Kansas City Roos vs Duquesne Dukes: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 5, 12:00 AM ETLeBron James Arena · Neutral site

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Kansas City and Duquesne
KC	This season	DUQ
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUQ 83–66 · win probability DUQ 93%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 149.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges

KC 0, DUQ 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

DUQBig

DUQ offense vs KC defense

Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 335th, on the model’s ratings

DUQBig

KC offense vs DUQ defense

Offense 321st of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings

DUQBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: KC 26.4%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: KC 64.1%, DUQ 70.4%

DUQBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: KC 45.8 and allows 56.3; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5

Context

Schedule so far

KC has played the 234th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less

DUQSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: KC 0%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: KC 5, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

DUQSmall

Three-pointers

KC hits 28.4% and allows 37.5%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 36.8% and 44.4% of their shots

DUQSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: KC 18.2%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: KC 16.4%, DUQ 18.4%

Context

Tempo

About 71 possessions: KC plays 71.8 a game (45th fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: KC 29.2, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: KC 31.4, DUQ 39.9

Context

Neutral floor

No home court: the model takes it out of the line

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DUQ -17.1	—
Total	—	149.3	—
Projected score	—	KC 66.1 · DUQ 83.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DUQ -10.1	—
1H total	69.8	—
1H projected score	KC 29.9 · DUQ 39.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
KC LLLLL	5-23	18%	0-1	—
DUQ LLLWW	14-17	45%	2-1	—

Venue/role: KC neutral site; DUQ neutral site. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
KC OOUOU	16-12	57%	1-27
DUQ OUOUU	16-15	52%	16-15

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KC	0-10 0%	0-10 0%	6-4 60%
DUQ	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Kansas City

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 8	vs DEN	L61–69LU
Dec 9	vs EIU	No recent meeting
Dec 12	@ SEMO	L59–80LO

Duquesne

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 9	vs RMU	No recent meeting
Dec 12	vs CAN	W103–59WO
Dec 15	vs DEL	W80–66WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Kansas City

28 games played

Straight up

1-27

4% wins

Against the spread

5-23

18% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-12

57% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-274%

L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L L L

15 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-2318%

L L W L L L L L W W W L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L L L

15 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1257%

O O U U U U U O U O O O U O O O O U U O O U O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@SIU	L 78-101	+12.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 179
Nov 11	vsIONA	L 91-105	+4.5	L −9.5	156.5	O 196
Nov 15	@TEX	L 55-71	+31.5	W +15.5	159.5	U 126
Nov 19	@TCU	L 45-81	+23.5	L −12.5	150.5	U 126
Nov 24	@LIN	L 67-80	+4.5	L −8.5	152.5	U 147
Nov 29	@WEB	L 61-82	+10.5	L −10.5	155.5	U 143
Dec 3	vsIDST	L 59-68	+5.5	L −3.5	137.5	U 127
Dec 6	@EWU	L 66-90	+9.5	L −14.5	151.5	O 156
Dec 10	vsWEB	L 60-64	+7.5	W +3.5	150.5	U 124
Dec 16	@OU	L 67-89	+30.5	W +8.5	153.5	O 156
Dec 18	@OKST	L 79-91	+27.5	W +15.5	161.5	O 170
Dec 31	@DEN	L 74-87	+9.5	L −3.5	156.5	O 161
Jan 3	@OMA	W 73-66	+8.5	W +15.5	148.5	U 139
Jan 8	vsNDSU	L 73-97	+9.5	L −14.5	144.5	O 170
Jan 10	vsUND	L 79-81	-1.5	L −3.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 15	@SDAK	L 83-99	+7.5	L −8.5	156.5	O 182
Jan 17	@SDST	L 62-90	+13.5	L −14.5	151.5	O 152
Jan 24	vsOMA	L 60-77	+4.5	L −12.5	148.5	U 137
Jan 28	vsDEN	L 61-69	+3.5	L −4.5	161.5	U 130
Feb 1	@STMN	L 64-99	+17.5	L −17.5	151.5	O 163
Feb 4	vsSDAK	L 75-82	+2.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 157
Feb 12	@ORU	L 60-69	+6.5	L −2.5	150.5	U 129
Feb 14	vsSTMN	L 64-104	+12.5	L −27.5	154.5	O 168
Feb 19	@UND	L 70-85	+9.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 155
Feb 21	@NDSU	L 59-95	+19.5	L −16.5	148.5	O 154
Feb 26	vsSDST	L 59-73	+12.5	L −1.5	152.5	U 132
Feb 28	vsORU	L 70-94	+3.5	L −20.5	149.5	O 164
Mar 4	vsORU	L 62-84	+8.5	L −13.5	149.5	U 146

