Coppin State Eagles at Georgetown Hoyas: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM ETCapital One Arena · at Georgetown

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Coppin St and Georgetown
COPP	This season	GTWN
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GTWN 87–57 · win probability GTWN 100%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 144.4

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GTWN has more of the edges

COPP 1, GTWN 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

GTWNBig

COPP offense vs GTWN defense

Offense 351st of 366 against a defense 46th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

COPP has played the 313th-hardest schedule, GTWN the 47th. A record against a soft schedule means less

GTWNBig

GTWN offense vs COPP defense

Offense 75th of 366 against a defense 324th, on the model’s ratings

GTWNBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: COPP 45.9 and allows 55.4; GTWN 49.6 and allows 50.0

GTWNBig

Three-pointers

COPP hits 30.7% and allows 38.3%; GTWN hits 31.8% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 35.2% and 35.2% of their shots

GTWNSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: COPP 30.4%, GTWN 32.5%. Defensive: COPP 65.3%, GTWN 68.5%

GTWNSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: COPP 38.5, GTWN 37.3. Allowed: COPP 42.9, GTWN 33.9

GTWNSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: COPP 22.3%, GTWN 15.8%. Forced: COPP 17.6%, GTWN 16.2%

COPPSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: COPP 68%, GTWN 38%. Transfers in: COPP 3, GTWN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

GTWNSmall

Home court

GTWN at home. This season: GTWN 0-0 at home, COPP 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: COPP plays 69.3 a game (159th fastest), GTWN 67.8 (238th). Faster games mean more points

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	GTWN -30.2	—
Total	—	144.4	—
Projected score	—	COPP 57.1 · GTWN 87.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	GTWN -17.8	—
1H total	67.6	—
1H projected score	COPP 24.9 · GTWN 42.7	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COPP WWLLW	13-17	43%	9-10	—
GTWN WLWWL	14-20	41%	4-13	—

Venue/role: COPP away; GTWN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
COPP UOOOU	19-11	63%	6-24
GTWN UOUOU	18-16	53%	16-18

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COPP	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
GTWN	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Coppin St

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	@ VILL	No recent meeting
Dec 3	@ VCU	L58–101LO
Dec 7	vs MERC	No recent meeting

Georgetown

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 26	vs TEX	No recent meeting
Dec 2	vs UML	No recent meeting
Dec 9	vs RID	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

COPP 0–4 GTWNGTWN leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · GTWN has won the last 4 meetings · COPP 3-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 22, 2025-26	COPP 67 @ GTWN 97	GTWN -33.5	COPP W
Dec 28, 2024-25	COPP 53 @ GTWN 83	GTWN -28.5	GTWN W
Dec 12, 2023-24	COPP 54 @ GTWN 71	GTWN -20.5	COPP W
Nov 8, 2022-23	COPP 89 @ GTWN 99	GTWN -18.5	COPP W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Coppin St

30 games played

Straight up

6-24

20% wins

Against the spread

13-17

43% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-11

63% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

6-2420%

L L L L L L L W L L L L L L L L W L L L L L L W W W W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1743%

W L W L L W L W L L L W L L W L W L L W L L L W W W W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

19-1163%

O O O U U O O U O O U O O U O O U O O O O O U U U U O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMD	L 61-83	+28.5	W +6.5	139.5	O 144
Nov 5	@LAS	L 59-87	+17.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 9	@JMU	L 70-84	+18.5	W +4.5	141.5	O 154
Nov 12	@USF	L 50-100	+34.5	L −15.5	167.5	U 150
Nov 14	vsCMU	L 59-82	+10.5	L −12.5	142.5	U 141
Nov 15	vsUSA	L 62-72	+18.5	W +8.5	133.5	O 134
Nov 22	@VCU	L 58-101	+32.5	L −10.5	151.5	O 159
Nov 25	@RID	W 68-65	+8.5	W +11.5	139.5	U 133
Nov 30	@L-MD	L 84-95	+9.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 179
Dec 3	@WVU	L 49-91	+31.5	L −10.5	134.5	O 140
Dec 6	@LIB	L 50-92	+30.5	L −11.5	143.5	U 142
Dec 9	@JOES	L 65-87	+22.5	W +0.5	146.5	O 152
Dec 14	@RAD	L 77-107	+20.5	L −9.5	154.5	O 184
Dec 19	@NAVY	L 55-88	+20.5	L −12.5	145.5	U 143
Dec 22	@GTWN	L 67-97	+33.5	W +3.5	150.5	O 164
Dec 29	vsUMBC	L 59-93	+10.5	L −23.5	148.5	O 152
Jan 3	@DSU	W 53-51	+8.5	W +10.5	139.5	U 104
Jan 10	vsNCCU	L 77-88	+6.5	L −4.5	143.5	O 165
Jan 12	vsSCST	L 72-74	-1.5	L −3.5	140.5	O 146
Jan 17	@UMES	L 67-70	+10.5	W +7.5	133.5	O 137
Jan 24	@NORF	L 76-103	+13.5	L −13.5	143.5	O 179
Jan 31	vsMORG	L 80-89	+3.5	L −5.5	155.5	O 169
Feb 2	vsHOW	L 53-72	+14.5	L −4.5	146.5	U 125
Feb 7	vsDSU	W 65-47	+1.5	W +19.5	132.5	U 112
Feb 14	@NCCU	W 58-56	+10.5	W +12.5	143.5	U 114
Feb 16	@SCST	W 59-57	+4.5	W +6.5	138.5	U 116
Feb 21	vsUMES	W 71-65	+3.5	W +9.5	128.5	O 136
Feb 28	vsNORF	L 69-75	+5.5	L −0.5	140.5	O 144
Mar 2	@HOW	L 70-90	+19.5	L −0.5	140.5	O 160
Mar 5	@MORG	L 66-70	+5.5	W +1.5	149.5	U 136

