1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Dec 3
  3. GRAM @ HOW
NCAAB · Thu, Dec 3

Grambling Tigers at Howard Bison

Burr Gymnasium · at Howard
#338GRAMGrambling
@
#197HOWHoward
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
GRAMThis seasonHOW
0-1Record0-0
1-0ATS0-0
1-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HOW 80–68 · win probability HOW 84%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HOW has more of the edges

GRAM 0, HOW 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HOWBig
GRAM offense vs HOW defense
Offense 347th of 366 against a defense 206th, on the model’s ratings
HOWBig
Three-pointers
GRAM hits 32.3% and allows 32.7%; HOW hits 35.8% and allows 31.4%. Threes are 38.1% and 34.7% of their shots
HOWSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: GRAM 30.3%, HOW 35.8%. Defensive: GRAM 67.5%, HOW 68.6%
HOWSmall
HOW offense vs GRAM defense
Offense 196th of 366 against a defense 302nd, on the model’s ratings
HOWSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: GRAM 23%, HOW 76%. Transfers in: GRAM 4, HOW 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
HOWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: GRAM 48.8 and allows 50.0; HOW 50.9 and allows 48.7
HOWSmall
Home court
HOW at home. This season: HOW 0-0 at home, GRAM 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: GRAM 41.1, HOW 43.5. Allowed: GRAM 40.0, HOW 38.4
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: GRAM 21.2%, HOW 19.3%. Forced: GRAM 20.8%, HOW 20.7%
Context
Schedule so far
GRAM has played the 355th-hardest schedule, HOW the 348th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: GRAM plays 69.4 a game (155th fastest), HOW 69.5 (144th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HOW -11.6—
Total—147.4—
Projected score—GRAM 67.9 · HOW 79.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHOW -6.8—
1H total68.9—
1H projected scoreGRAM 31.1 · HOW 37.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Howard has the better starters

Position by position: Grambling 0, Howard 3, even 2
GramblingBetterHoward
G I. Howard13 pts · 1 reb · 4 ast Score 18
HOWSmall
G C. Gillus10.8 pts · 4.4 reb · 4.7 ast Score 52
G D. Pierce TR19 pts · 0 reb · 8 ast Score 36
HOWBig
G C. Taylor17.2 pts · 6.4 reb · 3 ast Score 89
G B. Hardy TR3.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
Even
G A. Cotton8.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 15
F H. Washington TR4.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 2
HOWBig
G O. Okojie10.3 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 61
F M. Fitts2.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 17
Even
C G. Kocevar TR3.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
GramblingBetterHoward
GRAM offense347th of 366 · -12.0
HOWBig
HOW defense206th of 366 · -5.2
GRAM defense302nd of 366 · -7.7
HOWSmall
HOW offense196th of 366 · -6.1
Backcourt-6.4 · 3 players
HOWBig
Backcourt-1.0 · 4 players
Frontcourt-3.5 · 2 players
HOWSmall
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Bench-0.6 · 2 players
GRAMSmall
Bench-3.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestGRAM betterHOW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Grambling
Guards
I. Howard31 minD. Pierce31 min · TRB. Hardy19 min · TRC. Perkins5 minK. LaytonNewT. BeyNew
Forwards
H. Washington17 min · TRM. Fitts10 minI. Miranda8 min · TRI. ErimsNew
Howard
Guards
C. Gillus34 minC. Taylor32 minA. Cotton27 minO. Okojie26 minI. Brown10 minJ. Johnson6 min
Forwards
C. Robins6 minJ. Johnson3 minJ. LawsonNewD. HarrisNew
Centers
G. Kocevar13 min · TRJ. Brown6 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
GRAMHOW
Scoring
69.0 #299Points per game75.5 #155
1.00 #331Points per possession1.09 #162
69.4 #155Pace (possessions)69.5 #144
Shooting
48.8 #295Effective FG%50.9 #198
32.3 #2653-point %35.8 #68
38.1 #2103-point attempt rate34.7 #283
41.1 #45Free throw rate43.5 #17
Possessions
21.2 #357Turnover rate19.3 #331
30.3 #188Offensive rebound rate35.8 #28
11.9 #292Assists per game15.2 #78
Defense
71.3 #83Points allowed69.3 #51
1.03 #51Points allowed per possession1.00 #24
50.0 #97Opponent effective FG%48.7 #53
32.7 #99Opponent 3-point %31.4 #41
20.8 #12Turnovers forced20.7 #13
67.5 #280Defensive rebound rate68.6 #223
7.7 #68Steals per game8.3 #29
2.7 #283Blocks per game3.7 #113
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Grambling

12-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Jackson St65–68
  • Wvs Miss Valley St77–52
  • W@ Alabama St65–63
  • L@ Alabama A&M63–77
  • Lvs Florida A&M59–66

A week or more of rest.

Howard

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 13-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan80–101
  • Wvs UMBC86–83
  • Wvs NC Central70–63
  • Wvs SC State78–61
  • W@ Norfolk St84–76

A week or more of rest.