Georgetown Hoyas vs DePaul Blue Demons: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Mar 11, 9:15 PM ETMadison Square Garden · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament

#64GTWNGeorgetown63▲ winner

Final

#66DEPDePaul56final

Closing lineGTWN -1.5✓ GTWN covered by 5.5

Closing total136.5Under by 17.5

Season records: Georgetown and DePaul
GTWN	This season	DEP
14-17	Record	16-15
12-19	ATS	20-11
17-14	O/U	11-20

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: GTWN 70–70 DEP · ✓ GTWN (51%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
GTWN	21	42	63
DEP	24	32	56

1st half: GTWN 21, DEP 24 (DEP by 3). The model had GTWN by 0.3 and a total of 65.6 (actual 45).

Team stats

GTWN		DEP
22-56 39%	Field goals	20-58 34%
3-14 21%	3-pointers	9-21 43%
16-18 89%	Free throws	7-11 64%
42 12 off	Rebounds	30 9 off
11	Assists	11
5	Steals	6
4	Blocks	5
10	Turnovers	9
13	Fouls	16
36	Points in paint	20
2	Fast-break points	3

Players

GTWN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Malik Mack G	34	16	6	4	6-12	0-3
Caleb Williams F	30	2	7	0	1-5	0-2
Jeremiah Williams G	26	17	1	2	6-13	1-3
Isaiah Abraham F	22	0	3	1	0-3	0-2
Julius Halaifonua C	17	7	4	3	3-5	0-0
Bench
Kayvaun Mulready G	30	2	0	1	1-7	0-2
Vince Iwuchukwu C	23	17	14	0	4-9	2-2
Jayden Fort F	11	2	5	0	1-2	0-0
Langston Love G	7	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Seal Diouf, Michael Van Raaphorst, Gabriel Landeira, Mason Moses, Hashem Asadallah, KJ Lewis, DeShawn Harris-Smith, Austin Montgomery

DEP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
NJ Benson F	33	12	7	1	6-11	0-0
Brandon Maclin G	30	4	6	1	1-6	0-0
RJ Smith G	26	5	1	1	2-4	1-2
Kruz McClure G	25	9	1	0	2-5	2-4
Theo Pierre-Justin F	14	3	2	0	1-4	1-3
Bench
Layden Blocker G	34	16	3	7	5-14	4-6
CJ Gunn G	27	7	3	0	3-13	1-5
Kaleb Banks F	6	0	0	0	0-1	0-1
Fabian Flores C	5	0	2	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Isaiah Medina, Jonas Johnson, Nate Kasher, Amsal Delalic, Ilija Milijasevic, Jeremy Lorenz, Khaman Maker

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	GTWN -1.5	GTWN -0.3	DEP +1.2	L GTWN covered
Total	136.5	140.1	Over 3.6	L Under
Projected score	—	GTWN 70.2 · DEP 69.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	GTWN -0.3	DEP -3.0
1H total	65.6	45
1H projected score	GTWN 33 · DEP 32.7	GTWN 21 · DEP 24

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
GTWN WLLWL	12-19	39%	0-2	2-10
DEP LWWLL	20-11	65%	1-1	12-6

Venue/role: GTWN neutral site, as favorite; DEP neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
GTWN UUOUO	17-14	55%	14-17
DEP UOUUO	11-20	35%	16-15

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GTWN	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
DEP	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22

GTWN 4–7 DEPDEP leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · GTWN 2-9 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Jan 28, 2025-26	DEP 61 @ GTWN 70	GTWN -3.5	GTWN W
Jan 6, 2025-26	GTWN 50 @ DEP 56	DEP -2.5	DEP W
Mar 12, 2024-25	DEP 71 vs GTWN 67	GTWN -4.5	DEP W
Mar 8, 2024-25	GTWN 77 @ DEP 83	DEP -1.5	DEP W
Jan 17, 2024-25	DEP 73 @ GTWN 68	GTWN -5.5	DEP W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Georgetown

31 games played

Straight up

14-17

45% wins

Against the spread

12-19

39% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

17-14

55% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-1745%

W W W W W L L W L W W L W L L L L L L W W W W L L L L L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

12-1939%

L W L W L L L L L L W L L L L L W W L W W W W L W L W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

