Wyoming Cowboys vs Duquesne Dukes: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 22, 2:00 PM ETOcean Center · Neutral site

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Wyoming and Duquesne
WYO	This season	DUQ
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUQ 75–75 · win probability DUQ 51%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 150.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WYO has more of the edges

WYO 2, DUQ 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

WYOSmall

Three-pointers

WYO hits 33.0% and allows 32.8%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 43.0% and 44.4% of their shots

WYOSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: WYO 34.0%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: WYO 72.0%, DUQ 70.4%

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: WYO plays 67.6 a game (252nd fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points

DUQSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: WYO 35.5, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: WYO 47.9, DUQ 39.9

Even

DUQ offense vs WYO defense

Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 130th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Neutral floor

No home court: the model takes it out of the line

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: WYO 45%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: WYO 4, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

WYO offense vs DUQ defense

Offense 124th of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: WYO 51.8 and allows 52.0; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: WYO 16.3%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: WYO 16.8%, DUQ 18.4%

Context

Schedule so far

WYO has played the 105th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DUQ -0.2	—
Total	—	150.3	—
Projected score	—	WYO 75 · DUQ 75.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	PK	—
1H total	70.3	—
1H projected score	WYO 35.1 · DUQ 35.1	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
WYO LWWLW	15-17	47%	1-1	—
DUQ LLLWW	14-17	45%	2-1	—

Venue/role: WYO neutral site; DUQ neutral site. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO UOOUU	16-16	50%	17-15
DUQ OUOUU	16-15	52%	16-15

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
DUQ	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Wyoming

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	vs KENT	No recent meeting
Nov 29	vs EWU	No recent meeting
Dec 2	vs APSU	W79–65WU

Duquesne

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	vs HPU	No recent meeting
Nov 28	vs SCST	W96–71WO
Dec 5	vs KC	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Wyoming

32 games played

Straight up

17-15

53% wins

Against the spread

15-17

47% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-16

50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

17-1553%

W W W L W W L W W W L W L W L L L L W L W L L L W W L W W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

15-1747%

L W W L L W W L W W L L L W L L L L L L W W W L W W L L W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-1650%

O U U U O O U O O O O U U O O U U O U O U U O O O U U U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	vsCSUF	W 92-82	-15.5	L −5.5	154.5	O 174
Nov 11	vsAPSU	W 79-65	-5.5	W +8.5	153.5	U 144
Nov 15	vsPORT	W 93-56	-11.5	W +25.5	160.5	U 149
Nov 19	@SHSU	L 70-78	+1.5	L −6.5	156.5	U 148
Nov 23	vsNORF	W 75-67	-15.5	L −7.5	141.5	O 142
Nov 26	vsDEN	W 101-59	-9.5	W +32.5	153.5	O 160
Nov 30	@TTU	L 72-76	+19.5	W +15.5	152.5	U 148
Dec 6	vsDART	W 93-80	-14.5	L −1.5	156.5	O 173
Dec 9	vsSDAK	W 106-79	-14.5	W +12.5	161.5	O 185
Dec 15	vsSDST	W 87-72	-3.5	W +11.5	149.5	O 159
Dec 20	vsGCU	L 70-82	-2.5	L −14.5	147.5	O 152
Dec 30	@AF	W 68-56	-14.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 124
Jan 3	@UNM	L 58-78	+7.5	L −12.5	151.5	U 136
Jan 6	vsUNLV	W 98-66	-4.5	W +27.5	154.5	O 164
Jan 10	@NEV	L 83-92	+3.5	L −5.5	143.5	O 175
Jan 14	vsSDSU	L 57-74	+1.5	L −15.5	148.5	U 131
Jan 17	@FRES	L 60-63	-3.5	L −6.5	145.5	U 123
Jan 20	vsBOIS	L 65-81	+1.5	L −14.5	145.5	O 146
Jan 24	vsSJSU	W 66-62	-13.5	L −9.5	141.5	U 128
Jan 28	@USU	L 62-94	+13.5	L −18.5	148.5	O 156
Jan 31	vsCSU	W 68-57	-1.5	W +9.5	142.5	U 125
Feb 3	@SDSU	L 63-72	+12.5	W +3.5	141.5	U 135
Feb 7	vsUSU	L 83-85	+9.5	W +7.5	149.5	O 168
Feb 14	@CSU	L 68-79	+3.5	L −7.5	140.5	O 147
Feb 17	vsFRES	W 92-82	-9.5	W +0.5	148.5	O 174
Feb 21	@GCU	W 70-65	+7.5	W +12.5	144.5	U 135
Feb 24	@BOIS	L 62-72	+8.5	L −1.5	146.5	U 134
Feb 28	vsAF	W 66-62	-20.5	L −16.5	145.5	U 128
Mar 3	vsNEV	W 83-73	+1.5	W +11.5	143.5	O 156
Mar 7	@SJSU	W 88-78	-6.5	W +3.5	148.5	O 166
Mar 11	vsUNLV	L 70-73	+2.5	L −0.5	153.5	U 143
Mar 17	@WICH	L 70-74	+5.5	W +1.5	148.5	U 144

