Robins Center · at Richmond · Conference game
Closing line
VCU -7.5✓ VCU covered by 3.5
VCU -7.5✓ VCU covered by 3.5Closing total154.5Under by 9.5
| VCU | This season | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| 19-6 | Record | 13-11 |
| 11-14 | ATS | 12-12 |
| 13-12 | O/U | 11-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VCU 81–74 RICH · ✓ VCU (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU | 47 | 31 | 78 |
| RICH | 27 | 40 | 67 |
1st half: VCU 47, RICH 27 (VCU by 20). The model had VCU by 4.0 and a total of 72.7 (actual 74).
Team stats
| VCU | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 19-55 35% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 24-27 89% |
| 41 10 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 36 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 6-14 | 4-10 |
| Lazar Djokovic F | 33 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 27 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-7 |
| Barry Evans F | 23 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Jennings G | 20 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Michael Belle F | 18 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Tyrell Ward G | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Obinnaya Okafor, Jordann Dumont, Christian Fermin, Jordan Tillery
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnston G | 38 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6-14 | 4-8 |
| AJ Lopez G | 37 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 4-13 | 0-3 |
| Mike Walz C | 27 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Collin Tanner G | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 25 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| David Thomas G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kirby Mooney, Bryson McGlothin, Apostolos Roumoglou, Donovan Richardson, Will Harper III, Dylan Homenick
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -7.5
no move
CloseVCU -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
▼ 2
Close154.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
VCU -345 · RICH +275
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -7.5 · unchangedmodel VCU -6.5
model VCU -6.5
Opened 156.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VCU -7.5 | VCU -6.5 | RICH +1.0 | L VCU covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 155.4 | Over 0.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | VCU 81 · RICH 74.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VCU -4.0 | VCU -20.0 |
| 1H total | 72.7 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | VCU 38.4 · RICH 34.3 | VCU 47 · RICH 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| RICH | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
VCU 8–2 RICHVCU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · VCU has won the last 3 meetings · VCU 8-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025-26 | RICH 69 @ VCU 77 | VCU -12.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | VCU 78 @ RICH 60 | RICH +14.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | RICH 49 @ VCU 90 | VCU -19.5 | VCU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | VCU 76 @ RICH 79 | RICH -3.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | RICH 52 @ VCU 63 | VCU -4.5 | VCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VCU
25 games played
Straight up
19-6
76% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs COPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs VT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs SAM | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs UNM | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 15 | vs NIA | W 84-58 | -30.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 18 | vs AMER | W 105-83 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | vs RID | W 100-79 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 31 | vs SBU | W 89-82 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ DUQ | W 93-80 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vs SLU | L 62-71 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ GMU | L 80-86 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ URI | W 84-75 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 19 | vs JOES | W 79-72 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | @ DAV | W 75-69 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vsRICH | W 77-69 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 30 | vs LUC | W 89-75 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 3 | @ FOR | W 63-59 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 6 | vs DAY | W 99-73 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 11 | @ LAS | W 77-68 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
+6.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
−11.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−4.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+2.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
−9.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
−2.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−10.5
10
@GMU
GMUL 80-86
−7.5
14
@URI
URIW 84-75
+5.5
19
vsJOES
JOESW 79-72
−7.5
24
@DAV
DAVW 75-69
+0.5
27
vsRICH
RICHW 77-69
−4.5
30
vsLUC
LUCW 89-75
−4.5
3
@FOR
FORW 63-59
−3.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 99-73
+17.5
11
@LAS
LASW 77-68
−3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
+1.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−1.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+33.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
+33.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
+13.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−38.5
10
@GMU
GMUL 80-86
+21.5
14
@URI
URIW 84-75
+11.5
19
vsJOES
JOESW 79-72
−0.5
24
@DAV
DAVW 75-69
−4.5
27
vsRICH
RICHW 77-69
−9.5
30
vsLUC
LUCW 89-75
+13.5
3
@FOR
FORW 63-59
−24.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 99-73
+24.5
11
@LAS
LASW 77-68
−2.5
over 13under 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
24 games played
Straight up
13-11
54% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vs GW | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 4 | @FOR | W 83-75 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | @SBU | W 89-80 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vsJOES | L 65-67 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vsLAS | W 74-53 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @SLU | L 63-88 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vsURI | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | @GW | L 69-85 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 27 | @VCU | L 69-77 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsDAV | L 54-79 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | @URI | L 77-82 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 10 | vsGMU | W 82-70 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
−11.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+5.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−9.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
+12.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−10.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−4.5
24
@GW
GWL 69-85
−5.5
27
@VCU
VCUL 69-77
+4.5
31
vsDAV
DAVL 54-79
−26.5
7
@URI
URIL 77-82
+0.5
10
vsGMU
GMUW 82-70
+15.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
+21.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+15.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−18.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
−20.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−11.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−7.5
24
@GW
GWL 69-85
−5.5
27
@VCU
VCUL 69-77
−9.5
31
vsDAV
DAVL 54-79
−7.5
7
@URI
URIL 77-82
+16.5
10
vsGMU
GMUW 82-70
+12.5
over 11under 13avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VCU
19-6 overall · 10-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ La Salle77–68
- Wvs Dayton99–73
- W@ Fordham63–59
- Wvs Loyola Chicago89–75
- Wvs Richmond77–69
3 days since their last game.
Richmond
13-11 overall · 4-8 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs George Mason82–70
- L@ Rhode Island77–82
- Lvs Davidson54–79
- L@ VCU69–77
- L@ G Washington69–85
4 days since their last game.