APSU
L 69-81
−2.5
15
vs
WGA
W 95-86
+10.5
17
vs
QUC
L 81-87
+4.5
22
@
LIP
L 74-79
+10.5
23
@
APSU
L 65-73
+8.5
29
@
UNF
W 84-77
+5.5
31
vs
UNA
L 66-68
−3.5
5
@
BELL
L 71-92
−16.5
7
@
EKU
L 88-100
−2.5
11
vs
JAX
W 67-62
+7.5
14
@
FGCU
L 76-78
+9.5
19
vs
CARK
L 76-88
−2.5
21
vs
UNF
W 76-71
+3.5
26
@
JAX
L 85-89
+3.5
28
vs
FGCU
W 78-63
+20.5
4
vs
EKU
W 92-76
+21.5
6
vs
APSU
L 60-69
+2.5
covered 18didn’t cover 13avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
URI
L 62-93
+2.5
10
@
MIA
L 61-102
+1.5
16
@
WCU
L 65-76
−14.5
19
vs
HOW
W 64-60
−25.5
22
vs
VMI
W 99-80
+30.5
25
vs
WRST
L 62-79
−6.5
29
vs
SUU
L 68-70
−10.5
30
@
RMU
L 62-80
−0.5
2
@
GCU
L 45-67
−29.5
6
@
SC
L 51-82
−9.5
22
@
OU
L 54-107
+12.5
1
@
UNA
W 70-67
−5.5
3
@
CARK
L 73-93
+18.5
8
vs
LIP
W 91-83
+23.5
10
vs
APSU
L 69-81
−0.5
15
vs
WGA
W 95-86
+29.5
17
vs
QUC
L 81-87
+5.5
22
@
LIP
L 74-79
−4.5
23
@
APSU
L 65-73
−10.5
29
@
UNF
W 84-77
−4.5
31
vs
UNA
L 66-68
−10.5
5
@
BELL
L 71-92
+14.5
7
@
EKU
L 88-100
+36.5
11
vs
JAX
W 67-62
−9.5
14
@
FGCU
L 76-78
+5.5
19
vs
CARK
L 76-88
+14.5
21
vs
UNF
W 76-71
−14.5
26
@
JAX
L 85-89
+35.5
28
vs
FGCU
W 78-63
−9.5
4
vs
EKU
W 92-76
+12.5
6
vs
APSU
L 60-69
−24.5
over 14under 17avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clemson
35 games played
Straight up
24-11
69% wins
Against the spread
17-18
49% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-21
40% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Against the spread
17-1849%
3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs | W 74-50 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vs | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 77-63 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 63-52 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 77-55 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 66-76 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 54-67 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 77-85 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 65-70 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 80-75 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 63-67 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 79-76 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 71-62 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 80-79 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 13 | vs | L 61-73 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 20 | vs | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UNH
W 88-38
+20.5
7
vs
GWEB
W 97-59
+8.5
11
vs
MORE
W 83-56
−2.5
15
@
GTWN
L 74-79
−6.5
17
vs
UNA
W 81-61
−5.5
21
vs
WVU
W 70-67
−1.5
23
vs
UGA
W 97-94
+1.5
28
vs
AAMU
W 92-56
+8.5
3
@
ALA
L 84-90
+2.5
9
vs
BYU
L 64-67
+1.5
13
vs
MER
W 70-63
−15.5
16
vs
SC
W 68-61
−5.5
21
vs
CIN
W 68-65
−0.5
31
@
SYR
W 64-61
+1.5
3
@
PITT
W 73-68
+1.5
7
vs
SMU
W 74-70
+0.5
10
@
ND
W 76-61
+11.5
13
vs
BC
W 74-50
+8.5
17
vs
MIA
W 69-59
+5.5
20
vs
NCSU
L 76-80
−6.5
24
@
GT
W 77-63
+5.5
31
vs
PITT
W 63-52
+0.5
4
@
STAN
W 66-64
−1.5
7
@
CAL
W 77-55
+17.5
11
vs
VT
L 66-76
−18.5
14
@
DUKE
L 54-67
−0.5
18
@
WAKE
L 77-85
−12.5
21
vs
FSU
L 65-70
−13.5
28
vs
LOU
W 80-75
+7.5
3
@
UNC
L 63-67
−1.5
7
vs
GT
W 79-76
−12.5
11
vs
WAKE
W 71-62
+3.5
12
vs
UNC
W 80-79
−1.5
13
vs
DUKE
L 61-73
−1.5
20
vs
IOWA
L 61-67
−4.5
covered 17didn’t cover 18avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UNH
W 88-38
−20.5
7
vs
GWEB
W 97-59
+10.5
11
vs
MORE
W 83-56
−12.5
15
@
GTWN
L 74-79
+10.5
17
vs
UNA
W 81-61
−2.5
21
vs
WVU
W 70-67
+4.5
23
vs
UGA
W 97-94
+38.5
28
vs
AAMU
W 92-56
+6.5
3
@
ALA
L 84-90
+8.5
9
vs
BYU
L 64-67
−21.5
13
vs
MER
W 70-63
−19.5
16
vs
SC
W 68-61
−13.5
21
vs
CIN
W 68-65
−7.5
31
@
SYR
W 64-61
−15.5
3
@
PITT
W 73-68
+5.5
7
vs
