Coppin State Eagles at La Salle Explorers: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ETJohn Glaser Arena · at La Salle

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Coppin St and La Salle
COPP	This season	LAS
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LAS 81–61 · win probability LAS 96%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 141.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LAS has more of the edges

COPP 0, LAS 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

LASBig

COPP offense vs LAS defense

Offense 351st of 366 against a defense 111th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

COPP has played the 313th-hardest schedule, LAS the 92nd. A record against a soft schedule means less

LASBig

LAS offense vs COPP defense

Offense 157th of 366 against a defense 324th, on the model’s ratings

LASSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: COPP 38.5, LAS 37.5. Allowed: COPP 42.9, LAS 31.5

LASSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: COPP 30.4%, LAS 33.7%. Defensive: COPP 65.3%, LAS 67.7%

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: COPP plays 69.3 a game (159th fastest), LAS 66.4 (300th). Faster games mean more points

LASSmall

Home court

LAS at home. This season: LAS 0-0 at home, COPP 0-0 away

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: COPP 22.3%, LAS 18.2%. Forced: COPP 17.6%, LAS 17.2%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: COPP 68%, LAS 56%. Transfers in: COPP 3, LAS 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Three-pointers

COPP hits 30.7% and allows 38.3%; LAS hits 30.0% and allows 36.5%. Threes are 35.2% and 31.5% of their shots

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: COPP 45.9 and allows 55.4; LAS 45.4 and allows 55.0

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	LAS -19.7	—
Total	—	141.3	—
Projected score	—	COPP 60.8 · LAS 80.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	LAS -11.6	—
1H total	66.1	—
1H projected score	COPP 27.3 · LAS 38.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COPP WWLLW	13-17	43%	9-10	—
LAS LWWLL	14-17	45%	10-3	—

Venue/role: COPP away; LAS home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
COPP UOOOU	19-11	63%	6-24
LAS OOOOO	14-17	45%	8-23

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COPP	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
LAS	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Coppin St

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ GTWN	L67–97WO
Nov 24	@ VILL	No recent meeting
Dec 3	@ VCU	L58–101LO

La Salle

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs PENN	L71–73LU
Nov 27	vs BUCK	W69–57WU
Dec 1	vs WOF	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

COPP 0–2 LASLAS leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · LAS has won the last 2 meetings · COPP 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 5, 2025-26	COPP 59 @ LAS 87	LAS -17.5	LAS W
Nov 26, 2023-24	COPP 62 @ LAS 81	LAS -20.5	COPP W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Coppin St

30 games played

Straight up

6-24

20% wins

Against the spread

13-17

43% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-11

63% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

6-2420%

L L L L L L L W L L L L L L L L W L L L L L L W W W W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1743%

W L W L L W L W L L L W L L W L W L L W L L L W W W W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

19-1163%

O O O U U O O U O O U O O U O O U O O O O O U U U U O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMD	L 61-83	+28.5	W +6.5	139.5	O 144
Nov 5	@LAS	L 59-87	+17.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 9	@JMU	L 70-84	+18.5	W +4.5	141.5	O 154
Nov 12	@USF	L 50-100	+34.5	L −15.5	167.5	U 150
Nov 14	vsCMU	L 59-82	+10.5	L −12.5	142.5	U 141
Nov 15	vsUSA	L 62-72	+18.5	W +8.5	133.5	O 134
Nov 22	@VCU	L 58-101	+32.5	L −10.5	151.5	O 159
Nov 25	@RID	W 68-65	+8.5	W +11.5	139.5	U 133
Nov 30	@L-MD	L 84-95	+9.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 179
Dec 3	@WVU	L 49-91	+31.5	L −10.5	134.5	O 140
Dec 6	@LIB	L 50-92	+30.5	L −11.5	143.5	U 142
Dec 9	@JOES	L 65-87	+22.5	W +0.5	146.5	O 152
Dec 14	@RAD	L 77-107	+20.5	L −9.5	154.5	O 184
Dec 19	@NAVY	L 55-88	+20.5	L −12.5	145.5	U 143
Dec 22	@GTWN	L 67-97	+33.5	W +3.5	150.5	O 164
Dec 29	vsUMBC	L 59-93	+10.5	L −23.5	148.5	O 152
Jan 3	@DSU	W 53-51	+8.5	W +10.5	139.5	U 104
Jan 10	vsNCCU	L 77-88	+6.5	L −4.5	143.5	O 165
Jan 12	vsSCST	L 72-74	-1.5	L −3.5	140.5	O 146
Jan 17	@UMES	L 67-70	+10.5	W +7.5	133.5	O 137
Jan 24	@NORF	L 76-103	+13.5	L −13.5	143.5	O 179
Jan 31	vsMORG	L 80-89	+3.5	L −5.5	155.5	O 169
Feb 2	vsHOW	L 53-72	+14.5	L −4.5	146.5	U 125
Feb 7	vsDSU	W 65-47	+1.5	W +19.5	132.5	U 112
Feb 14	@NCCU	W 58-56	+10.5	W +12.5	143.5	U 114
Feb 16	@SCST	W 59-57	+4.5	W +6.5	138.5	U 116
Feb 21	vsUMES	W 71-65	+3.5	W +9.5	128.5	O 136
Feb 28	vsNORF	L 69-75	+5.5	L −0.5	140.5	O 144
Mar 2	@HOW	L 70-90	+19.5	L −0.5	140.5	O 160
Mar 5	@MORG	L 66-70	+5.5	W +1.5	149.5	U 136