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIU

L 78-101

−10.5

IONA

L 91-105

−9.5

TEX

L 55-71

+15.5

TCU

L 45-81

−12.5

LIN

L 67-80

−8.5

WEB

L 61-82

−10.5

IDST

L 59-68

−3.5

EWU

L 66-90

−14.5

WEB

L 60-64

+3.5

L 67-89

+8.5

OKST

L 79-91

+15.5

DEN

L 74-87

−3.5

OMA

W 73-66

+15.5

NDSU

L 73-97

−14.5

UND

L 79-81

−3.5

SDAK

L 83-99

−8.5

SDST

L 62-90

−14.5

OMA

L 60-77

−12.5

DEN

L 61-69

−4.5

STMN

L 64-99

−17.5

SDAK

L 75-82

−4.5

ORU

L 60-69

−2.5

STMN

L 64-104

−27.5

UND

L 70-85

−5.5

NDSU

L 59-95

−16.5

SDST

L 59-73

−1.5

ORU

L 70-94

−20.5

ORU

L 62-84

−13.5

covered 5didn’t cover 23avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIU

L 78-101

+37.5

IONA

L 91-105

+39.5

TEX

L 55-71

−33.5

TCU

L 45-81

−24.5

LIN

L 67-80

−5.5

WEB

L 61-82

−12.5

IDST

L 59-68

−10.5

EWU

L 66-90

+4.5

WEB

L 60-64

−26.5

L 67-89

+2.5

OKST

L 79-91

+8.5

DEN

L 74-87

+4.5

OMA

W 73-66

−9.5

NDSU

L 73-97

+25.5

UND

L 79-81

+13.5

SDAK

L 83-99

+25.5

SDST

L 62-90

+0.5

OMA

L 60-77

−11.5

DEN

L 61-69

−31.5

STMN

L 64-99

+11.5

SDAK

L 75-82

+0.5

ORU

L 60-69

−21.5

STMN

L 64-104

+13.5

UND

L 70-85

+4.5

NDSU

L 59-95

+5.5

SDST

L 59-73

−20.5

ORU

L 70-94

+14.5

ORU

L 62-84

−3.5

over 16under 12avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin

Duquesne

31 games played

Straight up

16-15

52% wins

Against the spread

14-17

45% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-15

52% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1552%

W W W L W L L W L L W W L L L W L W L W W W W W L L L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1745%

W L L W L L L L L W W W L L L W W W L W W W W L L L L L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1552%

