1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. STET @ WVU
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Stetson Hatters at West Virginia Mountaineers

Hope Coliseum · at West Virginia
#303STETStetson
@
#47WVUWest Virginia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
STETThis seasonWVU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WVU 85–59 · win probability WVU 99%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 144.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WVU has more of the edges

STET 2, WVU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WVUBig
STET offense vs WVU defense
Offense 273rd of 366 against a defense 19th, on the model’s ratings
WVUBig
WVU offense vs STET defense
Offense 77th of 366 against a defense 328th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
STET has played the 220th-hardest schedule, WVU the 62nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
WVUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: STET 26.6%, WVU 30.5%. Defensive: STET 68.2%, WVU 71.4%
WVUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: STET 18.2%, WVU 16.8%. Forced: STET 15.1%, WVU 17.8%
WVUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: STET 53.1 and allows 55.2; WVU 51.6 and allows 48.5
STETSmall
Three-pointers
STET hits 36.0% and allows 34.5%; WVU hits 33.0% and allows 34.3%. Threes are 44.8% and 43.0% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: STET plays 68.2 a game (221st fastest), WVU 65.3 (336th). Faster games mean more points
WVUSmall
Home court
WVU at home. This season: WVU 0-0 at home, STET 0-0 away
STETSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: STET 51%, WVU 23%. Transfers in: STET 3, WVU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
WVUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: STET 32.5, WVU 35.1. Allowed: STET 30.4, WVU 29.3
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WVU -26.5—
Total—144.1—
Projected score—STET 58.8 · WVU 85.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWVU -15.6—
1H total67.4—
1H projected scoreSTET 25.9 · WVU 41.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

West Virginia has the better starters

Position by position: Stetson 1, West Virginia 4, even 0
StetsonBetterWest Virginia
G D. Macgregor4.8 pts · 2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 26
WVUBig
G F. Bizjack TR17.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.5 ast Score 88
F C. Kuhl13.2 pts · 6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 87
STETBig
G S. Traore TR9 pts · 3.4 reb · 2 ast Score 46
F F. Sheridan7.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 21
WVUSmall
G M. Somerville TR8 pts · 3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 54
F M. Myles TR7.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 66
WVUSmall
F B. Lorient11.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.9 ast Score 91
F A. Doyle5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 9
WVUBig
F J. Buchanan TR12.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 89
StetsonBetterWest Virginia
STET offense273rd of 366 · -8.3
WVUBig
WVU defense19th of 366 · +5.5
STET defense328th of 366 · -8.5
WVUBig
WVU offense77th of 366 · +0.9
Backcourt-1.4 · 1 player
WVUSmall
Backcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.9 · 4 players
WVUBig
Frontcourt+6.2 · 2 players
Bench-5.1 · 5 players
WVUBig
Bench+1.6 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestSTET betterWVU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Stetson
Guards
D. Macgregor19 minS. Morgan14 minT. Sucatzky13 min · TRM. McGowan2 minI. Jones2 minB. Gladieux2 min
Forwards
C. Kuhl24 minF. Sheridan23 minM. Myles21 min · TRA. Doyle17 minM. Entenmann12 min · TRJ. Boyomo KeediNew
West Virginia
Guards
F. Bizjack34 min · TRS. Traore29 min · TRM. Somerville26 min · TRJ. Sanon21 min · TRA. Jenkins16 minM. FeenaneNew
Forwards
B. Lorient29 minJ. Buchanan28 min · TRM. OlejaszNew
Centers
M. Sylla21 min · TRA. DioumNewA. SeiniNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
STETWVU
Scoring
71.9 #246Points per game70.6 #271
1.06 #231Points per possession1.08 #183
68.2 #221Pace (possessions)65.3 #336
Shooting
53.1 #96Effective FG%51.6 #166
36.0 #593-point %33.0 #227
44.8 #753-point attempt rate43.0 #118
32.5 #250Free throw rate35.1 #173
Possessions
18.2 #284Turnover rate16.8 #188
26.6 #308Offensive rebound rate30.5 #178
14.7 #105Assists per game12.8 #228
Defense
79.9 #315Points allowed65.7 #11
1.17 #339Points allowed per possession1.01 #34
55.2 #338Opponent effective FG%48.5 #50
34.5 #223Opponent 3-point %34.3 #201
15.1 #278Turnovers forced17.8 #108
68.2 #250Defensive rebound rate71.4 #86
6.2 #213Steals per game6.3 #195
2.0 #344Blocks per game3.1 #204
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Stetson

10-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Austin Peay60–69
  • Wvs E Kentucky92–76
  • Wvs FGCU78–63
  • L@ Jacksonville85–89
  • Wvs North Florida76–71

A week or more of rest.

West Virginia

21-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Oklahoma89–82
  • Wvs Creighton87–70
  • Wvs Stanford82–77
  • Lvs BYU48–68
  • Wvs UCF77–62

A week or more of rest.