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 61-83

+6.5

LAS

L 59-87

−10.5

JMU

L 70-84

+4.5

USF

L 50-100

−15.5

CMU

L 59-82

−12.5

USA

L 62-72

+8.5

VCU

L 58-101

−10.5

RID

W 68-65

+11.5

L-MD

L 84-95

−1.5

WVU

L 49-91

−10.5

LIB

L 50-92

−11.5

JOES

L 65-87

+0.5

RAD

L 77-107

−9.5

NAVY

L 55-88

−12.5

GTWN

L 67-97

+3.5

UMBC

L 59-93

−23.5

DSU

W 53-51

+10.5

NCCU

L 77-88

−4.5

SCST

L 72-74

−3.5

UMES

L 67-70

+7.5

NORF

L 76-103

−13.5

MORG

L 80-89

−5.5

HOW

L 53-72

−4.5

DSU

W 65-47

+19.5

NCCU

W 58-56

+12.5

SCST

W 59-57

+6.5

UMES

W 71-65

+9.5

NORF

L 69-75

−0.5

HOW

L 70-90

−0.5

MORG

L 66-70

+1.5

covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 61-83

+4.5

LAS

L 59-87

+6.5

JMU

L 70-84

+12.5

USF

L 50-100

−17.5

CMU

L 59-82

−1.5

USA

L 62-72

+0.5

VCU

L 58-101

+7.5

RID

W 68-65

−6.5

L-MD

L 84-95

+35.5

WVU

L 49-91

+5.5

LIB

L 50-92

−1.5

JOES

L 65-87

+5.5

RAD

L 77-107

+29.5

NAVY

L 55-88

−2.5

GTWN

L 67-97

+13.5

UMBC

L 59-93

+3.5

DSU

W 53-51

−35.5

NCCU

L 77-88

+21.5

SCST

L 72-74

+5.5

UMES

L 67-70

+3.5

NORF

L 76-103

+35.5

MORG

L 80-89

+13.5

HOW

L 53-72

−21.5

DSU

W 65-47

−20.5

NCCU

W 58-56

−29.5

SCST

W 59-57

−22.5

UMES

W 71-65

+7.5

NORF

L 69-75

+3.5

HOW

L 70-90

+19.5

MORG

L 66-70

−13.5

over 19under 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Georgetown

34 games played

Straight up

16-18

47% wins

Against the spread

14-20

41% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

18-16

53% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1847%

W W W W W L L W L W W L W L L L L L L W W W W L L L L L L L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-2041%

L W L W L L L L L L W L L L L L W W L W W W W L W L W L L W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

