Koessler Athletic Center · at Canisius · Conference game
Closing line
CAN -2.5✓ NIA covered by 7.5
CAN -2.5✓ NIA covered by 7.5Closing total126.5Under by 13.5
 NIA | This season | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| 3-12 | Record | 7-9 |
| 4-11 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 5-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIA 63–65 CAN · ✗ CAN (57%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 34 | 25 | 59 |
| CAN | 28 | 26 | 54 |
1st half: NIA 34, CAN 28 (NIA by 6). The model had CAN by 1.0 and a total of 60.3 (actual 62).
Team stats
| NIA | CAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-48 42% | Field goals | 18-55 33% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 6-28 21% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 39 16 off |
| 10 | Assists | 5 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| NIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page G | 34 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Justin Hawkins F | 24 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-1 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu C | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Reggie Prudhomme G | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Vice Zanki F | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trenton Walters G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Landon Williams G | 27 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Will Shortt F | 13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Sabino G | 13 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brian Griffith, Gael Dalmau, Drew Larson, AJ McBride
| CAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahlil Singleton G | 40 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Mike Evbagharu G | 33 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Myles Wilmoth F | 33 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bryan Ndjonga F | 32 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Marcus Niblack G | 29 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-13 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Benard G | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Brendan Oliver F | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Evan van der Plas F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| King Ijeoma F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Max Jusianiec G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chris Kumu G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Andreo Ash, Zach Christian, Javantae Edwards, Trevor Augustine, Nicco DiGiulio
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCAN -2.5
ModelCAN -1.9
Model edgeNIA +0.6
W NIA covered
Total
Market126.5
Model128.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
NIA 63.3 · CAN 65.2
NIA 59 · CAN 54
Win probability
CAN 57%
1st half
Spread
CAN -1.0
NIA -6.0
Total
60.3
62 points
Projected score
NIA 29.6 · CAN 30.6
NIA 34 · CAN 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAN -3.5
1 → NIA
CloseCAN -2.5
1 pt toward NIA
Total
Open128.5
▼ 2
Close126.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NIA +120 · CAN -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAN -3.5 · closed CAN -2.5 · moved 1 toward NIAmodel CAN -2
model CAN -2
Opened 128.5 · closed 126.5 · moved 2 downmodel 128.5
model 128.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| CAN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NIA 6–2 CANNIA leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · NIA has won the last 2 meetings · NIA 3-4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | CAN 60 @ NIA 71 | NIA -8.5 | NIA W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | NIA 64 @ CAN 63 | CAN +3.5 | CAN W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | NIA 59 @ CAN 69 | CAN +1.5 | CAN W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | CAN 64 @ NIA 69 | NIA -5 | P |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | NIA 68 @ CAN 81 | CAN -2.5 | CAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Niagara
15 games played
Straight up
3-12
20% wins
Against the spread
4-11
27% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DUQ | L 63-83 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ BING | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 10 | vs DSU | W 68-57 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 17 | @ LEM | L 68-74 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 21 | @ DUKE | L 42-100 | +39.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs HOW | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | vs DETM | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 5 | @ SIE | L 54-83 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | @ SPU | L 43-71 | +5.5 | L −22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ MORG | L 73-81 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 15 | @ VCU | L 58-84 | +30.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 2 | vs SHU | W 64-61 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | vs FAIR | L 75-83 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | @ IONA | L 53-71 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 11 | @ MAN | L 70-79 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
−2.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
+10.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
+5.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
−3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−18.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
−5.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−2.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
−16.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−22.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
−6.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
+4.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
+4.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
−4.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−7.5
11
@MAN
MANL 70-79
−3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 11avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
+6.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
−12.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
−12.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
+3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−4.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
+11.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−6.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
+7.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−17.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
+13.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
−1.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
−14.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
+19.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−16.5
11
@MAN
MANL 70-79
+8.5
over 7under 8avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Canisius
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DAY | L 48-88 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | @ SBU | L 70-89 | +21.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MERC | W 58-55 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 17 | @ HPU | L 50-93 | +23.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 21 | vs UMES | W 60-57 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 128.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 23 | vsBING | W 75-66 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs BUF | L 53-71 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | @SPU | L 57-69 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | @SIE | L 52-74 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ ME | W 70-43 | +6.5 | W +33.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 16 | @ URI | L 45-62 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 107 |
| Dec 22 | @DUQ | L 59-103 | +19.5 | L −24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 2 | vsFAIR | W 85-81 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vsSHU | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 9 | @MAN | W 70-64 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @IONA | L 48-74 | +11.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−14.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+2.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
+4.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−19.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−0.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+6.5
29
vsBUF
BUFL 53-71
−8.5
5
@SPU
SPUL 57-69
−2.5
7
@SIE
SIEL 52-74
−4.5
13
@ME
MEW 70-43
+33.5
16
@URI
URIL 45-62
+4.5
22
@DUQ
DUQL 59-103
−24.5
2
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-81
+10.5
4
vsSHU
SHUW 82-78
+9.5
9
@MAN
MANW 70-64
+13.5
11
@IONA
IONAL 48-74
−14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−6.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+22.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
−22.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−9.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−11.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+11.5
29
vsBUF
BUFL 53-71
−15.5
5
@SPU
SPUL 57-69
−3.5
7
@SIE
SIEL 52-74
−5.5
13
@ME
MEW 70-43
−14.5
16
@URI
URIL 45-62
−31.5
22
@DUQ
DUQL 59-103
+18.5
2
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-81
+25.5
4
vsSHU
SHUW 82-78
+18.5
9
@MAN
MANW 70-64
−11.5
11
@IONA
IONAL 48-74
−19.5
over 5under 11avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Niagara
3-12 overall · 1-5 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Manhattan70–79
- L@ Iona53–71
- Lvs Fairfield75–83
- Wvs Sacred Heart64–61
- L@ VCU58–84
3 days since their last game.
Canisius
7-9 overall · 3-3 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iona48–74
- W@ Manhattan70–64
- Wvs Sacred Heart82–78
- Wvs Fairfield85–81
- L@ Duquesne59–103
3 days since their last game.