1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Dec 3
  3. COPP @ VCU
NCAAB · Thu, Dec 3

Coppin State Eagles at VCU Rams

Siegel Center · at VCU
#352COPPCoppin St
@
#61VCUVCU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
COPPThis seasonVCU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects VCU 89–58 · win probability VCU 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 147.0
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: VCU has more of the edges

COPP 0, VCU 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
VCUBig
COPP offense vs VCU defense
Offense 351st of 366 against a defense 50th, on the model’s ratings
VCUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: COPP 45.9 and allows 55.4; VCU 53.6 and allows 49.0
VCUBig
VCU offense vs COPP defense
Offense 65th of 366 against a defense 324th, on the model’s ratings
VCUBig
Three-pointers
COPP hits 30.7% and allows 38.3%; VCU hits 36.3% and allows 33.0%. Threes are 35.2% and 43.8% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
COPP has played the 313th-hardest schedule, VCU the 88th. A record against a soft schedule means less
VCUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: COPP 38.5, VCU 42.0. Allowed: COPP 42.9, VCU 32.8
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Turnovers
Turnover rate: COPP 22.3%, VCU 15.1%. Forced: COPP 17.6%, VCU 17.0%
VCUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: COPP 30.4%, VCU 31.6%. Defensive: COPP 65.3%, VCU 70.0%
VCUSmall
Home court
VCU at home. This season: VCU 0-0 at home, COPP 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: COPP plays 69.3 a game (159th fastest), VCU 69.5 (147th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: COPP 68%, VCU 65%. Transfers in: COPP 3, VCU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—VCU -31.1—
Total—147.0—
Projected score—COPP 57.9 · VCU 89

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadVCU -18.4—
1H total68.7—
1H projected scoreCOPP 25.2 · VCU 43.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

VCU has the better starters

Position by position: Coppin St 0, VCU 5, even 0
Coppin StBetterVCU
G H. Williams7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27
VCUSmall
G N. Ralph-Beyer TR14.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 61
G C. Sparrow5.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 40
VCUBig
G B. Jennings8.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 79
G J. Piercy6.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 23
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G N. Lewis8.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 79
F N. Lamizana6.6 pts · 3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 18
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F T. Alston TR13.3 pts · 8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 85
F T. Koenig5.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 28
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F L. Djokovic13.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
Coppin StBetterVCU
COPP offense351st of 366 · -12.8
VCUBig
VCU defense50th of 366 · +2.0
COPP defense324th of 366 · -8.4
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VCU offense65th of 366 · +2.0
Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players
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Backcourt+2.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players
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Frontcourt+5.5 · 2 players
Bench-6.3 · 5 players
VCUBig
Bench+3.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCOPP betterVCU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Coppin St
Guards
H. Williams20 minC. Sparrow19 minJ. Piercy18 minB. Saunders16 minD. Lydner12 minJ. Brown5 min
Forwards
N. Lamizana19 minT. Koenig17 minT. Gapare16 min · TRE. TaylorNewL. LawalNewA. MyersNew
Centers
F. Aire9 min
VCU
Guards
N. Ralph-Beyer31 min · TRB. Jennings25 minN. Lewis24 minB. Harper18 min · TRT. Ward14 minA. Nowell11 min
Forwards
T. Alston30 min · TRL. Djokovic28 minM. Belle22 minJ. Wyche7 min · TRC. RossNewS. PlisnicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
COPPVCU
Scoring
64.3 #352Points per game80.8 #50
0.93 #362Points per possession1.16 #47
69.3 #159Pace (possessions)69.5 #147
Shooting
45.9 #350Effective FG%53.6 #78
30.7 #3263-point %36.3 #46
35.2 #2733-point attempt rate43.8 #91
38.5 #90Free throw rate42.0 #30
Possessions
22.3 #363Turnover rate15.1 #70
30.4 #183Offensive rebound rate31.6 #139
11.4 #317Assists per game13.9 #158
Defense
81.0 #334Points allowed71.8 #100
1.17 #342Points allowed per possession1.04 #66
55.4 #339Opponent effective FG%49.0 #69
38.3 #360Opponent 3-point %33.0 #125
17.6 #118Turnovers forced17.0 #151
65.3 #333Defensive rebound rate70.0 #162
6.0 #233Steals per game7.3 #99
3.5 #143Blocks per game4.3 #50
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Coppin St

6-24 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Morgan St66–70
  • L@ Howard70–90
  • Lvs Norfolk St69–75
  • Wvs MD Eastern71–65
  • W@ SC State59–57

A week or more of rest.

VCU

28-8 in 2025-26 overall · 18-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois55–76
  • Wvs North Carolina82–78
  • Wvs Dayton70–62
  • Wvs Saint Joseph's77–64
  • Wvs Duquesne71–66

A week or more of rest.