18-1653%

O U O O O O U O U O U O O O U O O U U U U U U O O O U U O U O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMORG	W 87-70	-27.5	L −10.5	154.5	O 157
Nov 7	@MD	W 70-60	+4.5	W +14.5	144.5	U 130
Nov 12	vsBING	W 83-70	-27.5	L −14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	vsCLEM	W 79-74	+1.5	W +6.5	142.5	O 153
Nov 22	vsWAG	W 92-75	-25.5	L −8.5	140.5	O 167
Nov 27	vsDAY	L 79-84	+1.5	L −3.5	145.5	O 163
Nov 28	vsMIA	L 65-78	+5.5	L −7.5	151.5	U 143
Dec 3	vsUMBC	W 90-81	-19.5	L −10.5	149.5	O 171
Dec 7	@UNC	L 61-81	+10.5	L −9.5	149.5	U 142
Dec 13	vsSPU	W 76-68	-20.5	L −12.5	140.5	O 144
Dec 17	@MARQ	W 78-69	+6.5	W +15.5	149.5	U 147
Dec 20	vsXAV	L 77-80	-4.5	L −7.5	149.5	O 157
Dec 22	vsCOPP	W 97-67	-33.5	L −3.5	150.5	O 164
Dec 31	vsSJU	L 83-95	+8.5	L −3.5	152.5	O 178
Jan 6	@DEP	L 50-56	+2.5	L −3.5	144.5	U 106
Jan 10	vsHALL	L 67-76	+1.5	L −7.5	137.5	O 143
Jan 13	@CREI	L 83-86	+8.5	W +5.5	147.5	O 169
Jan 17	vsCONN	L 62-64	+11.5	W +9.5	141.5	U 126
Jan 21	@VILL	L 51-66	+8.5	L −6.5	142.5	U 117
Jan 24	@PROV	W 81-78	+5.5	W +8.5	159.5	U 159
Jan 28	vsDEP	W 70-61	-3.5	W +5.5	139.5	U 131
Jan 31	@BTLR	W 77-64	+5.5	W +18.5	149.5	U 141
Feb 4	vsCREI	W 76-68	-1.5	W +6.5	146.5	U 144
Feb 7	vsVILL	L 73-80	+2.5	L −4.5	140.5	O 153
Feb 14	@CONN	L 75-79	+16.5	W +12.5	138.5	O 154
Feb 18	vsBTLR	L 89-93	-6.5	L −10.5	147.5	O 182
Feb 21	@HALL	L 47-51	+6.5	W +2.5	136.5	U 98
Feb 24	vsMARQ	L 60-76	-2.5	L −18.5	150.5	U 136
Feb 28	@XAV	L 84-91	+4.5	L −2.5	155.5	O 175
Mar 3	@SJU	L 69-72	+15.5	W +12.5	148.5	U 141
Mar 7	vsPROV	W 80-79	-1.5	L −0.5	158.5	O 159
Mar 11	vsDEP	W 63-56	-1.5	W +5.5	136.5	U 119
Mar 12	vsVILL	W 78-64	+7.5	W +21.5	140.5	O 142
Mar 13	vsCONN	L 51-67	+14.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 118

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MORG

W 87-70

−10.5

W 70-60

+14.5

BING

W 83-70

−14.5

CLEM

W 79-74

+6.5

WAG

W 92-75

−8.5

DAY

L 79-84

−3.5

MIA

L 65-78

−7.5

UMBC

W 90-81

−10.5

UNC

L 61-81

−9.5

SPU

W 76-68

−12.5

MARQ

W 78-69

+15.5

XAV

L 77-80

−7.5

COPP

W 97-67

−3.5

SJU

L 83-95

−3.5

DEP

L 50-56

−3.5

HALL

L 67-76

−7.5

CREI

L 83-86

+5.5

CONN

L 62-64

+9.5

VILL

L 51-66

−6.5

PROV

W 81-78

+8.5

DEP

W 70-61

+5.5

BTLR

W 77-64

+18.5

CREI

W 76-68

+6.5

VILL

L 73-80

−4.5

CONN

L 75-79

+12.5

BTLR

L 89-93

−10.5

HALL

L 47-51

+2.5

MARQ

L 60-76

−18.5

XAV

L 84-91

−2.5

SJU

L 69-72

+12.5

PROV

W 80-79

−0.5

DEP

W 63-56

+5.5

VILL

W 78-64

+21.5

CONN

L 51-67

−1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 20avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MORG

W 87-70

+2.5

W 70-60

−14.5

BING

W 83-70

+11.5

CLEM

W 79-74

+10.5

WAG

W 92-75

+26.5

DAY

L 79-84

+17.5

MIA

L 65-78

−8.5

UMBC

W 90-81

+21.5

UNC

L 61-81

−7.5

SPU

W 76-68

+3.5

MARQ

W 78-69

−2.5

XAV

L 77-80

+7.5

COPP

W 97-67

+13.5

SJU

L 83-95

+25.5

DEP

L 50-56

−38.5

HALL

L 67-76

+5.5

CREI

L 83-86

+21.5

CONN

L 62-64

−15.5

VILL

L 51-66

−25.5

PROV

W 81-78

−0.5

DEP

W 70-61

−8.5

BTLR

W 77-64

−8.5

CREI

W 76-68

−2.5

VILL

L 73-80

+12.5

CONN

L 75-79

+15.5

BTLR

L 89-93

+34.5

HALL

L 47-51

−38.5

MARQ

L 60-76

−14.5

XAV

L 84-91

+19.5

SJU

L 69-72

−7.5

PROV

W 80-79

+0.5

DEP

W 63-56

−17.5

VILL

W 78-64

+1.5

CONN

L 51-67

−20.5

over 18under 16avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Georgetown has the better starters

