1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. CAN @ DUQ
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Canisius Golden Griffins at Duquesne Dukes

UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse · at Duquesne
#359CANCanisius
@
#107DUQDuquesne
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CANThis seasonDUQ
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUQ 84–61 · win probability DUQ 98%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 144.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
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No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges

CAN 1, DUQ 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DUQBig
CAN offense vs DUQ defense
Offense 358th of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
CAN has played the 337th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DUQBig
DUQ offense vs CAN defense
Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 321st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: CAN plays 64.6 a game (353rd fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points
DUQBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CAN 19.6%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: CAN 16.0%, DUQ 18.4%
DUQSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CAN 46.3 and allows 52.2; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5
CANSmall
Three-pointers
CAN hits 33.3% and allows 33.0%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 39.5% and 44.4% of their shots
DUQSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CAN 1%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: CAN 6, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
DUQSmall
Home court
DUQ at home. This season: DUQ 0-0 at home, CAN 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: CAN 31.4, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: CAN 35.2, DUQ 39.9
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CAN 29.3%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: CAN 70.2%, DUQ 70.4%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DUQ -22.6—
Total—144.6—
Projected score—CAN 61 · DUQ 83.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDUQ -13.3—
1H total67.7—
1H projected scoreCAN 27.2 · DUQ 40.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Duquesne has the better starters

Position by position: Canisius 0, Duquesne 4, even 1
CanisiusBetterDuquesne
G V. Sigona TR7.5 pts · 1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 22
DUQBig
G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast Score 93
G M. Wilson TR4.9 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 18
DUQBig
G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63
G D. Winters TR1.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6
F P. Ryan TR6.8 pts · 4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 7
DUQSmall
G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31
F C. Efinda TR4.2 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 8
DUQBig
F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast Score 49
CanisiusBetterDuquesne
CAN offense358th of 366 · -14.0
DUQBig
DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8
CAN defense321st of 366 · -8.3
DUQBig
DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6
Backcourt-3.5 · 3 players
DUQBig
Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt-4.4 · 2 players
DUQBig
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCAN betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Canisius
Guards
V. Sigona20 min · TRM. Wilson13 min · TRD. Winters6 min · TRT. Augustine2 minC. FrancisNewW. FowlerNew
Forwards
P. Ryan23 min · TRC. Efinda15 min · TRN. Deer3 min · TRN. FoutsNewW. TaylorNewA. RiakNew
Duquesne
Guards
T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min
Forwards
Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew
Centers
E. Demir9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CANDUQ
Scoring
62.2 #361Points per game76.9 #118
0.96 #349Points per possession1.09 #164
64.6 #353Pace (possessions)70.4 #99
Shooting
46.3 #348Effective FG%52.3 #131
33.3 #2133-point %33.1 #223
39.5 #1823-point attempt rate44.4 #81
31.4 #271Free throw rate38.3 #94
Possessions
19.6 #341Turnover rate17.6 #243
29.3 #226Offensive rebound rate30.4 #184
11.9 #293Assists per game14.7 #107
Defense
71.4 #87Points allowed75.9 #214
1.10 #228Points allowed per possession1.08 #171
52.2 #225Opponent effective FG%52.5 #241
33.0 #124Opponent 3-point %36.2 #314
16.0 #222Turnovers forced18.4 #83
70.2 #151Defensive rebound rate70.4 #142
4.8 #342Steals per game7.6 #71
2.6 #292Blocks per game3.0 #214
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Canisius

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-15 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Quinnipiac63–67
  • Wvs Merrimack67–62
  • L@ Mount St Marys47–68
  • W@ Rider72–66
  • Lvs Manhattan65–69

A week or more of rest.

Duquesne

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs VCU66–71
  • Wvs Rhode Island67–61
  • Wvs Richmond79–77
  • L@ Rhode Island52–64
  • L@ Saint Louis76–91

A week or more of rest.