O O O O O O U O U O O O O O U U U U O U U O U U U U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsNIA	W 83-63	-17.5	W +2.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 7	vsSHU	W 92-80	-12.5	L −0.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 11	vsQUC	W 87-81	-12.5	L −6.5	162.5	O 168
Nov 15	@VILL	L 77-87	+10.5	W +0.5	151.5	O 164
Nov 19	vsL-MD	W 92-78	-14.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 170
Nov 22	vsNE	L 86-93	-7.5	L −14.5	147.5	O 179
Dec 2	vsW&M	L 79-83	-5.5	L −9.5	170.5	U 162
Dec 6	vsSTBK	W 84-75	-9.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 159
Dec 10	@BOIS	L 64-86	+14.5	L −7.5	150.5	U 150
Dec 13	@NEV	L 75-78	+5.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 153
Dec 22	vsCAN	W 103-59	-19.5	W +24.5	143.5	O 162
Dec 30	@DAV	W 89-83	+2.5	W +8.5	150.5	O 172
Jan 3	vsVCU	L 80-93	+5.5	L −7.5	165.5	O 173
Jan 7	@JOES	L 90-97	-1.5	L −8.5	149.5	O 187
Jan 13	vsDAY	L 65-71	+2.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 136
Jan 17	@FOR	W 74-63	-1.5	W +9.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 20	vsSLU	L 77-81	+8.5	W +4.5	165.5	U 158
Jan 24	@LUC	W 71-59	-5.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 28	vsSBU	L 79-87	-3.5	L −11.5	150.5	O 166
Feb 1	vsURI	W 76-61	-2.5	W +12.5	146.5	U 137
Feb 4	@GMU	W 71-65	+8.5	W +14.5	143.5	U 136
Feb 7	vsGW	W 88-86	+1.5	W +3.5	158.5	O 174
Feb 14	@SBU	W 78-73	+1.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 151
Feb 18	vsLAS	W 62-61	-11.5	L −10.5	145.5	U 123
Feb 21	@DAY	L 66-78	+6.5	L −5.5	148.5	U 144
Feb 25	vsDAV	L 56-67	-3.5	L −14.5	142.5	U 123
Feb 28	@SLU	L 76-91	+13.5	L −1.5	160.5	O 167
Mar 4	@URI	L 52-64	+2.5	L −9.5	143.5	U 116
Mar 7	vsRICH	W 79-77	-4.5	L −2.5	147.5	O 156
Mar 12	vsURI	W 67-61	-1.5	W +4.5	138.5	U 128
Mar 13	vsVCU	L 66-71	+6.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NIA

W 83-63

+2.5

SHU

W 92-80

−0.5

QUC

W 87-81

−6.5

VILL

L 77-87

+0.5

L-MD

W 92-78

−0.5

L 86-93

−14.5

W&M

L 79-83

−9.5

STBK

W 84-75

−0.5

BOIS

L 64-86

−7.5

NEV

L 75-78

+2.5

CAN

W 103-59

+24.5

DAV

W 89-83

+8.5

VCU

L 80-93

−7.5

JOES

L 90-97

−8.5

DAY

L 65-71

−3.5

FOR

W 74-63

+9.5

SLU

L 77-81

+4.5

LUC

W 71-59

+6.5

SBU

L 79-87

−11.5

URI

W 76-61

+12.5

GMU

W 71-65

+14.5

W 88-86

+3.5

SBU

W 78-73

+6.5

LAS

W 62-61

−10.5

DAY

L 66-78

−5.5

DAV

L 56-67

−14.5

SLU

L 76-91

−1.5

URI

L 52-64

−9.5

RICH

W 79-77

−2.5

URI

W 67-61

+4.5

VCU

L 66-71

+1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NIA

W 83-63

+6.5

SHU

W 92-80

+14.5

QUC

W 87-81

+5.5

VILL

L 77-87

+12.5

L-MD

W 92-78

+19.5

L 86-93

+31.5

W&M

L 79-83

−8.5

STBK

W 84-75

+8.5

BOIS

L 64-86

−0.5

NEV

L 75-78

+1.5

CAN

W 103-59

+18.5

DAV

W 89-83

+21.5

VCU

L 80-93

+7.5

JOES

L 90-97

+37.5

DAY

L 65-71

−16.5

FOR

W 74-63

−8.5

SLU

L 77-81

−7.5

LUC

W 71-59

−22.5

SBU

L 79-87

+15.5

URI

W 76-61

−9.5

GMU

W 71-65

−7.5

W 88-86

+15.5

SBU

W 78-73

−1.5

LAS

W 62-61

−22.5

DAY

L 66-78

−4.5

DAV

L 56-67

−19.5

SLU

L 76-91

+6.5

URI

L 52-64

−27.5

RICH

W 79-77

+8.5

URI

W 67-61

−10.5

VCU

L 66-71

−16.5

over 16under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Duquesne has the better starters

