Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Kansas City Roos: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Feb 28, 8:00 PM ETSwinney Center · at Kansas City · Conference game

#305ORUOral Roberts94▲ winner

Final

Closing lineORU -3.5✓ ORU covered by 20.5

Closing total149.5Over by 14.5

Season records: Oral Roberts and Kansas City
ORU	This season	KC
5-22	Record	1-25
11-16	ATS	5-21
12-15	O/U	15-11

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ORU 75–72 KC · ✓ ORU (59%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ORU	43	51	94
KC	30	40	70

1st half: ORU 43, KC 30 (ORU by 13). The model had ORU by 1.6 and a total of 68.6 (actual 73).

Team stats

ORU		KC
36-61 59%	Field goals	23-56 41%
9-21 43%	3-pointers	9-27 33%
13-23 57%	Free throws	15-28 54%
42 7 off	Rebounds	27 6 off
20	Assists	13
10	Steals	5
3	Blocks	3
8	Turnovers	11
23	Fouls	16
46	Points in paint	22
28	Fast-break points	2

Players

ORU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ty Harper G	33	27	2	6	11-17	1-3
Connor Dow G	31	20	8	3	6-15	2-8
Ofri Naveh F	29	7	6	4	3-4	0-0
Luke Gray F	28	20	4	1	7-13	4-6
Chase Martin G	24	2	4	2	1-1	0-0
Bench
Martins Kilups G	20	7	5	1	3-4	1-2
Cal Furnish G	19	7	3	2	3-4	1-2
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams F	11	4	4	1	2-2	0-0
Aaron Jacob F	3	0	1	0	0-1	0-0
Baron Smith Jr. C	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Alex Couto, Lane Sparks, Laymen McGrady, Jack Turner

KC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kasheem Grady II G	31	6	4	1	3-11	0-6
CJ Evans G	30	11	4	5	3-8	0-0
Jerome Palm F	27	3	4	0	1-3	0-2
Jayson Petty G	26	18	1	0	5-11	4-7
Addarin Scott F	16	4	0	2	2-3	0-1
Bench
Karmello Branch G	38	22	3	5	7-13	5-10
Baba Mbengue C	14	2	5	0	1-2	0-0
Trey Booker-Lowery G	12	3	1	0	1-5	0-1
Chris Dockery F	6	1	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Jason Hilliard, Jamaria Clark, Cory Curtis Jr., Kernan Bundy, Max Sims, D'Andre Harrison

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	ORU -3.5	ORU -2.5	KC +1.0	L ORU covered
Total	149.5	146.5	Under 3.0	L Over
Projected score	—	ORU 74.5 · KC 72

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	ORU -1.6	ORU -13.0
1H total	68.6	73
1H projected score	ORU 35.1 · KC 33.5	ORU 43 · KC 30

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORU WLLWW	11-16	41%	5-8	2-2
KC LLLLL	5-21	19%	1-9	5-20

Venue/role: ORU away, as favorite; KC home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORU UOUUO	12-15	44%	5-22
KC UOOOU	15-11	58%	1-25

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORU	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%
KC	0-10 0%	0-10 0%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22

ORU 6–4 KCORU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · ORU 4-6 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 12, 2025-26	KC 60 @ ORU 69	ORU -6.5	ORU W
Mar 5, 2024-25	ORU 56 vs KC 73	KC -5.5	KC W
Feb 1, 2024-25	KC 67 @ ORU 73	ORU +3.5	ORU W
Jan 4, 2024-25	ORU 67 @ KC 90	KC -7.5	KC W
Mar 3, 2023-24	KC 71 @ ORU 54	ORU -2.5	KC W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Oral Roberts

27 games played

Straight up

5-22

19% wins

Against the spread

11-16

41% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

12-15

44% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-2219%

L L L L L W L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

11-1641%

L W L W W W L L W W W L L W L L L L L L L L W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

