Gallagher Center · at Niagara · Conference game
Closing line
MAN -2.5✓ MAN covered by 4.5
MAN -2.5✓ MAN covered by 4.5Closing total136.5Over by 8.5
| MAN | This season | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| 9-16 | Record | 5-18 |
| 9-16 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 11-14 | O/U | 9-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MAN 72–72 NIA · ✗ NIA (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 35 | 41 | 76 |
| NIA | 27 | 42 | 69 |
1st half: MAN 35, NIA 27 (MAN by 8). The model had NIA by 0.0 and a total of 67.2 (actual 62).
Team stats
| MAN | NIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 25-49 51% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 26 4 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston G | 37 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Fraser Roxburgh F | 37 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Devin Dinkins G | 35 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Terrance Jones G | 34 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 9-20 | 1-4 |
| Marko Ljubicic F | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Isaac Jr. F | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Quron Elliott G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Omari Moore, Brett Rumpel, Aryan Arora, Asier Miguel, Nick Lukmann, Will Sydnor, Jameson Borodawka, Michael Lawlor, Jaeden Robley, Erik Oliver-Bush, Jackson Delaney, Louis Fairtlough
| NIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shortt F | 32 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Justin Hawkins F | 25 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Vice Zanki F | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Reggie Prudhomme G | 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Landon Williams G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trenton Walters G | 26 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Brian Griffith G | 24 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Drew Larson F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Sabino G | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Gael Dalmau G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Kabeya Tshibangu, Justin Page, AJ McBride
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNIA -2.5
5 → MAN
CloseMAN -2.5
5 pts toward MAN
Total
Open137.5
▼ 1
Close136.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MAN -142 · NIA +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NIA -2.5 · closed MAN -2.5 · moved 5 toward MANmodel NIA -0.5
model NIA -0.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MAN -2.5 | NIA -0.3 | NIA +2.8 | L MAN covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 143.4 | Over 6.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MAN 71.6 · NIA 71.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NIA -0.0 | MAN -8.0 |
| 1H total | 67.2 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | MAN 33.6 · NIA 33.6 | MAN 35 · NIA 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| NIA | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MAN 5–4 NIAMAN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MAN has won the last 4 meetings · MAN 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025-26 | NIA 70 @ MAN 79 | MAN -5.5 | MAN W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | MAN 85 @ NIA 70 | NIA +1.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | NIA 65 @ MAN 72 | MAN -1.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 28, 2023-24 | MAN 84 @ NIA 78 | NIA -9.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | NIA 81 @ MAN 67 | MAN +2.5 | NIA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Manhattan
25 games played
Straight up
9-16
36% wins
Against the spread
9-16
36% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ USC | L 83-114 | +28.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTU | W 79-75 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ HAW | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs MVSU | W 80-73 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-109 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs WAG | L 101-103 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARMY | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs FAIR | W 70-66 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRST | L 68-80 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ FOR | L 53-82 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs FUR | L 68-75 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs PRES | W 87-81 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 29 | @ RID | W 74-71 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs QUIN | W 80-79 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 4 | @ MRMK | L 66-73 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs CAN | L 64-70 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | vsNIA | W 79-70 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 14 | @FAIR | L 62-98 | +6.5 | L −29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | vs SIE | L 59-74 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | @QUIN | L 92-98 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 24 | @ IONA | L 57-66 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 30 | vsRID | W 95-90 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 1 | @ MSM | L 65-72 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | vs SPU | L 75-80 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 7 | vs SHU | W 80-68 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
−2.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
+6.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−13.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
−17.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
−4.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
−4.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+5.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
−4.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−20.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+8.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
+0.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
+8.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−0.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−13.5
11
vsNIA
NIAW 79-70
+3.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-98
−29.5
17
vsSIE
SIEL 59-74
−8.5
19
@QUIN
QUINL 92-98
+7.5
24
@IONA
IONAL 57-66
−1.5
30
vsRID
RIDW 95-90
−0.5
1
@MSM
MSML 65-72
−0.5
5
vsSPU
SPUL 75-80
−0.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 80-68
+13.5
covered 9didn’t cover 16avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
+41.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
−4.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−1.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
+14.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
+59.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
+6.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−19.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
+7.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−12.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
−11.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+29.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
−2.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
−0.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−9.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−11.5
11
vsNIA
NIAW 79-70
+8.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-98
+1.5
17
vsSIE
SIEL 59-74
−11.5
19
@QUIN
QUINL 92-98
+36.5
24
@IONA
IONAL 57-66
−30.5
30
vsRID
RIDW 95-90
+39.5
1
@MSM
MSML 65-72
−10.5
5
vsSPU
SPUL 75-80
+10.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 80-68
−13.5
over 11under 14avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Niagara
23 games played
Straight up
5-18
22% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DUQ | L 63-83 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ BING | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 10 | vs DSU | W 68-57 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 17 | @ LEM | L 68-74 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 21 | @ DUKE | L 42-100 | +39.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs HOW | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | vs DETM | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 5 | @SIE | L 54-83 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | @SPU | L 43-71 | +5.5 | L −22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ MORG | L 73-81 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 15 | @ VCU | L 58-84 | +30.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 2 | vsSHU | W 64-61 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | vsFAIR | L 75-83 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | @IONA | L 53-71 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 11 | @MAN | L 70-79 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 14 | @CAN | W 59-54 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 126.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 19 | vsMSM | L 58-68 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | @FAIR | L 61-62 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | @SHU | L 70-71 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 30 | vsSIE | L 79-82 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vsMRST | L 46-58 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 3 | vsCAN | W 65-56 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 129.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 7 | @QUIN | L 55-56 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 111 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
−2.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
+10.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
+5.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
−3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−18.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
−5.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−2.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
−16.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−22.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
−6.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
+4.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
+4.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
−4.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−7.5
11
@MAN
MANL 70-79
−3.5
14
@CAN
CANW 59-54
+7.5
19
vsMSM
MSML 58-68
−6.5
22
@FAIR
FAIRL 61-62
+9.5
24
@SHU
SHUL 70-71
+8.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 79-82
+6.5
1
vsMRST
MRSTL 46-58
−2.5
3
vsCAN
CANW 65-56
+6.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 55-56
+11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
+6.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
−12.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
−12.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
+3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−4.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
+11.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−6.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
+7.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−17.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
+13.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
−1.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
−14.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
+19.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−16.5
11
@MAN
MANL 70-79
+8.5
14
@CAN
CANW 59-54
−13.5
19
vsMSM
MSML 58-68
−5.5
22
@FAIR
FAIRL 61-62
−16.5
24
@SHU
SHUL 70-71
+1.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 79-82
+32.5
1
vsMRST
MRSTL 46-58
−24.5
3
vsCAN
CANW 65-56
−8.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 55-56
−26.5
over 9under 14avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Manhattan
9-16 overall · 6-9 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacred Heart80–68
- Lvs Saint Peter's75–80
- L@ Mount St Marys65–72
- Wvs Rider95–90
- L@ Iona57–66
6 days since their last game.
Niagara
5-18 overall · 3-11 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Quinnipiac55–56
- Wvs Canisius65–56
- Lvs Marist46–58
- Lvs Siena79–82
- L@ Sacred Heart70–71
6 days since their last game.