1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 18
  3. HOW vs DUQ
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 18

Howard Bison vs Duquesne Dukes

Ocean Center · Neutral site
#197HOWHoward
vs
#107DUQDuquesne
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HOWThis seasonDUQ
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUQ 79–71 · win probability DUQ 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HOW has more of the edges

HOW 4, DUQ 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
HOW has played the 348th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HOWBig
Three-pointers
HOW hits 35.8% and allows 31.4%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 34.7% and 44.4% of their shots
DUQSmall
DUQ offense vs HOW defense
Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 206th, on the model’s ratings
DUQSmall
HOW offense vs DUQ defense
Offense 196th of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings
HOWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: HOW 50.9 and allows 48.7; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5
HOWSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HOW 43.5, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: HOW 38.4, DUQ 39.9
HOWSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HOW 76%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: HOW 2, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HOW 35.8%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: HOW 68.6%, DUQ 70.4%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: HOW plays 69.5 a game (144th fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HOW 19.3%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: HOW 20.7%, DUQ 18.4%
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DUQ -7.7—
Total—150.0—
Projected score—HOW 71.1 · DUQ 78.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDUQ -4.4—
1H total70.1—
1H projected scoreHOW 32.8 · DUQ 37.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Howard 2, Duquesne 2, even 1
HowardBetterDuquesne
G C. Gillus10.8 pts · 4.4 reb · 4.7 ast Score 52
DUQBig
G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast Score 93
G C. Taylor17.2 pts · 6.4 reb · 3 ast Score 89
HOWSmall
G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63
G A. Cotton8.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 15
Even
G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6
G O. Okojie10.3 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 61
HOWSmall
G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31
C G. Kocevar TR3.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
DUQSmall
F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast Score 49
HowardBetterDuquesne
HOW offense196th of 366 · -6.1
DUQSmall
DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8
HOW defense206th of 366 · -5.2
DUQSmall
DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6
Backcourt-1.0 · 4 players
DUQSmall
Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Bench-3.1 · 5 players
DUQSmall
Bench-0.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHOW betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Howard
Guards
C. Gillus34 minC. Taylor32 minA. Cotton27 minO. Okojie26 minI. Brown10 minJ. Johnson6 min
Forwards
C. Robins6 minJ. Johnson3 minJ. LawsonNewD. HarrisNew
Centers
G. Kocevar13 min · TRJ. Brown6 min · TR
Duquesne
Guards
T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min
Forwards
Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew
Centers
E. Demir9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HOWDUQ
Scoring
75.5 #155Points per game76.9 #118
1.09 #162Points per possession1.09 #164
69.5 #144Pace (possessions)70.4 #99
Shooting
50.9 #198Effective FG%52.3 #131
35.8 #683-point %33.1 #223
34.7 #2833-point attempt rate44.4 #81
43.5 #17Free throw rate38.3 #94
Possessions
19.3 #331Turnover rate17.6 #243
35.8 #28Offensive rebound rate30.4 #184
15.2 #78Assists per game14.7 #107
Defense
69.3 #51Points allowed75.9 #214
1.00 #24Points allowed per possession1.08 #171
48.7 #53Opponent effective FG%52.5 #241
31.4 #41Opponent 3-point %36.2 #314
20.7 #13Turnovers forced18.4 #83
68.6 #223Defensive rebound rate70.4 #142
8.3 #29Steals per game7.6 #71
3.7 #113Blocks per game3.0 #214
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Howard

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 13-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan80–101
  • Wvs UMBC86–83
  • Wvs NC Central70–63
  • Wvs SC State78–61
  • W@ Norfolk St84–76

A week or more of rest.

Duquesne

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs VCU66–71
  • Wvs Rhode Island67–61
  • Wvs Richmond79–77
  • L@ Rhode Island52–64
  • L@ Saint Louis76–91

A week or more of rest.