SMU
W 74-70
−5.5
10
@
ND
W 76-61
+3.5
13
vs
BC
W 74-50
−12.5
17
vs
MIA
W 69-59
−15.5
20
vs
NCSU
L 76-80
+13.5
24
@
GT
W 77-63
−2.5
31
vs
PITT
W 63-52
−20.5
4
@
STAN
W 66-64
−8.5
7
@
CAL
W 77-55
−7.5
11
vs
VT
L 66-76
+3.5
14
@
DUKE
L 54-67
−13.5
18
@
WAKE
L 77-85
+21.5
21
vs
FSU
L 65-70
−10.5
28
vs
LOU
W 80-75
+8.5
3
@
UNC
L 63-67
−11.5
7
vs
GT
W 79-76
+9.5
11
vs
WAKE
W 71-62
−10.5
12
vs
UNC
W 80-79
+18.5
13
vs
DUKE
L 61-73
−0.5
20
vs
IOWA
L 61-67
−2.5
over 14under 21avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Clemson has the better starters
Position by position: Stetson 0, Clemson 3, even 2
StetsonBetterClemson
G D. Macgregor4.8 pts · 2 reb · 3.8 ast
Score 26
→CLEMBig
G C. Certa TR12.8 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 83
F C. Kuhl13.2 pts · 6 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 87
=Even
F D. Faulkner TR17.3 pts · 8.6 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 99
F F. Sheridan7.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 21
→CLEMBig
F D. Fuchs TR13 pts · 7.8 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 95
F M. Myles TR7.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 66
=Even
F L. Lelevicius TR8 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 72
F A. Doyle5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 9
→CLEMBig
F C. Welling10.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 97
StetsonBetterClemson
STET offense273rd of 366 · -8.3
→CLEMBig
CLEM defense25th of 366 · +4.8
STET defense328th of 366 · -8.5
→CLEMBig
CLEM offense51st of 366 · +3.6
Backcourt-1.4 · 1 player
→CLEMSmall
Backcourt+1.5 · 1 player
Frontcourt-0.9 · 4 players
→CLEMBig
Frontcourt+14.4 · 4 players
Bench-5.1 · 5 players
→CLEMBig
Bench+2.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSTET betterCLEM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
D. Macgregor19 minS. Morgan14 minT. Sucatzky13 min · TRM. McGowan2 minI. Jones2 minB. Gladieux2 min
Forwards
C. Kuhl24 minF. Sheridan23 minM. Myles21 min · TRA. Doyle17 minM. Entenmann12 min · TRJ. Boyomo KeediNew
Guards
C. Certa27 min · TRA. Buckner20 minZ. Foster19 minH. ReynoldsNewA. JamesNew
Forwards
D. Faulkner27 min · TRD. Fuchs24 min · TRL. Lelevicius24 min · TRC. Welling21 minC. Thompson9 minD. Thomas4 min
Centers
W. StevensNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 71.9 #246 | Points per game | 73.8 #209 |
| 1.06 #231 | Points per possession | 1.12 #95 |
| 68.2 #221 | Pace (possessions) | 65.6 #326 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.1 #96 | Effective FG% | 52.5 #126 |
| 36.0 #59 | 3-point % | 34.1 #165 |
| 44.8 #75 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.1 #115 |
| 32.5 #250 | Free throw rate | 36.7 #136 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.2 #284 | Turnover rate | 14.0 #24 |
| 26.6 #308 | Offensive rebound rate | 28.1 #264 |
| 14.7 #105 | Assists per game | 12.7 #233 |
| Defense | ||
| 79.9 #315 | Points allowed | 66.7 #21 |
| 1.17 #339 | Points allowed per possession | 1.02 #41 |
| 55.2 #338 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.8 #59 |
| 34.5 #223 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.4 #88 |
| 15.1 #278 | Turnovers forced | 17.4 #124 |
| 68.2 #250 | Defensive rebound rate | 73.7 #21 |
| 6.2 #213 | Steals per game | 6.3 #209 |
| 2.0 #344 | Blocks per game | 2.8 #260 |
Stetson
10-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Austin Peay60–69
- Wvs E Kentucky92–76
- Wvs FGCU78–63
- L@ Jacksonville85–89
- Wvs North Florida76–71
A week or more of rest.
Clemson
24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iowa61–67
- Lvs Duke61–73
- Wvs North Carolina80–79
- Wvs Wake Forest71–62
- Wvs Georgia Tech79–76
A week or more of rest.