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CSUF

W 92-82

−5.5

APSU

W 79-65

+8.5

PORT

W 93-56

+25.5

SHSU

L 70-78

−6.5

NORF

W 75-67

−7.5

DEN

W 101-59

+32.5

TTU

L 72-76

+15.5

DART

W 93-80

−1.5

SDAK

W 106-79

+12.5

SDST

W 87-72

+11.5

GCU

L 70-82

−14.5

W 68-56

−2.5

UNM

L 58-78

−12.5

UNLV

W 98-66

+27.5

NEV

L 83-92

−5.5

SDSU

L 57-74

−15.5

FRES

L 60-63

−6.5

BOIS

L 65-81

−14.5

SJSU

W 66-62

−9.5

USU

L 62-94

−18.5

CSU

W 68-57

+9.5

SDSU

L 63-72

+3.5

USU

L 83-85

+7.5

CSU

L 68-79

−7.5

FRES

W 92-82

+0.5

GCU

W 70-65

+12.5

BOIS

L 62-72

−1.5

W 66-62

−16.5

NEV

W 83-73

+11.5

SJSU

W 88-78

+3.5

UNLV

L 70-73

−0.5

WICH

L 70-74

+1.5

covered 15didn’t cover 17avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CSUF

W 92-82

+19.5

APSU

W 79-65

−9.5

PORT

W 93-56

−11.5

SHSU

L 70-78

−8.5

NORF

W 75-67

+0.5

DEN

W 101-59

+6.5

TTU

L 72-76

−4.5

DART

W 93-80

+16.5

SDAK

W 106-79

+23.5

SDST

W 87-72

+9.5

GCU

L 70-82

+4.5

W 68-56

−22.5

UNM

L 58-78

−15.5

UNLV

W 98-66

+9.5

NEV

L 83-92

+31.5

SDSU

L 57-74

−17.5

FRES

L 60-63

−22.5

BOIS

L 65-81

+0.5

SJSU

W 66-62

−13.5

USU

L 62-94

+7.5

CSU

W 68-57

−17.5

SDSU

L 63-72

−6.5

USU

L 83-85

+18.5

CSU

L 68-79

+6.5

FRES

W 92-82

+25.5

GCU

W 70-65

−9.5

BOIS

L 62-72

−12.5

W 66-62

−17.5

NEV

W 83-73

+12.5

SJSU

W 88-78

+17.5

UNLV

L 70-73

−10.5

WICH

L 70-74

−4.5

over 16under 16avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Duquesne

31 games played

Straight up

16-15

52% wins

Against the spread

14-17

45% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-15

52% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1552%

W W W L W L L W L L W W L L L W L W L W W W W W L L L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1745%

W L L W L L L L L W W W L L L W W W L W W W W L L L L L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1552%