17-1455%

O U O O O O U O U O U O O O U O O U U U U U U O O O U U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMORG	W 87-70	-27.5	L −10.5	154.5	O 157
Nov 7	@MD	W 70-60	+4.5	W +14.5	144.5	U 130
Nov 12	vsBING	W 83-70	-27.5	L −14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	vsCLEM	W 79-74	+1.5	W +6.5	142.5	O 153
Nov 22	vsWAG	W 92-75	-25.5	L −8.5	140.5	O 167
Nov 27	vsDAY	L 79-84	+1.5	L −3.5	145.5	O 163
Nov 28	vsMIA	L 65-78	+5.5	L −7.5	151.5	U 143
Dec 3	vsUMBC	W 90-81	-19.5	L −10.5	149.5	O 171
Dec 7	@UNC	L 61-81	+10.5	L −9.5	149.5	U 142
Dec 13	vsSPU	W 76-68	-20.5	L −12.5	140.5	O 144
Dec 17	@MARQ	W 78-69	+6.5	W +15.5	149.5	U 147
Dec 20	vsXAV	L 77-80	-4.5	L −7.5	149.5	O 157
Dec 22	vsCOPP	W 97-67	-33.5	L −3.5	150.5	O 164
Dec 31	vsSJU	L 83-95	+8.5	L −3.5	152.5	O 178
Jan 6	@DEP	L 50-56	+2.5	L −3.5	144.5	U 106
Jan 10	vsHALL	L 67-76	+1.5	L −7.5	137.5	O 143
Jan 13	@CREI	L 83-86	+8.5	W +5.5	147.5	O 169
Jan 17	vsCONN	L 62-64	+11.5	W +9.5	141.5	U 126
Jan 21	@VILL	L 51-66	+8.5	L −6.5	142.5	U 117
Jan 24	@PROV	W 81-78	+5.5	W +8.5	159.5	U 159
Jan 28	vsDEP	W 70-61	-3.5	W +5.5	139.5	U 131
Jan 31	@BTLR	W 77-64	+5.5	W +18.5	149.5	U 141
Feb 4	vsCREI	W 76-68	-1.5	W +6.5	146.5	U 144
Feb 7	vsVILL	L 73-80	+2.5	L −4.5	140.5	O 153
Feb 14	@CONN	L 75-79	+16.5	W +12.5	138.5	O 154
Feb 18	vsBTLR	L 89-93	-6.5	L −10.5	147.5	O 182
Feb 21	@HALL	L 47-51	+6.5	W +2.5	136.5	U 98
Feb 24	vsMARQ	L 60-76	-2.5	L −18.5	150.5	U 136
Feb 28	@XAV	L 84-91	+4.5	L −2.5	155.5	O 175
Mar 3	@SJU	L 69-72	+15.5	W +12.5	148.5	U 141
Mar 7	vsPROV	W 80-79	-1.5	L −0.5	158.5	O 159

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MORG

W 87-70

−10.5

W 70-60

+14.5

BING

W 83-70

−14.5

CLEM

W 79-74

+6.5

WAG

W 92-75

−8.5

DAY

L 79-84

−3.5

MIA

L 65-78

−7.5

UMBC

W 90-81

−10.5

UNC

L 61-81

−9.5

SPU

W 76-68

−12.5

MARQ

W 78-69

+15.5

XAV

L 77-80

−7.5

COPP

W 97-67

−3.5

SJU

L 83-95

−3.5

DEP

L 50-56

−3.5

HALL

L 67-76

−7.5

CREI

L 83-86

+5.5

CONN

L 62-64

+9.5

VILL

L 51-66

−6.5

PROV

W 81-78

+8.5

DEP

W 70-61

+5.5

BTLR

W 77-64

+18.5

CREI

W 76-68

+6.5

VILL

L 73-80

−4.5

CONN

L 75-79

+12.5

BTLR

L 89-93

−10.5

HALL

L 47-51

+2.5

MARQ

L 60-76

−18.5

XAV

L 84-91

−2.5

SJU

L 69-72

+12.5

PROV

W 80-79

−0.5

covered 12didn’t cover 19avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MORG

W 87-70

+2.5

W 70-60

−14.5

BING

W 83-70

+11.5

CLEM

W 79-74

+10.5

WAG

W 92-75

+26.5

DAY

L 79-84

+17.5

MIA

L 65-78

−8.5

UMBC

W 90-81

+21.5

UNC

L 61-81

−7.5

SPU

W 76-68

+3.5

MARQ

W 78-69

−2.5

XAV

L 77-80

+7.5

COPP

W 97-67

+13.5

SJU

L 83-95

+25.5

DEP

L 50-56

−38.5

HALL

L 67-76

+5.5

CREI

L 83-86

+21.5

CONN

L 62-64

−15.5

VILL

L 51-66

−25.5

PROV

W 81-78

−0.5

DEP

W 70-61

−8.5

BTLR

W 77-64

−8.5

CREI

W 76-68

−2.5

VILL

L 73-80

+12.5

CONN

L 75-79

+15.5

BTLR

L 89-93

+34.5

HALL

L 47-51

−38.5

MARQ

L 60-76

−14.5

XAV

L 84-91

+19.5

SJU

L 69-72

−7.5

PROV

W 80-79

+0.5

over 17under 14avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

DePaul

31 games played

Straight up

16-15

52% wins

Against the spread

20-11

65% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

11-20

35% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1552%

W W L L W W W L W W W L L L W W L W L W L L L L W W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

20-1165%

W L L W W W W L L W W W L W W W W W W W L W L L W W L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

