Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
MSM -7.5✓ MSM covered by 13.5
MSM -7.5✓ MSM covered by 13.5Closing total137.5Under by 22.5
 CAN | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 8-19 | Record | 12-15 |
| 13-14 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 9-18 | O/U | 10-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CAN 63–72 MSM · ✓ MSM (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAN | 24 | 23 | 47 |
| MSM | 20 | 48 | 68 |
1st half: CAN 24, MSM 20 (CAN by 4). The model had MSM by 4.9 and a total of 63.0 (actual 44).
Team stats
| CAN | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-45 36% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 6 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahlil Singleton G | 37 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-9 |
| Mike Evbagharu G | 34 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bryan Ndjonga F | 32 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-2 |
| Javantae Edwards G | 29 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Myles Wilmoth F | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| King Ijeoma F | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Evan van der Plas F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Brendan Oliver F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Andreo Ash F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nicco DiGiulio G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trevor Augustine G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Christian G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Jusianiec, Chris Kumu, Anthony Benard, Marcus Niblack
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlandus Keyes G | 31 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 5-14 | 2-5 |
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 29 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Justin Amadi F | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| John Miller IV G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke McEldon F | 24 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Noah Rogers G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Espinosa F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaxon Hartman, Justin May
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSM -7.5
ModelMSM -8.4
Model edgeMSM +0.9
W MSM covered
Total
Market137.5
Model134.5
Model edgeUnder 3.0
W Under
Projected score
CAN 63 · MSM 71.5
CAN 47 · MSM 68
Win probability
MSM 77%
1st half
Spread
MSM -4.9
CAN -4.0
Total
63.0
44 points
Projected score
CAN 29.1 · MSM 34
CAN 24 · MSM 20
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -8.5
1 → CAN
CloseMSM -7.5
1 pt toward CAN
Total
Open132.5
▲ 5
Close137.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
CAN +270 · MSM -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -8.5 · closed MSM -7.5 · moved 1 toward CANmodel MSM -8.5
model MSM -8.5
Opened 132.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 5 upmodel 134.5
model 134.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAN | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| MSM | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CAN 2–6 MSMMSM leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MSM has won the last 2 meetings · CAN 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | MSM 78 @ CAN 68 | CAN +3.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | MSM 73 @ CAN 66 | CAN +6.5 | MSM W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | CAN 77 vs MSM 61 | MSM -3.5 | CAN W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | MSM 56 @ CAN 61 | CAN -1.5 | CAN W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | CAN 69 @ MSM 74 | MSM -2.5 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Canisius
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-18
33% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DAY | L 48-88 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | @ SBU | L 70-89 | +21.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MERC | W 58-55 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 17 | @ HPU | L 50-93 | +23.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 21 | vs UMES | W 60-57 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 128.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 23 | vs BING | W 75-66 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs BUF | L 53-71 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | @ SPU | L 57-69 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | @ SIE | L 52-74 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ ME | W 70-43 | +6.5 | W +33.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 16 | @ URI | L 45-62 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 107 |
| Dec 22 | @ DUQ | L 59-103 | +19.5 | L −24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 2 | vs FAIR | W 85-81 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHU | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 9 | @ MAN | W 70-64 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ IONA | L 48-74 | +11.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | vs NIA | L 54-59 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 126.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vsMSM | L 68-78 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 22 | @SHU | L 66-69 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | @FAIR | L 55-61 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 30 | vs MRST | L 86-88 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 129.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 1 | vsSIE | L 63-78 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 3 | @NIA | L 56-65 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 129.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 5 | @ QUIN | L 60-75 | +15.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | vsIONA | L 63-69 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 15 | vsMAN | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 20 | @ RID | W 72-66 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−14.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+2.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
+4.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−19.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−0.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+6.5
29
vsBUF
BUFL 53-71
−8.5
5
@SPU
SPUL 57-69
−2.5
7
@SIE
SIEL 52-74
−4.5
13
@ME
MEW 70-43
+33.5
16
@URI
URIL 45-62
+4.5
22
@DUQ
DUQL 59-103
−24.5
2
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-81
+10.5
4
vsSHU
SHUW 82-78
+9.5
9
@MAN
MANW 70-64
+13.5
11
@IONA
IONAL 48-74
−14.5
14
vsNIA
NIAL 54-59
−7.5
17
vsMSM
MSML 68-78
−6.5
22
@SHU
SHUL 66-69
+7.5
24
@FAIR
FAIRL 55-61
+4.5
30
vsMRST
MRSTL 86-88
+7.5
1
vsSIE
SIEL 63-78
−6.5
3
@NIA
NIAL 56-65
−6.5
5
@QUIN
QUINL 60-75
+0.5
13
vsIONA
IONAL 63-69
−1.5
15
vsMAN
MANL 65-69
−2.5
20
@RID
RIDW 72-66
+7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−6.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+22.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
−22.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−9.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−11.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+11.5
29
vsBUF
BUFL 53-71
−15.5
5
@SPU
SPUL 57-69
−3.5
7
@SIE
SIEL 52-74
−5.5
13
@ME
MEW 70-43
−14.5
16
@URI
URIL 45-62
−31.5
22
@DUQ
DUQL 59-103
+18.5
2
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-81
+25.5
4
vsSHU
SHUW 82-78
+18.5
9
@MAN
MANW 70-64
−11.5
11
@IONA
IONAL 48-74
−19.5
14
vsNIA
NIAL 54-59
−13.5
17
vsMSM
MSML 68-78
+10.5
22
@SHU
SHUL 66-69
−10.5
24
@FAIR
FAIRL 55-61
−25.5
30
vsMRST
MRSTL 86-88
+44.5
1
vsSIE
SIEL 63-78
+5.5
3
@NIA
NIAL 56-65
−8.5
5
@QUIN
QUINL 60-75
−6.5
13
vsIONA
IONAL 63-69
−5.5
15
vsMAN
MANL 65-69
−8.5
20
@RID
RIDW 72-66
+6.5
over 9under 18avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
27 games played
Straight up
12-15
44% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-17
37% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vsSHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsIONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @ MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 9 | vsSPU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 11 | vsSIE | L 50-67 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @CAN | W 78-68 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 19 | @NIA | W 68-58 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | vsQUIN | L 62-77 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | vsRID | W 71-61 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 30 | @SPU | L 58-66 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 1 | vsMAN | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | vsMRMK | L 70-87 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 134.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @IONA | W 83-76 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 13 | @RID | W 65-55 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 20 | vsNIA | W 76-63 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
+6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−14.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+6.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
+6.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−10.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
+0.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−2.5
1
vsMAN
MANW 72-65
+0.5
5
vsMRMK
MRMKL 70-87
−14.5
7
@IONA
IONAW 83-76
+10.5
13
@RID
RIDW 65-55
+4.5
20
vsNIA
NIAW 76-63
+5.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
−6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−22.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+10.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
−5.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−9.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
−7.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−14.5
1
vsMAN
MANW 72-65
−10.5
5
vsMRMK
MRMKL 70-87
+22.5
7
@IONA
IONAW 83-76
+17.5
13
@RID
RIDW 65-55
−17.5
20
vsNIA
NIAW 76-63
+8.5
over 10under 17avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Canisius
8-19 overall · 4-13 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rider72–66
- Lvs Manhattan65–69
- Lvs Iona63–69
- L@ Quinnipiac60–75
- L@ Niagara56–65
2 days since their last game.
Mount St Marys
12-15 overall · 9-8 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Niagara76–63
- W@ Rider65–55
- W@ Iona83–76
- Lvs Merrimack70–87
- Wvs Manhattan72–65
2 days since their last game.