O O O O O O U O U O O O O O U U U U O U U O U U U U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsNIA	W 83-63	-17.5	W +2.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 7	vsSHU	W 92-80	-12.5	L −0.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 11	vsQUC	W 87-81	-12.5	L −6.5	162.5	O 168
Nov 15	@VILL	L 77-87	+10.5	W +0.5	151.5	O 164
Nov 19	vsL-MD	W 92-78	-14.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 170
Nov 22	vsNE	L 86-93	-7.5	L −14.5	147.5	O 179
Dec 2	vsW&M	L 79-83	-5.5	L −9.5	170.5	U 162
Dec 6	vsSTBK	W 84-75	-9.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 159
Dec 10	@BOIS	L 64-86	+14.5	L −7.5	150.5	U 150
Dec 13	@NEV	L 75-78	+5.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 153
Dec 22	vsCAN	W 103-59	-19.5	W +24.5	143.5	O 162
Dec 30	@DAV	W 89-83	+2.5	W +8.5	150.5	O 172
Jan 3	vsVCU	L 80-93	+5.5	L −7.5	165.5	O 173
Jan 7	@JOES	L 90-97	-1.5	L −8.5	149.5	O 187
Jan 13	vsDAY	L 65-71	+2.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 136
Jan 17	@FOR	W 74-63	-1.5	W +9.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 20	vsSLU	L 77-81	+8.5	W +4.5	165.5	U 158
Jan 24	@LUC	W 71-59	-5.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 28	vsSBU	L 79-87	-3.5	L −11.5	150.5	O 166
Feb 1	vsURI	W 76-61	-2.5	W +12.5	146.5	U 137
Feb 4	@GMU	W 71-65	+8.5	W +14.5	143.5	U 136
Feb 7	vsGW	W 88-86	+1.5	W +3.5	158.5	O 174
Feb 14	@SBU	W 78-73	+1.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 151
Feb 18	vsLAS	W 62-61	-11.5	L −10.5	145.5	U 123
Feb 21	@DAY	L 66-78	+6.5	L −5.5	148.5	U 144
Feb 25	vsDAV	L 56-67	-3.5	L −14.5	142.5	U 123
Feb 28	@SLU	L 76-91	+13.5	L −1.5	160.5	O 167
Mar 4	@URI	L 52-64	+2.5	L −9.5	143.5	U 116
Mar 7	vsRICH	W 79-77	-4.5	L −2.5	147.5	O 156
Mar 12	vsURI	W 67-61	-1.5	W +4.5	138.5	U 128
Mar 13	vsVCU	L 66-71	+6.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NIA

W 83-63

+2.5

SHU

W 92-80

−0.5

QUC

W 87-81

−6.5

VILL

L 77-87

+0.5

L-MD

W 92-78

−0.5

L 86-93

−14.5

W&M

L 79-83

−9.5

STBK

W 84-75

−0.5

BOIS

L 64-86

−7.5

NEV

L 75-78

+2.5

CAN

W 103-59

+24.5

DAV

W 89-83

+8.5

VCU

L 80-93

−7.5

JOES

L 90-97

−8.5

DAY

L 65-71

−3.5

FOR

W 74-63

+9.5

SLU

L 77-81

+4.5

LUC

W 71-59

+6.5

SBU

L 79-87

−11.5

URI

W 76-61

+12.5

GMU

W 71-65

+14.5

W 88-86

+3.5

SBU

W 78-73

+6.5

LAS

W 62-61

−10.5

DAY

L 66-78

−5.5

DAV

L 56-67

−14.5

SLU

L 76-91

−1.5

URI

L 52-64

−9.5

RICH

W 79-77

−2.5

URI

W 67-61

+4.5

VCU

L 66-71

+1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NIA

W 83-63

+6.5

SHU

W 92-80

+14.5

QUC

W 87-81

+5.5

VILL

L 77-87

+12.5

L-MD

W 92-78

+19.5

L 86-93

+31.5

W&M

L 79-83

−8.5

STBK

W 84-75

+8.5

BOIS

L 64-86

−0.5

NEV

L 75-78

+1.5

CAN

W 103-59

+18.5

DAV

W 89-83

+21.5

VCU

L 80-93

+7.5

JOES

L 90-97

+37.5

DAY

L 65-71

−16.5

FOR

W 74-63

−8.5

SLU

L 77-81

−7.5

LUC

W 71-59

−22.5

SBU

L 79-87

+15.5

URI

W 76-61

−9.5

GMU

W 71-65

−7.5

W 88-86

+15.5

SBU

W 78-73

−1.5

LAS

W 62-61

−22.5

DAY

L 66-78

−4.5

DAV

L 56-67

−19.5

SLU

L 76-91

+6.5

URI

L 52-64

−27.5

RICH

W 79-77

+8.5

URI

W 67-61

−10.5

VCU

L 66-71

−16.5

over 16under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Wyoming 2, Duquesne 2, even 1