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 61-83

+6.5

LAS

L 59-87

−10.5

JMU

L 70-84

+4.5

USF

L 50-100

−15.5

CMU

L 59-82

−12.5

USA

L 62-72

+8.5

VCU

L 58-101

−10.5

RID

W 68-65

+11.5

L-MD

L 84-95

−1.5

WVU

L 49-91

−10.5

LIB

L 50-92

−11.5

JOES

L 65-87

+0.5

RAD

L 77-107

−9.5

NAVY

L 55-88

−12.5

GTWN

L 67-97

+3.5

UMBC

L 59-93

−23.5

DSU

W 53-51

+10.5

NCCU

L 77-88

−4.5

SCST

L 72-74

−3.5

UMES

L 67-70

+7.5

NORF

L 76-103

−13.5

MORG

L 80-89

−5.5

HOW

L 53-72

−4.5

DSU

W 65-47

+19.5

NCCU

W 58-56

+12.5

SCST

W 59-57

+6.5

UMES

W 71-65

+9.5

NORF

L 69-75

−0.5

HOW

L 70-90

−0.5

MORG

L 66-70

+1.5

covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 61-83

+4.5

LAS

L 59-87

+6.5

JMU

L 70-84

+12.5

USF

L 50-100

−17.5

CMU

L 59-82

−1.5

USA

L 62-72

+0.5

VCU

L 58-101

+7.5

RID

W 68-65

−6.5

L-MD

L 84-95

+35.5

WVU

L 49-91

+5.5

LIB

L 50-92

−1.5

JOES

L 65-87

+5.5

RAD

L 77-107

+29.5

NAVY

L 55-88

−2.5

GTWN

L 67-97

+13.5

UMBC

L 59-93

+3.5

DSU

W 53-51

−35.5

NCCU

L 77-88

+21.5

SCST

L 72-74

+5.5

UMES

L 67-70

+3.5

NORF

L 76-103

+35.5

MORG

L 80-89

+13.5

HOW

L 53-72

−21.5

DSU

W 65-47

−20.5

NCCU

W 58-56

−29.5

SCST

W 59-57

−22.5

UMES

W 71-65

+7.5

NORF

L 69-75

+3.5

HOW

L 70-90

+19.5

MORG

L 66-70

−13.5

over 19under 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

La Salle

31 games played

Straight up

8-23

26% wins

Against the spread

14-17

45% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-17

45% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-2326%

W W L L L L L L W L L L L L W L L W W L L L L L L W L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

14-1745%

W W L L L L L L W L W L W L W W L W W L L L L W W W L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-1745%

