1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 12
  3. STET @ HOW
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 12

Stetson Hatters at Howard Bison

Burr Gymnasium · at Howard
#303STETStetson
@
#197HOWHoward
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
STETThis seasonHOW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HOW 79–70 · win probability HOW 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 149.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HOW has more of the edges

STET 0, HOW 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HOWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: STET 26.6%, HOW 35.8%. Defensive: STET 68.2%, HOW 68.6%
HOWBig
HOW offense vs STET defense
Offense 196th of 366 against a defense 328th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
STET has played the 220th-hardest schedule, HOW the 348th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HOWSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: STET 18.2%, HOW 19.3%. Forced: STET 15.1%, HOW 20.7%
HOWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: STET 53.1 and allows 55.2; HOW 50.9 and allows 48.7
HOWSmall
Three-pointers
STET hits 36.0% and allows 34.5%; HOW hits 35.8% and allows 31.4%. Threes are 44.8% and 34.7% of their shots
HOWSmall
STET offense vs HOW defense
Offense 273rd of 366 against a defense 206th, on the model’s ratings
HOWSmall
Home court
HOW at home. This season: HOW 0-0 at home, STET 0-0 away
HOWSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: STET 51%, HOW 76%. Transfers in: STET 3, HOW 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: STET plays 68.2 a game (221st fastest), HOW 69.5 (144th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: STET 32.5, HOW 43.5. Allowed: STET 30.4, HOW 38.4
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HOW -8.6—
Total—149.3—
Projected score—STET 70.3 · HOW 78.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHOW -5.0—
1H total69.8—
1H projected scoreSTET 32.4 · HOW 37.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Howard has the better starters

Position by position: Stetson 0, Howard 2, even 3
StetsonBetterHoward
G D. Macgregor4.8 pts · 2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 26
HOWSmall
G C. Gillus10.8 pts · 4.4 reb · 4.7 ast Score 52
F C. Kuhl13.2 pts · 6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 87
Even
G C. Taylor17.2 pts · 6.4 reb · 3 ast Score 89
F F. Sheridan7.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 21
Even
G A. Cotton8.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 15
F M. Myles TR7.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 66
Even
G O. Okojie10.3 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 61
F A. Doyle5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 9
HOWSmall
C G. Kocevar TR3.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
StetsonBetterHoward
STET offense273rd of 366 · -8.3
HOWSmall
HOW defense206th of 366 · -5.2
STET defense328th of 366 · -8.5
HOWBig
HOW offense196th of 366 · -6.1
Backcourt-1.4 · 1 player
Even
Backcourt-1.0 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.9 · 4 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Bench-5.1 · 5 players
HOWSmall
Bench-3.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSTET betterHOW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Stetson
Guards
D. Macgregor19 minS. Morgan14 minT. Sucatzky13 min · TRM. McGowan2 minI. Jones2 minB. Gladieux2 min
Forwards
C. Kuhl24 minF. Sheridan23 minM. Myles21 min · TRA. Doyle17 minM. Entenmann12 min · TRJ. Boyomo KeediNew
Howard
Guards
C. Gillus34 minC. Taylor32 minA. Cotton27 minO. Okojie26 minI. Brown10 minJ. Johnson6 min
Forwards
C. Robins6 minJ. Johnson3 minJ. LawsonNewD. HarrisNew
Centers
G. Kocevar13 min · TRJ. Brown6 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
STETHOW
Scoring
71.9 #246Points per game75.5 #155
1.06 #231Points per possession1.09 #162
68.2 #221Pace (possessions)69.5 #144
Shooting
53.1 #96Effective FG%50.9 #198
36.0 #593-point %35.8 #68
44.8 #753-point attempt rate34.7 #283
32.5 #250Free throw rate43.5 #17
Possessions
18.2 #284Turnover rate19.3 #331
26.6 #308Offensive rebound rate35.8 #28
14.7 #105Assists per game15.2 #78
Defense
79.9 #315Points allowed69.3 #51
1.17 #339Points allowed per possession1.00 #24
55.2 #338Opponent effective FG%48.7 #53
34.5 #223Opponent 3-point %31.4 #41
15.1 #278Turnovers forced20.7 #13
68.2 #250Defensive rebound rate68.6 #223
6.2 #213Steals per game8.3 #29
2.0 #344Blocks per game3.7 #113
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Stetson

10-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Austin Peay60–69
  • Wvs E Kentucky92–76
  • Wvs FGCU78–63
  • L@ Jacksonville85–89
  • Wvs North Florida76–71

A week or more of rest.

Howard

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 13-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan80–101
  • Wvs UMBC86–83
  • Wvs NC Central70–63
  • Wvs SC State78–61
  • W@ Norfolk St84–76

A week or more of rest.