WyomingBetterDuquesne

G C. Jefferson TR12.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 48

DUQBig

G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast Score 93

G K. Bennett10.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76

Even

G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63

G N. Meyer12.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.4 ast Score 83

WYOBig

G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6

F R. Sondors TR10.4 pts · 4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 15

DUQSmall

G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31

F G. Gores7.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 65

WYOSmall

F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast Score 49

WyomingBetterDuquesne

WYO offense124th of 366 · -3.3

Even

DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8

WYO defense130th of 366 · -2.4

Even

DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6

Backcourt+1.8 · 3 players

WYOSmall

Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-2.2 · 2 players

DUQSmall

Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player

Bench-1.4 · 3 players

DUQSmall

Bench-0.1 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestWYO betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Wyoming

Guards

C. Jefferson31 min · TRK. Bennett28 minN. Meyer28 minU. Rojas17 minP. Gerrits10 min · TRM. De MartinNew

Forwards

R. Sondors29 min · TRG. Gores18 minM. Curtis9 min · TRM. MoraNewN. SummersNewC. PohlNew

Centers

L. RufNew

Duquesne

Guards

T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min

Forwards

Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew

Centers

E. Demir9 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

WYO76.2 #137

DUQ76.9 #118

Points per possession

WYO1.13 #92

DUQ1.09 #164

Pace (possessions)

WYO67.6 #252

DUQ70.4 #99

Shooting

Effective FG%

WYO51.8 #154

DUQ52.3 #131

3-point %

WYO33.0 #234

DUQ33.1 #223

3-point attempt rate

WYO43.0 #116

DUQ44.4 #81

Free throw rate

WYO35.5 #166

DUQ38.3 #94

Possessions

Turnover rate

WYO16.3 #155

DUQ17.6 #243

Offensive rebound rate

WYO34.0 #66

DUQ30.4 #184

Assists per game

WYO14.1 #141

DUQ14.7 #107

Defense

Points allowed

WYO72.9 #131

DUQ75.9 #214

Points allowed per possession

WYO1.08 #169

DUQ1.08 #171

Opponent effective FG%

WYO52.0 #211

DUQ52.5 #241

Opponent 3-point %

WYO32.8 #108

DUQ36.2 #314

Turnovers forced

WYO16.8 #164

DUQ18.4 #83

Defensive rebound rate

WYO72.0 #66

DUQ70.4 #142

Steals per game

WYO6.6 #169

DUQ7.6 #71

Blocks per game

WYO2.4 #318

DUQ3.0 #214

WYO		DUQ
Scoring
76.2 #137	Points per game	76.9 #118
1.13 #92	Points per possession	1.09 #164
67.6 #252	Pace (possessions)	70.4 #99
Shooting
51.8 #154	Effective FG%	52.3 #131
33.0 #234	3-point %	33.1 #223
43.0 #116	3-point attempt rate	44.4 #81
35.5 #166	Free throw rate	38.3 #94
Possessions
16.3 #155	Turnover rate	17.6 #243
34.0 #66	Offensive rebound rate	30.4 #184
14.1 #141	Assists per game	14.7 #107
Defense
72.9 #131	Points allowed	75.9 #214
1.08 #169	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #171
52.0 #211	Opponent effective FG%	52.5 #241
32.8 #108	Opponent 3-point %	36.2 #314
16.8 #164	Turnovers forced	18.4 #83
72.0 #66	Defensive rebound rate	70.4 #142
6.6 #169	Steals per game	7.6 #71
2.4 #318	Blocks per game	3.0 #214

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Wyoming

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Wichita St70–74
Lvs UNLV70–73
W@ San José St88–78
Wvs Nevada83–73
Wvs Air Force66–62

A week or more of rest.

Duquesne

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs VCU66–71
Wvs Rhode Island67–61
Wvs Richmond79–77
L@ Rhode Island52–64
L@ Saint Louis76–91

A week or more of rest.

Wyoming Cowboys vs Duquesne Dukes

What could decide it: WYO has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Wyoming

Duquesne

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Wyoming

Duquesne