O U O O U U U U O U O U O U O O U O U U U U U U U U O O O O O

5 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsCOPP	W 87-59	-17.5	W +10.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 8	vsMONM	W 73-60	-4.5	W +8.5	143.5	U 133
Nov 11	@TEM	L 63-90	+6.5	L −20.5	148.5	O 153
Nov 15	vsPSU	L 69-83	+8.5	L −5.5	145.5	O 152
Nov 19	vsVILL	L 55-70	+12.5	L −2.5	144.5	U 125
Nov 28	vsHOF	L 58-63	+3.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 121
Nov 29	@PENN	L 71-73	+1.5	L −0.5	149.5	U 144
Nov 30	vsMRMK	L 60-66	-2.5	L −8.5	132.5	U 126
Dec 6	vsDREX	W 69-64	+1.5	W +6.5	129.5	O 133
Dec 13	@LIU	L 60-70	+2.5	L −7.5	143.5	U 130
Dec 19	@HPU	L 72-84	+13.5	W +1.5	149.5	O 156
Dec 21	@MICH	L 50-102	+40.5	L −11.5	155.5	U 152
Dec 31	vsGMU	L 75-80	+8.5	W +3.5	134.5	O 155
Jan 3	@GW	L 55-77	+16.5	L −5.5	150.5	U 132
Jan 7	@URI	W 79-72	+11.5	W +18.5	135.5	O 151
Jan 10	vsSLU	L 72-84	+17.5	W +5.5	152.5	O 156
Jan 14	@RICH	L 53-74	+8.5	L −12.5	147.5	U 127
Jan 17	vsSBU	W 78-74	+5.5	W +9.5	141.5	O 152
Jan 21	vsDAY	W 67-64	+9.5	W +12.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 28	@FOR	L 58-64	+5.5	L −0.5	136.5	U 122
Jan 31	vsJOES	L 58-67	+2.5	L −6.5	142.5	U 125
Feb 3	@LUC	L 61-71	+2.5	L −7.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 7	@SLU	L 58-82	+22.5	L −1.5	153.5	U 140
Feb 11	vsVCU	L 68-77	+12.5	W +3.5	147.5	U 145
Feb 18	@DUQ	L 61-62	+11.5	W +10.5	145.5	U 123
Feb 21	vsURI	W 59-46	+3.5	W +16.5	135.5	U 105
Feb 24	vsGW	L 77-104	+8.5	L −18.5	146.5	O 181
Mar 1	@DAV	L 64-71	+10.5	W +3.5	133.5	O 135
Mar 4	vsFOR	W 87-84	+3.5	W +6.5	131.5	O 171
Mar 7	@JOES	L 76-88	+11.5	L −0.5	142.5	O 164
Mar 11	vsSBU	L 80-99	+7.5	L −11.5	146.5	O 179

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

COPP

W 87-59

+10.5

MONM

W 73-60

+8.5

TEM

L 63-90

−20.5

PSU

L 69-83

−5.5

VILL

L 55-70

−2.5

HOF

L 58-63

−1.5

PENN

L 71-73

−0.5

MRMK

L 60-66

−8.5

DREX

W 69-64

+6.5

LIU

L 60-70

−7.5

HPU

L 72-84

+1.5

MICH

L 50-102

−11.5

GMU

L 75-80

+3.5

L 55-77

−5.5

URI

W 79-72

+18.5

SLU

L 72-84

+5.5

RICH

L 53-74

−12.5

SBU

W 78-74

+9.5

DAY

W 67-64

+12.5

FOR

L 58-64

−0.5

JOES

L 58-67

−6.5

LUC

L 61-71

−7.5

SLU

L 58-82

−1.5

VCU

L 68-77

+3.5

DUQ

L 61-62

+10.5

URI

W 59-46

+16.5

L 77-104

−18.5

DAV

L 64-71

+3.5

FOR

W 87-84

+6.5

JOES

L 76-88

−0.5

SBU

L 80-99

−11.5

covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

COPP

W 87-59

+6.5

MONM

W 73-60

−10.5

TEM

L 63-90

+4.5

PSU

L 69-83

+6.5

VILL

L 55-70

−19.5

HOF

L 58-63

−17.5

PENN

L 71-73

−5.5

MRMK

L 60-66

−6.5

DREX

W 69-64

+3.5

LIU

L 60-70

−13.5

HPU

L 72-84

+6.5

MICH

L 50-102

−3.5

GMU

L 75-80

+20.5

L 55-77

−18.5

URI

W 79-72

+15.5

SLU

L 72-84

+3.5

RICH

L 53-74

−20.5

SBU

W 78-74

+10.5

DAY

W 67-64

−6.5

FOR

L 58-64

−14.5

JOES

L 58-67

−17.5

LUC

L 61-71

−8.5

SLU

L 58-82

−13.5

VCU

L 68-77

−2.5

DUQ

L 61-62

−22.5

URI

W 59-46

−30.5

L 77-104

+34.5

DAV

L 64-71

+1.5

FOR

W 87-84

+39.5

JOES

L 76-88

+21.5

SBU

L 80-99

+32.5

over 14under 17avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

La Salle has the better starters

Position by position: Coppin St 0, La Salle 3, even 2

Coppin StBetterLa Salle

G H. Williams7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27

Even

G J. Johnson6.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 29

G C. Sparrow5.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 40

LASBig

G R. Dockery12.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 91

G J. Piercy6.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 23

LASBig

F J. Brewer11.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 75

F N. Lamizana6.6 pts · 3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 18

LASSmall

F V. Zanki TR8.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 46

F T. Koenig5.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 28

Even

F A. Finkley TR5.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast Score 19