11-2035%

O U U O U O U O U U U U U U O U U O O U U U U O O U U O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsCHST	W 92-62	-24.5	W +5.5	143.5	O 154
Nov 7	vsSTO	W 72-64	-22.5	L −14.5	147.5	U 136
Nov 11	vsBUF	L 53-66	-18.5	L −31.5	153.5	U 119
Nov 14	vsNU	L 79-81	+5.5	W +3.5	145.5	O 160
Nov 18	vsGWEB	W 93-62	-21.5	W +9.5	155.5	U 155
Nov 23	vsDETM	W 95-75	-19.5	W +0.5	151.5	O 170
Nov 28	vsGT	W 75-61	-1.5	W +12.5	147.5	U 136
Nov 29	vsLSU	L 63-96	+5.5	L −27.5	152.5	O 159
Dec 6	vsUAPB	W 76-72	-23.5	L −19.5	156.5	U 148
Dec 9	vsMORG	W 92-49	-21.5	W +21.5	150.5	U 141
Dec 13	@WICH	W 61-58	+7.5	W +10.5	145.5	U 119
Dec 16	@SJU	L 66-79	+19.5	W +6.5	147.5	U 145
Dec 21	vsCONN	L 54-72	+12.5	L −5.5	133.5	U 126
Dec 31	@VILL	L 66-71	+12.5	W +7.5	139.5	U 137
Jan 3	vsXAV	W 86-77	-2.5	W +6.5	149.5	O 163
Jan 6	vsGTWN	W 56-50	-2.5	W +3.5	144.5	U 106
Jan 10	@CONN	L 60-72	+19.5	W +7.5	137.5	U 132
Jan 16	vsMARQ	W 80-75	-2.5	W +2.5	145.5	O 155
Jan 20	@BTLR	L 80-87	+7.5	W +0.5	147.5	O 167
Jan 24	vsHALL	W 67-60	+2.5	W +9.5	135.5	U 127
Jan 28	@GTWN	L 61-70	+3.5	L −5.5	139.5	U 131
Jan 31	@XAV	L 66-68	+4.5	W +2.5	150.5	U 134
Feb 3	vsSJU	L 56-68	+9.5	L −2.5	145.5	U 124
Feb 7	@PROV	L 72-90	+4.5	L −13.5	153.5	O 162
Feb 11	vsCREI	W 72-71	+1.5	W +2.5	141.5	O 143
Feb 18	@HALL	W 69-57	+7.5	W +19.5	129.5	U 126
Feb 21	vsPROV	L 68-71	-2.5	L −5.5	152.5	U 139
Feb 25	@CREI	W 72-71	+3.5	W +4.5	142.5	O 143
Mar 1	@MARQ	W 62-51	+4.5	W +15.5	139.5	U 113
Mar 4	vsVILL	L 57-76	+1.5	L −17.5	135.5	U 133
Mar 7	vsBTLR	L 71-81	-4.5	L −14.5	142.5	O 152

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CHST

W 92-62

+5.5

STO

W 72-64

−14.5

BUF

L 53-66

−31.5

L 79-81

+3.5

GWEB

W 93-62

+9.5

DETM

W 95-75

+0.5

W 75-61

+12.5

LSU

L 63-96

−27.5

UAPB

W 76-72

−19.5

MORG

W 92-49

+21.5

WICH

W 61-58

+10.5

SJU

L 66-79

+6.5

CONN

L 54-72

−5.5

VILL

L 66-71

+7.5

XAV

W 86-77

+6.5

GTWN

W 56-50

+3.5

CONN

L 60-72

+7.5

MARQ

W 80-75

+2.5

BTLR

L 80-87

+0.5

HALL

W 67-60

+9.5

GTWN

L 61-70

−5.5

XAV

L 66-68

+2.5

SJU

L 56-68

−2.5

PROV

L 72-90

−13.5

CREI

W 72-71

+2.5

HALL

W 69-57

+19.5

PROV

L 68-71

−5.5

CREI

W 72-71

+4.5

MARQ

W 62-51

+15.5

VILL

L 57-76

−17.5

BTLR

L 71-81

−14.5

covered 20didn’t cover 11avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CHST

W 92-62

+10.5

STO

W 72-64

−11.5

BUF

L 53-66

−34.5

L 79-81

+14.5

GWEB

W 93-62

−0.5

DETM

W 95-75

+18.5

W 75-61

−11.5

LSU

L 63-96

+6.5

UAPB

W 76-72

−8.5

MORG

W 92-49

−9.5

WICH

W 61-58

−26.5

SJU

L 66-79

−2.5

CONN

L 54-72

−7.5

VILL

L 66-71

−2.5

XAV

W 86-77

+13.5

GTWN

W 56-50

−38.5

CONN

L 60-72

−5.5

MARQ

W 80-75

+9.5

BTLR

L 80-87

+19.5

HALL

W 67-60

−8.5

GTWN

L 61-70

−8.5

XAV

L 66-68

−16.5

SJU

L 56-68

−21.5

PROV

L 72-90

+8.5

CREI

W 72-71

+1.5

HALL

W 69-57

−3.5

PROV

L 68-71

−13.5

CREI

W 72-71

+0.5

MARQ

W 62-51

−26.5

VILL

L 57-76

−2.5

BTLR

L 71-81

+9.5

over 11under 20avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Georgetown Hoyas vs DePaul Blue Demons

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Georgetown

DePaul

Georgetown

DePaul