12-1544%

O O U U O O U O U U U U U O O O U U U U O O U O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143
Nov 20	@OU	L 71-95	+24.5	W +0.5	166.5	U 166
Nov 24	@FGCU	L 88-93	+11.5	W +6.5	153.5	O 181
Nov 25	vsKENN	W 91-83	+8.5	W +16.5	166.5	O 174
Nov 26	vsRICE	L 62-81	+5.5	L −13.5	150.5	U 143
Dec 3	@WEB	L 66-92	+7.5	L −18.5	157.5	O 158
Dec 6	vsMTST	W 72-68	+6.5	W +10.5	150.5	U 140
Dec 16	@MOST	L 62-63	+4.5	W +3.5	146.5	U 125
Dec 18	@TCU	L 53-72	+23.5	W +4.5	147.5	U 125
Dec 22	vsUTA	L 57-69	+3.5	L −8.5	136.5	U 126
Jan 1	@UND	L 61-72	+1.5	L −9.5	148.5	U 133
Jan 3	@NDSU	L 77-79	+13.5	W +11.5	146.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsSTMN	L 71-82	+8.5	L −2.5	152.5	O 153
Jan 14	@DEN	L 87-98	+6.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 185
Jan 17	vsOMA	L 62-73	-1.5	L −12.5	149.5	U 135
Jan 22	vsUND	L 62-79	-1.5	L −18.5	149.5	U 141
Jan 24	vsNDSU	L 58-86	+10.5	L −17.5	151.5	U 144
Jan 29	@SDAK	L 69-77	+3.5	L −4.5	154.5	U 146
Jan 31	@SDST	L 72-95	+13.5	L −9.5	150.5	O 167
Feb 7	@STMN	L 75-92	+15.5	L −1.5	151.5	O 167
Feb 12	vsKC	W 69-60	-6.5	W +2.5	150.5	U 129
Feb 14	vsSDST	L 69-87	+5.5	L −12.5	147.5	O 156
Feb 18	@OMA	L 71-80	+6.5	L −2.5	151.5	U 151
Feb 21	vsSDAK	W 67-62	-1.5	W +3.5	151.5	U 129
Feb 26	vsDEN	W 102-80	+2.5	W +24.5	156.5	O 182

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

L 71-95

+0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+6.5

KENN

W 91-83

+16.5

RICE

L 62-81

−13.5

WEB

L 66-92

−18.5

MTST

W 72-68

+10.5

MOST

L 62-63

+3.5

TCU

L 53-72

+4.5

UTA

L 57-69

−8.5

UND

L 61-72

−9.5

NDSU

L 77-79

+11.5

STMN

L 71-82

−2.5

DEN

L 87-98

−4.5

OMA

L 62-73

−12.5

UND

L 62-79

−18.5

NDSU

L 58-86

−17.5

SDAK

L 69-77

−4.5

SDST

L 72-95

−9.5

STMN

L 75-92

−1.5

W 69-60

+2.5

SDST

L 69-87

−12.5

OMA

L 71-80

−2.5

SDAK

W 67-62

+3.5

DEN

W 102-80

+24.5

covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

L 71-95

−0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+27.5

KENN

W 91-83

+7.5

RICE

L 62-81

−7.5

WEB

L 66-92

+0.5

MTST

W 72-68

−10.5

MOST

L 62-63

−21.5

TCU

L 53-72

−22.5

UTA

L 57-69

−10.5

UND

L 61-72

−15.5

NDSU

L 77-79

+9.5

STMN

L 71-82

+0.5

DEN

L 87-98

+28.5

OMA

L 62-73

−14.5

UND

L 62-79

−8.5

NDSU

L 58-86

−7.5

SDAK

L 69-77

−8.5

SDST

L 72-95

+16.5

STMN

L 75-92

+15.5

W 69-60

−21.5

SDST

L 69-87

+8.5

OMA

L 71-80

−0.5

SDAK

W 67-62

−22.5

DEN

W 102-80

+25.5

over 12under 15avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Kansas City

