1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. HAMP vs HOW
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Hampton Pirates vs Howard Bison

CareFirst Arena · Neutral site
#159HAMPHampton
vs
#197HOWHoward
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HAMPThis seasonHOW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HAMP 74–72 · win probability HAMP 55%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HOW has more of the edges

HAMP 0, HOW 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HOWBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: HAMP 45.7 and allows 52.0; HOW 50.9 and allows 48.7
HOWBig
Three-pointers
HAMP hits 28.8% and allows 32.1%; HOW hits 35.8% and allows 31.4%. Threes are 37.0% and 34.7% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
HAMP has played the 217th-hardest schedule, HOW the 348th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HOWSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HAMP 18%, HOW 76%. Transfers in: HAMP 6, HOW 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: HAMP plays 66.5 a game (295th fastest), HOW 69.5 (144th). Faster games mean more points
HOWSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HAMP 39.2, HOW 43.5. Allowed: HAMP 46.5, HOW 38.4
Even
HOW offense vs HAMP defense
Offense 196th of 366 against a defense 153rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
HAMP offense vs HOW defense
Offense 186th of 366 against a defense 206th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HAMP 32.9%, HOW 35.8%. Defensive: HAMP 70.0%, HOW 68.6%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HAMP 17.1%, HOW 19.3%. Forced: HAMP 17.2%, HOW 20.7%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HAMP -1.5—
Total—146.1—
Projected score—HAMP 73.8 · HOW 72.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHAMP -1.0—
1H total68.3—
1H projected scoreHAMP 34.7 · HOW 33.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hampton has the better starters

Position by position: Hampton 2, Howard 1, even 2
HamptonBetterHoward
G J. Mitchell TR14.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 56
Even
G C. Gillus10.8 pts · 4.4 reb · 4.7 ast Score 52
G S. Hubbard TR16.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 70
HOWSmall
G C. Taylor17.2 pts · 6.4 reb · 3 ast Score 89
G A. Davis TR9.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
HAMPBig
G A. Cotton8.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 15
F M. Frazier TR12 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 77
HAMPSmall
G O. Okojie10.3 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 61
F C. Robinson TR8.2 pts · 4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 25
Even
C G. Kocevar TR3.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
HamptonBetterHoward
HAMP offense186th of 366 · -5.7
Even
HOW defense206th of 366 · -5.2
HAMP defense153rd of 366 · -3.4
Even
HOW offense196th of 366 · -6.1
Backcourt+0.1 · 3 players
HAMPSmall
Backcourt-1.0 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Bench-2.1 · 5 players
Even
Bench-3.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHAMP betterHOW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Hampton
Guards
J. Mitchell33 min · TRS. Hubbard31 min · TRA. Davis24 min · TRE. Strothers19 minT. Jackson17 min · TRA. Haskins10 min
Forwards
M. Frazier29 min · TRC. Robinson26 min · TRP. Da CruzNewW. PrestonNewZ. IbekweNewS. TabeNew
Howard
Guards
C. Gillus34 minC. Taylor32 minA. Cotton27 minO. Okojie26 minI. Brown10 minJ. Johnson6 min
Forwards
C. Robins6 minJ. Johnson3 minJ. LawsonNewD. HarrisNew
Centers
G. Kocevar13 min · TRJ. Brown6 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HAMPHOW
Scoring
68.0 #312Points per game75.5 #155
1.02 #301Points per possession1.09 #162
66.5 #295Pace (possessions)69.5 #144
Shooting
45.7 #356Effective FG%50.9 #198
28.8 #3573-point %35.8 #68
37.0 #2293-point attempt rate34.7 #283
39.2 #73Free throw rate43.5 #17
Possessions
17.1 #205Turnover rate19.3 #331
32.9 #90Offensive rebound rate35.8 #28
11.2 #329Assists per game15.2 #78
Defense
72.1 #108Points allowed69.3 #51
1.08 #176Points allowed per possession1.00 #24
52.0 #212Opponent effective FG%48.7 #53
32.1 #65Opponent 3-point %31.4 #41
17.2 #137Turnovers forced20.7 #13
70.0 #165Defensive rebound rate68.6 #223
6.3 #207Steals per game8.3 #29
3.0 #232Blocks per game3.7 #113
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Hampton

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Towson68–74
  • L@ William & Mary85–94
  • Wvs Northeastern76–65
  • Lvs Charleston71–85
  • L@ Stony Brook72–79

A week or more of rest.

Howard

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 13-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan80–101
  • Wvs UMBC86–83
  • Wvs NC Central70–63
  • Wvs SC State78–61
  • W@ Norfolk St84–76

A week or more of rest.