Swisher Gymnasium · at Jacksonville · Conference game
Closing line
JAX -7.5✓ STET covered by 3.5
Closing total138.5Over by 35.5
| This season | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-19 | Record | 8-19 |
| 14-13 | ATS | 11-16 |
| 12-15 | O/U | 10-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STET 67–74 JAX · ✓ JAX (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STET | 34 | 51 | 85 |
| JAX | 42 | 47 | 89 |
1st half: STET 34, JAX 42 (JAX by 8). The model had JAX by 4.1 and a total of 65.9 (actual 76).
Team stats
| STET | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-53 57% | Field goals | 27-61 44% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 5-12 42% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 30-31 97% |
| 24 7 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 22 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| STET | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Johnson G | 39 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Ethan Copeland G | 36 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Collin Kuhl F | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 12-16 | 0-0 |
| Finley Sheridan F | 32 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Calvin Sirmans III G | 30 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Macgregor G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Alex Doyle F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Matar Diop F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Janusz Ratowski F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Morgan, J.R. Leonard, Miller McGowan, Isaac Jones, Jamie Phillips Jr., Ben Gladieux
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 37 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Hayden Wood G | 35 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 6-15 | 1-3 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3-10 | 1-2 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 27 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 14 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Evan Sterck G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Arias G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Enrico Borio F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Roman Loux, Allen Udemadu, Tito Deng, Michael Harper Jr., Simon Wheeler, Lamont Jackson, Anakin Brown
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJAX -6.5
1 → JAX
CloseJAX -7.5
1 pt toward JAX
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
STET +245 · JAX -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JAX -6.5 · closed JAX -7.5 · moved 1 toward JAXmodel JAX -7
model JAX -7
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | JAX -7.5 | JAX -7.1 | STET +0.4 | W STET covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 140.6 | Over 2.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | STET 66.8 · JAX 73.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | JAX -4.1 | JAX -8.0 |
| 1H total | 65.9 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | STET 30.9 · JAX 35 | STET 34 · JAX 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | |
| 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
STET 6–4 JAXSTET leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · STET 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | JAX 62 @ STET 67 | STET +2.5 | STET W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | STET 72 @ JAX 79 | JAX -13.5 | STET W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | JAX 74 @ STET 65 | STET +8.5 | JAX W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | JAX 87 @ STET 88 | STET -5.5 | JAX W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | STET 86 @ JAX 73 | JAX -0.5 | STET W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stetson
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 62-93 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 10 | @ | L 61-102 | +34.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 64-60 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 99-80 | +2.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 68-70 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 30 | @ | L 62-80 | +11.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 45-67 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 51-82 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 54-107 | +31.