1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. NORF @ HAMP
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Norfolk State Spartans at Hampton Pirates

Convocation Center (VA) · at Hampton
#319NORFNorfolk St
@
#159HAMPHampton
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NORFThis seasonHAMP
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HAMP 79–66 · win probability HAMP 88%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 145.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HAMP has more of the edges

NORF 2, HAMP 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HAMPBig
NORF offense vs HAMP defense
Offense 314th of 366 against a defense 153rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NORF has played the 343rd-hardest schedule, HAMP the 217th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HAMPBig
HAMP offense vs NORF defense
Offense 186th of 366 against a defense 301st, on the model’s ratings
NORFSmall
Three-pointers
NORF hits 34.2% and allows 32.0%; HAMP hits 28.8% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 30.6% and 37.0% of their shots
HAMPSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NORF 32.5%, HAMP 32.9%. Defensive: NORF 67.7%, HAMP 70.0%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: NORF plays 69.1 a game (172nd fastest), HAMP 66.5 (295th). Faster games mean more points
HAMPSmall
Home court
HAMP at home. This season: HAMP 0-0 at home, NORF 0-0 away
NORFSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: NORF 49.3 and allows 51.7; HAMP 45.7 and allows 52.0
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NORF 43.5, HAMP 39.2. Allowed: NORF 45.3, HAMP 46.5
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NORF 8%, HAMP 18%. Transfers in: NORF 4, HAMP 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NORF 18.7%, HAMP 17.1%. Forced: NORF 18.8%, HAMP 17.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HAMP -13.2—
Total—145.3—
Projected score—NORF 66 · HAMP 79.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHAMP -7.7—
1H total68.0—
1H projected scoreNORF 30.1 · HAMP 37.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hampton has the better starters

Position by position: Norfolk St 1, Hampton 3, even 1
Norfolk StBetterHampton
G B. Laster TR6.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast Score 51
Even
G J. Mitchell TR14.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 56
G A. Newton3.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
HAMPBig
G S. Hubbard TR16.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 70
F J. Gupton TR7.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 22
HAMPBig
G A. Davis TR9.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
F B. Gardner TR3.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 3
HAMPBig
F M. Frazier TR12 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 77
F J. Riley TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 56
NORFSmall
F C. Robinson TR8.2 pts · 4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 25
Norfolk StBetterHampton
NORF offense314th of 366 · -10.1
HAMPBig
HAMP defense153rd of 366 · -3.4
NORF defense301st of 366 · -7.7
HAMPSmall
HAMP offense186th of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt-2.2 · 2 players
HAMPSmall
Backcourt+0.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-4.2 · 3 players
HAMPBig
Frontcourt-0.1 · 2 players
Bench-0.0 · 1 player
NORFSmall
Bench-2.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNORF betterHAMP betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Norfolk St
Guards
B. Laster19 min · TRA. Newton16 minA. Torrence1 minC. WalkerNewD. CamaraNewJ. SkyersNew
Forwards
J. Gupton25 min · TRB. Gardner16 min · TRJ. Riley11 min · TRM. MitchellNew
Centers
J. JordanNew
Hampton
Guards
J. Mitchell33 min · TRS. Hubbard31 min · TRA. Davis24 min · TRE. Strothers19 minT. Jackson17 min · TRA. Haskins10 min
Forwards
M. Frazier29 min · TRC. Robinson26 min · TRP. Da CruzNewW. PrestonNewZ. IbekweNewS. TabeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NORFHAMP
Scoring
71.6 #257Points per game68.0 #312
1.04 #274Points per possession1.02 #301
69.1 #172Pace (possessions)66.5 #295
Shooting
49.3 #277Effective FG%45.7 #356
34.2 #1573-point %28.8 #357
30.6 #3473-point attempt rate37.0 #229
43.5 #13Free throw rate39.2 #73
Possessions
18.7 #311Turnover rate17.1 #205
32.5 #108Offensive rebound rate32.9 #90
11.3 #326Assists per game11.2 #329
Defense
74.7 #181Points allowed72.1 #108
1.08 #160Points allowed per possession1.08 #176
51.7 #196Opponent effective FG%52.0 #212
32.0 #61Opponent 3-point %32.1 #65
18.8 #58Turnovers forced17.2 #137
67.7 #270Defensive rebound rate70.0 #165
6.5 #180Steals per game6.3 #207
2.8 #264Blocks per game3.0 #232
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Norfolk St

11-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SC State82–88
  • Lvs Howard76–84
  • L@ Morgan St84–90
  • W@ Coppin St75–69
  • Wvs SC State90–71

A week or more of rest.

Hampton

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Towson68–74
  • L@ William & Mary85–94
  • Wvs Northeastern76–65
  • Lvs Charleston71–85
  • L@ Stony Brook72–79

A week or more of rest.