Position by position: Kansas City 1, Duquesne 3, even 1

Kansas CityBetterDuquesne

G C. Daughtery TR10 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 45

DUQBig

G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast Score 93

G J. Smith TR9.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 3 ast Score 43

DUQSmall

G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63

G M. Samar TR4.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.4 ast Score 28

KCSmall

G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6

F S. Hartmann TR8.2 pts · 5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked

No call

G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31

F A. Diop TR5.5 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 29

DUQSmall

F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast Score 49

Kansas CityBetterDuquesne

KC offense321st of 366 · -10.5

DUQBig

DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8

KC defense335th of 366 · -8.8

DUQBig

DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6

Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players

DUQBig

Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-1.8 · 2 players

DUQSmall

Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player

BenchNo numbers yet

No call

Bench-0.1 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestKC betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Kansas City

Guards

C. Daughtery27 min · TRJ. Smith25 min · TRM. Samar16 min · TRE. MoskowitzNewD. JacksonNewC. LoveNew

Forwards

S. Hartmann24 min · TRA. Diop19 min · TRR. ButirinsNewJ. SickingNewA. BakhtadzeNewM. Bruce-McCrommonNew

Duquesne

Guards

T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min

Forwards

Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew

Centers

E. Demir9 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

KC67.0 #334

DUQ76.9 #118

Points per possession

KC0.93 #361

DUQ1.09 #164

Pace (possessions)

KC71.8 #45

DUQ70.4 #99

Shooting

Effective FG%

KC45.8 #352

DUQ52.3 #131

3-point %

KC28.4 #360

DUQ33.1 #223

3-point attempt rate

KC36.8 #235

DUQ44.4 #81

Free throw rate

KC29.2 #330

DUQ38.3 #94

Possessions

Turnover rate

KC18.2 #282

DUQ17.6 #243

Offensive rebound rate

KC26.4 #314

DUQ30.4 #184

Assists per game

KC11.3 #324

DUQ14.7 #107

Defense

Points allowed

KC84.8 #359

DUQ75.9 #214

Points allowed per possession

KC1.18 #348

DUQ1.08 #171

Opponent effective FG%

KC56.3 #348

DUQ52.5 #241

Opponent 3-point %

KC37.5 #350

DUQ36.2 #314

Turnovers forced

KC16.4 #193

DUQ18.4 #83

Defensive rebound rate

KC64.1 #353

DUQ70.4 #142

Steals per game

KC6.4 #192

DUQ7.6 #71

Blocks per game

KC3.1 #195

DUQ3.0 #214

KC		DUQ
Scoring
67.0 #334	Points per game	76.9 #118
0.93 #361	Points per possession	1.09 #164
71.8 #45	Pace (possessions)	70.4 #99
Shooting
45.8 #352	Effective FG%	52.3 #131
28.4 #360	3-point %	33.1 #223
36.8 #235	3-point attempt rate	44.4 #81
29.2 #330	Free throw rate	38.3 #94
Possessions
18.2 #282	Turnover rate	17.6 #243
26.4 #314	Offensive rebound rate	30.4 #184
11.3 #324	Assists per game	14.7 #107
Defense
84.8 #359	Points allowed	75.9 #214
1.18 #348	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #171
56.3 #348	Opponent effective FG%	52.5 #241
37.5 #350	Opponent 3-point %	36.2 #314
16.4 #193	Turnovers forced	18.4 #83
64.1 #353	Defensive rebound rate	70.4 #142
6.4 #192	Steals per game	7.6 #71
3.1 #195	Blocks per game	3.0 #214

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Kansas City

1-27 in 2025-26 overall · 1-16 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Oral Roberts62–84
Lvs Oral Roberts70–94
Lvs S Dakota St59–73
L@ N Dakota St59–95
L@ North Dakota70–85

A week or more of rest.

Duquesne

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs VCU66–71
Wvs Rhode Island67–61
Wvs Richmond79–77
L@ Rhode Island52–64
L@ Saint Louis76–91

A week or more of rest.

Kansas City Roos vs Duquesne Dukes

What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Kansas City

Duquesne

Duquesne has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Kansas City

Duquesne