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ | W 70-67 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 73-93 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 91-83 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 69-81 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 95-86 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 81-87 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 74-79 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | @ | L 65-73 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 84-77 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 66-68 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 71-92 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 88-100 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 67-62 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 76-78 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 19 | vs | L 76-88 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 76-71 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
URI
L 62-93
−12.5
10
@
MIA
L 61-102
−6.5
16
@
WCU
L 65-76
+1.5
19
vs
HOW
W 64-60
+5.5
22
vs
VMI
W 99-80
+21.5
25
vs
WRST
L 62-79
−7.5
29
vs
SUU
L 68-70
−0.5
30
@
RMU
L 62-80
−6.5
2
@
GCU
L 45-67
+2.5
6
@
SC
L 51-82
−8.5
22
@
OU
L 54-107
−21.5
1
@
UNA
W 70-67
+12.5
3
@
CARK
L 73-93
−8.5
8
vs
LIP
W 91-83
+19.5
10
vs
APSU
L 69-81
−2.5
15
vs
WGA
W 95-86
+10.5
17
vs
QUC
L 81-87
+4.5
22
@
LIP
L 74-79
+10.5
23
@
APSU
L 65-73
+8.5
29
@
UNF
W 84-77
+5.5
31
vs
UNA
L 66-68
−3.5
5
@
BELL
L 71-92
−16.5
7
@
EKU
L 88-100
−2.5
11
vs
JAX
W 67-62
+7.5
14
@
FGCU
L 76-78
+9.5
19
vs
CARK
L 76-88
−2.5
21
vs
UNF
W 76-71
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
URI
L 62-93
+2.5
10
@
MIA
L 61-102
+1.5
16
@
WCU
L 65-76
−14.5
19
vs
HOW
W 64-60
−25.5
22
vs
VMI
W 99-80
+30.5
25
vs
WRST
L 62-79
−6.5
29
vs
SUU
L 68-70
−10.5
30
@
RMU
L 62-80
−0.5
2
@
GCU
L 45-67
−29.5
6
@
SC
L 51-82
−9.5
22
@
OU
L 54-107
+12.5
1
@
UNA
W 70-67
−5.5
3
@
CARK
L 73-93
+18.5
8
vs
LIP
W 91-83
+23.5
10
vs
APSU
L 69-81
−0.5
15
vs
WGA
W 95-86
+29.5
17
vs
QUC
L 81-87
+5.5
22
@
LIP
L 74-79
−4.5
23
@
APSU
L 65-73
−10.5
29
@
UNF
W 84-77
−4.5
31
vs
UNA
L 66-68
−10.5
5
@
BELL
L 71-92
+14.5
7
@
EKU
L 88-100
+36.5
11
vs
JAX
W 67-62
−9.5
14
@
FGCU
L 76-78
+5.5
19
vs
CARK
L 76-88
+14.5
21
vs
UNF
W 76-71
−14.5
over 12under 15avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jacksonville
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-17
37% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 60-62 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 90-68 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 70-77 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 49-68 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 84-93 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 11 | @ | L 62-67 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 63-56 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 61-65 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MIA
L 69-86
+1.5
11
@
HPU
L 64-85
−3.5
15
@
VMI
W 69-67
+0.5
18
@
GMU
L 57-79
−5.5
24
vs
BCU
W 69-64
+8.5
25
vs
PAC
L 53-68
−12.5
2
vs
FAMU
W 85-82
−7.5
6
@
FIU
L 65-88
−17.5
14
@
TA&M
L 75-112
−10.5
17
@
FAMU
L 65-72
−10.5
22
@
FSU
L 63-87
−0.5
1
@
LIP
L 57-76
−6.5
3
@
APSU
L 68-71
+7.5
8
vs
QUC
L 51-77
−21.5
10
vs
WGA
W 75-43
+30.5
15
@
CARK
L 60-62
+5.5
17
@
UNA
W 90-68
+23.5
22
vs
BELL
L 70-77
−11.5
24
vs
EKU
W 81-76
+3.5
29
vs
LIP
W 70-65
+8.5
31
vs
FGCU
L 49-68
−20.5
5
@
QUC
L 84-93
−0.5
7
@
WGA
L 73-87
−15.5
11
@
STET
L 62-67
−7.5
14
vs
UNF
W 63-56
−0.5
18
@
FGCU
L 84-86
+4.5
21
vs
APSU
L 61-65
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
MIA
L 69-86
+12.5
11
@
HPU
L 64-85
−7.5
15
@
VMI
W 69-67
−15.5
18
@
GMU
L 57-79
−0.5
24
vs
BCU
W 69-64
−10.5
25
vs
PAC
L 53-68
−14.5
2
vs
FAMU
W 85-82
+28.5
6
@
FIU
L 65-88
+7.5
14
@
TA&M
L 75-112
+39.5
17
@
FAMU
L 65-72
−2.5
22
@
FSU
L 63-87
−9.5
1
@
LIP
L 57-76
−14.5
3
@
APSU
L 68-71
−1.5
8
vs
QUC
L 51-77
−26.5
10
vs
WGA
W 75-43
−23.5
15
@
CARK
L 60-62
−14.5
17
@
UNA
W 90-68
+24.5
22
vs
BELL
L 70-77
+8.5
24
vs
EKU
W 81-76
+14.5
29
vs
LIP
W 70-65
−7.5
31
vs
FGCU
L 49-68
−19.5
5
@
QUC
L 84-93
+30.5
7
@
WGA
L 73-87
+21.5
11
@
STET
L 62-67
−9.5
14
vs
UNF
W 63-56
−34.5
18
@
FGCU
L 84-86
+33.5
21
vs
APSU
L 61-65
−16.5
over 10under 17avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stetson
8-19 overall · 6-10 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Florida76–71
- Lvs C Arkansas76–88
- L@ FGCU76–78
- Wvs Jacksonville67–62
- L@ E Kentucky88–100
5 days since their last game.
Jacksonville
8-19 overall · 5-11 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Austin Peay61–65
- L@ FGCU84–86
- Wvs North Florida63–56
- L@ Stetson62–67
- L@ West Georgia73–87
5 days since their last game.