Coppin StBetterLa Salle

COPP offense351st of 366 · -12.8

LASBig

LAS defense111th of 366 · -1.3

COPP defense324th of 366 · -8.4

LASBig

LAS offense157th of 366 · -4.7

Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players

LASBig

Backcourt+0.4 · 2 players

Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players

LASSmall

Frontcourt-0.6 · 3 players

Bench-6.3 · 5 players

LASSmall

Bench-3.6 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestCOPP betterLAS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Coppin St

Guards

H. Williams20 minC. Sparrow19 minJ. Piercy18 minB. Saunders16 minD. Lydner12 minJ. Brown5 min

Forwards

N. Lamizana19 minT. Koenig17 minT. Gapare16 min · TRE. TaylorNewL. LawalNewA. MyersNew

Centers

F. Aire9 min

La Salle

Guards

J. Johnson30 minR. Dockery27 minK. Burton19 min · TRD. Booker8 min · TRA. Masharaliyev1 minT. MossNew

Forwards

J. Brewer27 minV. Zanki21 min · TRA. Finkley19 min · TRN. Collier14 minE. Rink12 min · TRB. Beatty10 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

COPP64.3 #352

LAS66.8 #336

Points per possession

COPP0.93 #362

LAS1.00 #322

Pace (possessions)

COPP69.3 #159

LAS66.4 #300

Shooting

Effective FG%

COPP45.9 #350

LAS45.4 #357

3-point %

COPP30.7 #326

LAS30.0 #342

3-point attempt rate

COPP35.2 #273

LAS31.5 #333

Free throw rate

COPP38.5 #90

LAS37.5 #113

Possessions

Turnover rate

COPP22.3 #363

LAS18.2 #281

Offensive rebound rate

COPP30.4 #183

LAS33.7 #75

Assists per game

COPP11.4 #317

LAS12.9 #221

Defense

Points allowed

COPP81.0 #334

LAS75.0 #186

Points allowed per possession

COPP1.17 #342

LAS1.13 #293

Opponent effective FG%

COPP55.4 #339

LAS55.0 #329

Opponent 3-point %

COPP38.3 #360

LAS36.5 #324

Turnovers forced

COPP17.6 #118

LAS17.2 #136

Defensive rebound rate

COPP65.3 #333

LAS67.7 #274

Steals per game

COPP6.0 #233

LAS6.7 #155

Blocks per game

COPP3.5 #143

LAS2.6 #295

COPP		LAS
Scoring
64.3 #352	Points per game	66.8 #336
0.93 #362	Points per possession	1.00 #322
69.3 #159	Pace (possessions)	66.4 #300
Shooting
45.9 #350	Effective FG%	45.4 #357
30.7 #326	3-point %	30.0 #342
35.2 #273	3-point attempt rate	31.5 #333
38.5 #90	Free throw rate	37.5 #113
Possessions
22.3 #363	Turnover rate	18.2 #281
30.4 #183	Offensive rebound rate	33.7 #75
11.4 #317	Assists per game	12.9 #221
Defense
81.0 #334	Points allowed	75.0 #186
1.17 #342	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #293
55.4 #339	Opponent effective FG%	55.0 #329
38.3 #360	Opponent 3-point %	36.5 #324
17.6 #118	Turnovers forced	17.2 #136
65.3 #333	Defensive rebound rate	67.7 #274
6.0 #233	Steals per game	6.7 #155
3.5 #143	Blocks per game	2.6 #295

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Coppin St

6-24 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Morgan St66–70
L@ Howard70–90
Lvs Norfolk St69–75
Wvs MD Eastern71–65
W@ SC State59–57

A week or more of rest.

La Salle

8-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs St Bonaventure80–99
L@ Saint Joseph's76–88
Wvs Fordham87–84
L@ Davidson64–71
Lvs G Washington77–104

A week or more of rest.

Coppin State Eagles at La Salle Explorers

What could decide it: LAS has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Coppin St

La Salle

La Salle has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Coppin St

La Salle