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  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. HPU vs DUQ
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

High Point Panthers vs Duquesne Dukes

Ocean Center · Neutral site
#90HPUHigh Point
vs
#107DUQDuquesne
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HPUThis seasonDUQ
1-0Record0-0
1-0ATS0-0
0-1O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HPU 80–75 · win probability HPU 65%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 154.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HPU has more of the edges

HPU 5, DUQ 0 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
HPU has played the 288th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HPUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HPU 12.8%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: HPU 21.3%, DUQ 18.4%
HPUBig
Three-pointers
HPU hits 34.2% and allows 32.6%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 43.6% and 44.4% of their shots
HPUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: HPU 54.5 and allows 50.5; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5
HPUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HPU 40.8, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: HPU 35.5, DUQ 39.9
HPUSmall
HPU offense vs DUQ defense
Offense 64th of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: HPU plays 71.7 a game (47th fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HPU 36%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: HPU 8, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
DUQ offense vs HPU defense
Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 127th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HPU 31.8%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: HPU 68.9%, DUQ 70.4%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HPU -4.5—
Total—154.6—
Projected score—HPU 79.5 · DUQ 75.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHPU -2.8—
1H total72.3—
1H projected scoreHPU 37.5 · DUQ 34.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

High Point has the better starters

Position by position: High Point 3, Duquesne 0, even 2
High PointBetterDuquesne
G J. Rivera-Torres TR15.9 pts · 8.1 reb · 2.9 ast Score 91
Even
G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast Score 93
G C. Williams TR12.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 60
Even
G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63
G C. Brown TR10.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast Score 64
HPUBig
G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6
F I. Garrett TR13.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 79
HPUBig
G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31
F F. Sherman TR10.8 pts · 8.6 reb · 1 ast Score 85
HPUBig
F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast Score 49
High PointBetterDuquesne
HPU offense64th of 366 · +2.2
HPUSmall
DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8
HPU defense127th of 366 · -2.3
Even
DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6
Backcourt+3.4 · 3 players
HPUBig
Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt+3.9 · 2 players
HPUBig
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Bench+4.4 · 5 players
HPUBig
Bench-0.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHPU betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
High Point
Guards
J. Rivera-Torres36 min · TRC. Williams32 min · TRC. Brown27 min · TRC. Martinez22 minL. Campbell15 min · TRS. McDermott2 min · TR
Forwards
I. Garrett29 min · TRF. Sherman26 min · TRF. Brankovic24 min · TRC. Fletcher22 minB. Hausen21 minC. Miller7 min
Duquesne
Guards
T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min
Forwards
Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew
Centers
E. Demir9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HPUDUQ
Scoring
86.4 #9Points per game76.9 #118
1.20 #12Points per possession1.09 #164
71.7 #47Pace (possessions)70.4 #99
Shooting
54.5 #51Effective FG%52.3 #131
34.2 #1613-point %33.1 #223
43.6 #983-point attempt rate44.4 #81
40.8 #50Free throw rate38.3 #94
Possessions
12.8 #5Turnover rate17.6 #243
31.8 #131Offensive rebound rate30.4 #184
15.4 #74Assists per game14.7 #107
Defense
72.8 #128Points allowed75.9 #214
1.01 #38Points allowed per possession1.08 #171
50.5 #126Opponent effective FG%52.5 #241
32.6 #97Opponent 3-point %36.2 #314
21.3 #8Turnovers forced18.4 #83
68.9 #207Defensive rebound rate70.4 #142
10.1 #2Steals per game7.6 #71
3.6 #119Blocks per game3.0 #214
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

High Point

28-5 in 2025-26 overall · 18-1 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas88–94
  • Wvs Wisconsin83–82
  • Wvs Winthrop91–76
  • Wvs UNC Asheville75–71
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59

A week or more of rest.

Duquesne

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs VCU66–71
  • Wvs Rhode Island67–61
  • Wvs Richmond79–77
  • L@ Rhode Island52–64
  • L@ Saint Louis76–91

A week or more of rest.