Swisher Gymnasium · at Jacksonville · Conference game
Closing line
LIP -3.5✓ JAX covered by 8.5
LIP -3.5✓ JAX covered by 8.5Closing total142.5Under by 7.5
| LIP | This season | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 6-13 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 11-8 | O/U | 7-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIP 74–71 JAX · ✗ LIP (61%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 27 | 38 | 65 |
| JAX | 40 | 30 | 70 |
1st half: LIP 27, JAX 40 (JAX by 13). The model had LIP by 2.0 and a total of 67.5 (actual 67).
Team stats
| LIP | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 25 5 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 16 | Assists | 9 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 35 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Grant Asman F | 31 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Charlie Williams C | 31 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 10-16 | 2-4 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ross Candelino G | 25 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Ethan Duncan G | 22 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cole Middleton F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Josh Scott, Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wood G | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Evan Sterck G | 33 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 30 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 25 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Arias G | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Charles Caporaso, Roman Loux, Michael Harper Jr., Enrico Borio, Simon Wheeler, Lamont Jackson, Anakin Brown, Tito Deng
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIP -4.5
1 → JAX
CloseLIP -3.5
1 pt toward JAX
Total
Open140.5
▲ 2
Close142.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LIP -192 · JAX +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIP -4.5 · closed LIP -3.5 · moved 1 toward JAXmodel LIP -3
model LIP -3
Opened 140.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIP -3.5 | LIP -3.2 | JAX +0.3 | W JAX covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 144.2 | Over 1.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | LIP 73.7 · JAX 70.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIP -2.0 | JAX -13.0 |
| 1H total | 67.5 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | LIP 34.8 · JAX 32.8 | LIP 27 · JAX 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| JAX | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
LIP 4–2 JAXLIP leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · LIP has won the last 4 meetings · LIP 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | JAX 57 @ LIP 76 | LIP -12.5 | LIP W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | LIP 70 @ JAX 65 | JAX +4.5 | LIP W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | JAX 82 @ LIP 84 | LIP -11.5 | JAX W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | JAX 59 @ LIP 62 | LIP -4.5 | JAX W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | LIP 44 @ JAX 51 | JAX -3.5 | JAX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lipscomb
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VAN | L 61-105 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | @ MER | L 77-92 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNCA | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ BEL | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | vs WCU | W 83-62 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 26 | @ MRSH | W 90-67 | +7.5 | W +30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ SEMO | W 88-77 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNTC | W 83-80 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 7 | vs AAMU | W 92-58 | -11.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | @ DUKE | L 73-97 | +32.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 29 | @ CIN | L 62-89 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 1 | vsJAX | W 76-57 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNF | W 82-74 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 8 | @ STET | L 83-91 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | @ FGCU | W 84-77 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 15 | vs BELL | W 81-71 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | vs APSU | W 82-78 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 22 | vsSTET | W 79-74 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | vsFGCU | W 86-71 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
−11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
+1.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
+5.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
+15.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
+30.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+14.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
−7.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+22.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+8.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
−13.5
1
vsJAX
JAXW 76-57
+6.5
3
vsUNF
UNFW 82-74
−10.5
8
@STET
STETL 83-91
−19.5
10
@FGCU
FGCUW 84-77
+9.5
15
vsBELL
BELLW 81-71
−1.5
17
vsAPSU
APSUW 82-78
+1.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 79-74
−10.5
23
vsFGCU
FGCUW 86-71
+9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
+11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
−25.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
−15.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
−6.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
−0.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+11.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
+10.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+3.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+18.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
+0.5
1
vsJAX
JAXW 76-57
−14.5
3
vsUNF
UNFW 82-74
−16.5
8
@STET
STETL 83-91
+23.5
10
@FGCU
FGCUW 84-77
+3.5
15
vsBELL
BELLW 81-71
−2.5
17
vsAPSU
APSUW 82-78
+4.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 79-74
−4.5
23
vsFGCU
FGCUW 86-71
+3.5
over 11under 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jacksonville
19 games played
Straight up
6-13
32% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-12
37% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @LIP | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @APSU | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs QUC | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs WGA | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @ CARK | L 60-62 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNA | W 90-68 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vsBELL | L 70-77 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 24 | vs EKU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−6.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
+7.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−21.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
+30.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
+5.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+23.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
−11.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 81-76
+3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−14.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
−1.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−26.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
−23.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
−14.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+24.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
+8.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 81-76
+14.5
over 7under 12avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lipscomb
12-7 overall · 7-1 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FGCU86–71
- Wvs Stetson79–74
- Wvs Austin Peay82–78
- Wvs Bellarmine81–71
- W@ FGCU84–77
6 days since their last game.
Jacksonville
6-13 overall · 3-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Kentucky81–76
- Lvs Bellarmine70–77
- W@ North Alabama90–68
- L@ C Arkansas60–62
- Wvs West Georgia75–43
5 days since their last game.