Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
MSM -7.5✓ MSM covered by 5.5
MSM -7.5✓ MSM covered by 5.5Closing total130.5Over by 8.5
 NIA | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 6-19 | Record | 11-15 |
| 11-14 | ATS | 15-11 |
| 11-14 | O/U | 9-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIA 63–70 MSM · ✓ MSM (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 31 | 32 | 63 |
| MSM | 31 | 45 | 76 |
1st half: NIA 31, MSM 31 (tied). The model had MSM by 4.0 and a total of 62.0 (actual 62).
Team stats
| NIA | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-51 35% | Field goals | 31-58 53% |
| 5-25 20% | 3-pointers | 4-13 31% |
| 22-28 79% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| NIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Prudhomme G | 25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Justin Hawkins F | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Vice Zanki F | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Will Shortt F | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Landon Williams G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Sabino G | 33 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Brian Griffith G | 26 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Trenton Walters G | 24 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Drew Larson F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu C | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Gael Dalmau G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: AJ McBride, Justin Page
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlandus Keyes G | 33 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 6-13 | 2-6 |
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 31 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 29 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Luke McEldon F | 28 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 11-12 | 0-0 |
| Justin Amadi F | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Espinosa F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| John Miller IV G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Rogers, Justin May, Trey Deveaux, Jaxon Hartman, Anastasios Rozakeas
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -6.5
1 → MSM
CloseMSM -7.5
1 pt toward MSM
Total
Open129.5
▲ 1
Close130.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NIA +295 · MSM -375
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -6.5 · closed MSM -7.5 · moved 1 toward MSMmodel MSM -7
model MSM -7
Opened 129.5 · closed 130.5 · moved 1 upmodel 132
model 132
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSM -7.5 | MSM -6.9 | NIA +0.6 | L MSM covered |
| Total | 130.5 | 132.2 | Over 1.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NIA 62.6 · MSM 69.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSM -4.0 | PK |
| 1H total | 62.0 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | NIA 29 · MSM 33 | NIA 31 · MSM 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| MSM | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NIA 2–5 MSMMSM leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MSM has won the last 4 meetings · NIA 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | MSM 68 @ NIA 58 | NIA +3.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | MSM 84 @ NIA 83 | NIA -1.5 | MSM W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | NIA 62 @ MSM 68 | MSM -4.5 | MSM W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | MSM 91 @ NIA 72 | NIA -4.5 | MSM W |
| Jan 21, 2023-24 | NIA 82 @ MSM 71 | MSM -5.5 | NIA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Niagara
25 games played
Straight up
6-19
24% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DUQ | L 63-83 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ BING | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 10 | vs DSU | W 68-57 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 17 | @ LEM | L 68-74 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 21 | @ DUKE | L 42-100 | +39.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs HOW | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | vs DETM | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 5 | @ SIE | L 54-83 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | @ SPU | L 43-71 | +5.5 | L −22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ MORG | L 73-81 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 15 | @ VCU | L 58-84 | +30.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 2 | vs SHU | W 64-61 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | vs FAIR | L 75-83 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | @ IONA | L 53-71 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 11 | @ MAN | L 70-79 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 14 | @ CAN | W 59-54 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 126.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 19 | vsMSM | L 58-68 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | @FAIR | L 61-62 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | @SHU | L 70-71 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 30 | vsSIE | L 79-82 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vs MRST | L 46-58 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 3 | vsCAN | W 65-56 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 129.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 7 | @ QUIN | L 55-56 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 13 | vsMAN | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 15 | vsIONA | W 70-68 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 132.5 | O 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
−2.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
+10.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
+5.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
−3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−18.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
−5.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−2.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
−16.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−22.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
−6.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
+4.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
+4.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
−4.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−7.5
11
@MAN
MANL 70-79
−3.5
14
@CAN
CANW 59-54
+7.5
19
vsMSM
MSML 58-68
−6.5
22
@FAIR
FAIRL 61-62
+9.5
24
@SHU
SHUL 70-71
+8.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 79-82
+6.5
1
vsMRST
MRSTL 46-58
−2.5
3
vsCAN
CANW 65-56
+6.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 55-56
+11.5
13
vsMAN
MANL 69-76
−4.5
15
vsIONA
IONAW 70-68
+5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
+6.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
−12.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
−12.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
+3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−4.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
+11.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−6.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
+7.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−17.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
+13.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
−1.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
−14.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
+19.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−16.5
11
@MAN
MANL 70-79
+8.5
14
@CAN
CANW 59-54
−13.5
19
vsMSM
MSML 58-68
−5.5
22
@FAIR
FAIRL 61-62
−16.5
24
@SHU
SHUL 70-71
+1.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 79-82
+32.5
1
vsMRST
MRSTL 46-58
−24.5
3
vsCAN
CANW 65-56
−8.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 55-56
−26.5
13
vsMAN
MANL 69-76
+8.5
15
vsIONA
IONAW 70-68
+5.5
over 11under 14avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-17
35% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vsHOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vsSHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsIONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @ MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 9 | vsSPU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 11 | vsSIE | L 50-67 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @CAN | W 78-68 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 19 | @NIA | W 68-58 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | vsQUIN | L 62-77 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | vs RID | W 71-61 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 30 | @SPU | L 58-66 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 1 | vsMAN | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | vsMRMK | L 70-87 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 134.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @IONA | W 83-76 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 13 | @RID | W 65-55 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
+6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−14.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+6.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
+6.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−10.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
+0.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−2.5
1
vsMAN
MANW 72-65
+0.5
5
vsMRMK
MRMKL 70-87
−14.5
7
@IONA
IONAW 83-76
+10.5
13
@RID
RIDW 65-55
+4.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
−6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−22.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+10.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
−5.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−9.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
−7.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−14.5
1
vsMAN
MANW 72-65
−10.5
5
vsMRMK
MRMKL 70-87
+22.5
7
@IONA
IONAW 83-76
+17.5
13
@RID
RIDW 65-55
−17.5
over 9under 17avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Niagara
6-19 overall · 4-12 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iona70–68
- Lvs Manhattan69–76
- L@ Quinnipiac55–56
- Wvs Canisius65–56
- Lvs Marist46–58
5 days since their last game.
Mount St Marys
11-15 overall · 8-8 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rider65–55
- W@ Iona83–76
- Lvs Merrimack70–87
- Wvs Manhattan72–65
- L@ Saint Peter's58–66
A week or more of rest.