26 games played

Straight up

1-25

4% wins

Against the spread

5-21

19% covers · avg −5.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-11

58% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-254%

L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L

13 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-2119%

L L W L L L L L W W W L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L

13 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

15-1158%

O O U U U U U O U O O O U O O O O U U O O U O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@SIU	L 78-101	+12.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 179
Nov 11	vsIONA	L 91-105	+4.5	L −9.5	156.5	O 196
Nov 15	@TEX	L 55-71	+31.5	W +15.5	159.5	U 126
Nov 19	@TCU	L 45-81	+23.5	L −12.5	150.5	U 126
Nov 24	@LIN	L 67-80	+4.5	L −8.5	152.5	U 147
Nov 29	@WEB	L 61-82	+10.5	L −10.5	155.5	U 143
Dec 3	vsIDST	L 59-68	+5.5	L −3.5	137.5	U 127
Dec 6	@EWU	L 66-90	+9.5	L −14.5	151.5	O 156
Dec 10	vsWEB	L 60-64	+7.5	W +3.5	150.5	U 124
Dec 16	@OU	L 67-89	+30.5	W +8.5	153.5	O 156
Dec 18	@OKST	L 79-91	+27.5	W +15.5	161.5	O 170
Dec 31	@DEN	L 74-87	+9.5	L −3.5	156.5	O 161
Jan 3	@OMA	W 73-66	+8.5	W +15.5	148.5	U 139
Jan 8	vsNDSU	L 73-97	+9.5	L −14.5	144.5	O 170
Jan 10	vsUND	L 79-81	-1.5	L −3.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 15	@SDAK	L 83-99	+7.5	L −8.5	156.5	O 182
Jan 17	@SDST	L 62-90	+13.5	L −14.5	151.5	O 152
Jan 24	vsOMA	L 60-77	+4.5	L −12.5	148.5	U 137
Jan 28	vsDEN	L 61-69	+3.5	L −4.5	161.5	U 130
Feb 1	@STMN	L 64-99	+17.5	L −17.5	151.5	O 163
Feb 4	vsSDAK	L 75-82	+2.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 157
Feb 12	@ORU	L 60-69	+6.5	L −2.5	150.5	U 129
Feb 14	vsSTMN	L 64-104	+12.5	L −27.5	154.5	O 168
Feb 19	@UND	L 70-85	+9.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 155
Feb 21	@NDSU	L 59-95	+19.5	L −16.5	148.5	O 154
Feb 26	vsSDST	L 59-73	+12.5	L −1.5	152.5	U 132

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIU

L 78-101

−10.5

IONA

L 91-105

−9.5

TEX

L 55-71

+15.5

TCU

L 45-81

−12.5

LIN

L 67-80

−8.5

WEB

L 61-82

−10.5

IDST

L 59-68

−3.5

EWU

L 66-90

−14.5

WEB

L 60-64

+3.5

L 67-89

+8.5

OKST

L 79-91

+15.5

DEN

L 74-87

−3.5

OMA

W 73-66

+15.5

NDSU

L 73-97

−14.5

UND

L 79-81

−3.5

SDAK

L 83-99

−8.5

SDST

L 62-90

−14.5

OMA

L 60-77

−12.5

DEN

L 61-69

−4.5

STMN

L 64-99

−17.5

SDAK

L 75-82

−4.5

ORU

L 60-69

−2.5

STMN

L 64-104

−27.5

UND

L 70-85

−5.5

NDSU

L 59-95

−16.5

SDST

L 59-73

−1.5

covered 5didn’t cover 21avg −5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIU

L 78-101

+37.5

IONA

L 91-105

+39.5

TEX

L 55-71

−33.5

TCU

L 45-81

−24.5

LIN

L 67-80

−5.5

WEB

L 61-82

−12.5

IDST

L 59-68

−10.5

EWU

L 66-90

+4.5

WEB

L 60-64

−26.5

L 67-89

+2.5

OKST

L 79-91

+8.5

DEN

L 74-87

+4.5

OMA

W 73-66

−9.5

NDSU

L 73-97

+25.5

UND

L 79-81

+13.5

SDAK

L 83-99

+25.5

SDST

L 62-90

+0.5

OMA

L 60-77

−11.5

DEN

L 61-69

−31.5

STMN

L 64-99

+11.5

SDAK

L 75-82

+0.5

ORU

L 60-69

−21.5

STMN

L 64-104

+13.5

UND

L 70-85

+4.5

NDSU

L 59-95

+5.5

SDST

L 59-73

−20.5

over 15under 11avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Kansas City Roos

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Oral Roberts

Kansas City

Oral Roberts

Kansas City