Position by position: Coppin St 0, Georgetown 5, even 0

Coppin StBetterGeorgetown

G H. Williams7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27

GTWNBig

G V. Miller TR10.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 74

G C. Sparrow5.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 40

GTWNSmall

F C. Williams8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 57

G J. Piercy6.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 23

GTWNBig

F J. Parker TR9.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79

F N. Lamizana6.6 pts · 3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 18

GTWNBig

C V. Iwuchukwu11.6 pts · 6.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 89

F T. Koenig5.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 28

GTWNBig

C C. Machot TR8.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.2 ast Score 78

Coppin StBetterGeorgetown

COPP offense351st of 366 · -12.8

GTWNBig

GTWN defense46th of 366 · +2.3

COPP defense324th of 366 · -8.4

GTWNBig

GTWN offense75th of 366 · +1.3

Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players

GTWNBig

Backcourt+0.7 · 1 player

Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players

GTWNBig

Frontcourt+6.5 · 4 players

Bench-6.3 · 5 players

GTWNBig

Bench+1.4 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestCOPP betterGTWN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Coppin St

Guards

H. Williams20 minC. Sparrow19 minJ. Piercy18 minB. Saunders16 minD. Lydner12 minJ. Brown5 min

Forwards

N. Lamizana19 minT. Koenig17 minT. Gapare16 min · TRE. TaylorNewL. LawalNewA. MyersNew

Centers

F. Aire9 min

Georgetown

Guards

V. Miller26 min · TRJ. Lowe19 min · TRE. Jackson18 min · TRK. Mulready17 minM. Moses1 minM. Van Raaphorst1 min

Forwards

C. Williams30 minJ. Parker22 min · TRJ. CaldwellNewP. PastreNew

Centers

V. Iwuchukwu23 minC. Machot20 min · TRS. Diouf4 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

COPP64.3 #352

GTWN73.6 #215

Points per possession

COPP0.93 #362

GTWN1.09 #165

Pace (possessions)

COPP69.3 #159

GTWN67.8 #238

Shooting

Effective FG%

COPP45.9 #350

GTWN49.6 #257

3-point %

COPP30.7 #326

GTWN31.8 #285

3-point attempt rate

COPP35.2 #273

GTWN35.2 #271

Free throw rate

COPP38.5 #90

GTWN37.3 #121

Possessions

Turnover rate

COPP22.3 #363

GTWN15.8 #120

Offensive rebound rate

COPP30.4 #183

GTWN32.5 #107

Assists per game

COPP11.4 #317

GTWN14.8 #101

Defense

Points allowed

COPP81.0 #334

GTWN72.9 #130

Points allowed per possession

COPP1.17 #342

GTWN1.08 #147

Opponent effective FG%

COPP55.4 #339

GTWN50.0 #96

Opponent 3-point %

COPP38.3 #360

GTWN33.3 #139

Turnovers forced

COPP17.6 #118

GTWN16.2 #211

Defensive rebound rate

COPP65.3 #333

GTWN68.5 #228

Steals per game

COPP6.0 #233

GTWN6.5 #182

Blocks per game

COPP3.5 #143

GTWN3.6 #130

COPP		GTWN
Scoring
64.3 #352	Points per game	73.6 #215
0.93 #362	Points per possession	1.09 #165
69.3 #159	Pace (possessions)	67.8 #238
Shooting
45.9 #350	Effective FG%	49.6 #257
30.7 #326	3-point %	31.8 #285
35.2 #273	3-point attempt rate	35.2 #271
38.5 #90	Free throw rate	37.3 #121
Possessions
22.3 #363	Turnover rate	15.8 #120
30.4 #183	Offensive rebound rate	32.5 #107
11.4 #317	Assists per game	14.8 #101
Defense
81.0 #334	Points allowed	72.9 #130
1.17 #342	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #147
55.4 #339	Opponent effective FG%	50.0 #96
38.3 #360	Opponent 3-point %	33.3 #139
17.6 #118	Turnovers forced	16.2 #211
65.3 #333	Defensive rebound rate	68.5 #228
6.0 #233	Steals per game	6.5 #182
3.5 #143	Blocks per game	3.6 #130

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Coppin St

6-24 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Morgan St66–70
L@ Howard70–90
Lvs Norfolk St69–75
Wvs MD Eastern71–65
W@ SC State59–57

A week or more of rest.

Georgetown

16-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UConn51–67
Wvs Villanova78–64
Wvs DePaul63–56
Wvs Providence80–79
L@ St John's69–72

A week or more of rest.

Coppin State Eagles at Georgetown Hoyas

What could decide it: GTWN has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Coppin St

Georgetown

Georgetown has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Coppin St

Georgetown