Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · at Stetson · Conference game
Closing line
JAX -2.5✓ STET covered by 7.5
JAX -2.5✓ STET covered by 7.5Closing total138.5Under by 9.5
| JAX | This season | STET |
|---|---|---|
| 7-16 | Record | 6-17 |
| 9-14 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 9-14 | O/U | 10-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JAX 73–70 STET · ✗ JAX (58%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 26 | 36 | 62 |
| STET | 33 | 34 | 67 |
1st half: JAX 26, STET 33 (STET by 7). The model had JAX by 1.6 and a total of 66.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| JAX | STET | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-60 37% | Field goals | 21-46 46% |
| 4-22 18% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 18-32 56% |
| 41 15 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 25 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wood G | 31 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-8 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 29 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 5-12 | 0-3 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 28 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 24 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 22 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Arias G | 25 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Evan Sterck G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Michael Harper Jr., Jaylen Jordon, Roman Loux, Enrico Borio, Simon Wheeler, Lamont Jackson, Anakin Brown, Tito Deng
| STET | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Johnson G | 37 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Ethan Copeland G | 33 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Daniel Macgregor G | 27 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Collin Kuhl F | 20 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Finley Sheridan F | 17 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matar Diop F | 28 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Calvin Sirmans III G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| J.R. Leonard G | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Alex Doyle F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Janusz Ratowski F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Morgan, Miller McGowan, Isaac Jones, Ben Gladieux, Jamie Phillips Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJAX -1.5
1 → JAX
CloseJAX -2.5
1 pt toward JAX
Total
Open142.5
▼ 4
Close138.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
JAX -162 · STET +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JAX -1.5 · closed JAX -2.5 · moved 1 toward JAXmodel JAX -2.5 matches the line
model JAX -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 142.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 4 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | JAX -2.5 | JAX -2.4 | STET +0.1 | W STET covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 142.7 | Over 4.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | JAX 72.5 · STET 70.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | JAX -1.6 | STET -7.0 |
| 1H total | 66.8 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | JAX 34.2 · STET 32.6 | JAX 26 · STET 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| STET | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
JAX 4–5 STETSTET leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · JAX has won the last 2 meetings · JAX 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | STET 72 @ JAX 79 | JAX -13.5 | STET W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | JAX 74 @ STET 65 | STET +8.5 | JAX W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | JAX 87 @ STET 88 | STET -5.5 | JAX W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | STET 86 @ JAX 73 | JAX -0.5 | STET W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | JAX 55 @ STET 71 | STET -7.5 | STET W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
23 games played
Straight up
7-16
30% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @ LIP | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ APSU | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs QUC | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs WGA | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @ CARK | L 60-62 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNA | W 90-68 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vs BELL | L 70-77 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 24 | vs EKU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsLIP | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs FGCU | L 49-68 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | @QUC | L 84-93 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @WGA | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−6.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
+7.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−21.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
+30.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
+5.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+23.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
−11.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 81-76
+3.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 70-65
+8.5
31
vsFGCU
FGCUL 49-68
−20.5
5
@QUC
QUCL 84-93
−0.5
7
@WGA
WGAL 73-87
−15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−14.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
−1.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−26.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
−23.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
−14.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+24.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
+8.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 81-76
+14.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 70-65
−7.5
31
vsFGCU
FGCUL 49-68
−19.5
5
@QUC
QUCL 84-93
+30.5
7
@WGA
WGAL 73-87
+21.5
over 9under 14avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stetson
23 games played
Straight up
6-17
26% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ URI | L 62-93 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 10 | @MIA | L 61-102 | +34.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | @ WCU | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs HOW | W 64-60 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vsVMI | W 99-80 | +2.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 25 | vs WRST | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs SUU | L 68-70 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 30 | @ RMU | L 62-80 | +11.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ GCU | L 45-67 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | @ SC | L 51-82 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 22 | @ OU | L 54-107 | +31.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @UNA | W 70-67 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @CARK | L 73-93 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | vsLIP | W 91-83 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | vsAPSU | L 69-81 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 15 | vsWGA | W 95-86 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vsQUC | L 81-87 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 22 | @LIP | L 74-79 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | @APSU | L 65-73 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 29 | @ UNF | W 84-77 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNA | L 66-68 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 5 | @BELL | L 71-92 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @EKU | L 88-100 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@URI
URIL 62-93
−12.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 61-102
−6.5
16
@WCU
WCUL 65-76
+1.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 64-60
+5.5
22
vsVMI
VMIW 99-80
+21.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 62-79
−7.5
29
vsSUU
SUUL 68-70
−0.5
30
@RMU
RMUL 62-80
−6.5
2
@GCU
GCUL 45-67
+2.5
6
@SC
SCL 51-82
−8.5
22
@OU
OUL 54-107
−21.5
1
@UNA
UNAW 70-67
+12.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 73-93
−8.5
8
vsLIP
LIPW 91-83
+19.5
10
vsAPSU
APSUL 69-81
−2.5
15
vsWGA
WGAW 95-86
+10.5
17
vsQUC
QUCL 81-87
+4.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 74-79
+10.5
23
@APSU
APSUL 65-73
+8.5
29
@UNF
UNFW 84-77
+5.5
31
vsUNA
UNAL 66-68
−3.5
5
@BELL
BELLL 71-92
−16.5
7
@EKU
EKUL 88-100
−2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@URI
URIL 62-93
+2.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 61-102
+1.5
16
@WCU
WCUL 65-76
−14.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 64-60
−25.5
22
vsVMI
VMIW 99-80
+30.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 62-79
−6.5
29
vsSUU
SUUL 68-70
−10.5
30
@RMU
RMUL 62-80
−0.5
2
@GCU
GCUL 45-67
−29.5
6
@SC
SCL 51-82
−9.5
22
@OU
OUL 54-107
+12.5
1
@UNA
UNAW 70-67
−5.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 73-93
+18.5
8
vsLIP
LIPW 91-83
+23.5
10
vsAPSU
APSUL 69-81
−0.5
15
vsWGA
WGAW 95-86
+29.5
17
vsQUC
QUCL 81-87
+5.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 74-79
−4.5
23
@APSU
APSUL 65-73
−10.5
29
@UNF
UNFW 84-77
−4.5
31
vsUNA
UNAL 66-68
−10.5
5
@BELL
BELLL 71-92
+14.5
7
@EKU
EKUL 88-100
+36.5
over 10under 13avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jacksonville
7-16 overall · 4-8 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ West Georgia73–87
- L@ Queens University Royals84–93
- Lvs FGCU49–68
- Wvs Lipscomb70–65
- Wvs E Kentucky81–76
4 days since their last game.
Stetson
6-17 overall · 4-8 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Kentucky88–100
- L@ Bellarmine71–92
- Lvs North Alabama66–68
- W@ North Florida84–77
- L@ Austin Peay65–73
4 days since their last game.